- The Phillies are -250 favorites vs the Nationals
- Nationals vs Phillies Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Nationals / Phillies TV Channel: MASN | NSPA | ESPN+
The Washington Nationals (+200) visit Citizens Bank Park to take on the Philadelphia Phillies (-250) on Sunday, May 19, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 1:35pm EDT in Philadelphia, PA.
This season, the Nationals are 20-24 against the spread (ATS), while the Phillies are 26-21 ATS.
Nationals vs Phillies Starting Pitchers Today:
- Nationals starting pitcher: Trevor Williams 4-0, 1.99 ERA
- Phillies starting pitcher: Aaron Nola 5-2, 3.14 ERA
Nationals vs. Phillies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Nationals | +1.5 -115 | O 7.5 -115 | +200 |
| Phillies | -1.5 -105 | U 7.5 -105 | -250 |
Nationals vs Phillies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 64.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
Bet now on Nationals vs Phillies and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Nationals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Eddie Rosario has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 9 games (+21.90 Units / 243% ROI)
- Luis Garcia has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 21 games (+15.65 Units / 42% ROI)
- CJ Abrams has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 30 games (+10.95 Units / 19% ROI)
- CJ Abrams has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 21 of his last 30 games (+10.15 Units / 27% ROI)
- Jesse Winker has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 20 games (+9.50 Units / 47% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Phillies Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Bryson Stott has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 5 games (+19.00 Units / 380% ROI)
- Alec Bohm has hit the RBIs Over in 21 of his last 38 games (+15.30 Units / 40% ROI)
- Alec Bohm has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 21 of his last 28 games (+11.70 Units / 30% ROI)
- Alec Bohm has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 28 games (+11.65 Units / 26% ROI)
- Alec Bohm has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 28 games (+11.20 Units / 40% ROI)
Nationals Best Bets Today:
- The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 24 of their last 36 games (+11.75 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 36 games (+9.70 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Under in 23 of their last 38 games (+9.60 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 17 of their last 36 games (+8.15 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 14 of their last 25 away games (+3.30 Units / 12% ROI)
Phillies Best Bets Today:
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Over in 26 of their last 30 games (+21.60 Units / 59% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 31 games (+16.30 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 24 of their last 32 games (+16.10 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 23 of their last 30 games (+15.55 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 21 of their last 29 games (+11.95 Units / 33% ROI)
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 27-17 against the Run Line (+7.83 Units / 13.73% ROI).
- 20-24 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.45 Units / 14.38% ROI
- 17-24 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.25 Units / -19.26% ROI
- 24-17 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.08 Units / 10.42% ROI
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 26-21 against the Run Line (+6.35 Units / 11.1% ROI).
- 33-14 when betting on the Moneyline for +12.85 Units / 16.63% ROI
- 23-21 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.1 Units / -0.19% ROI
- 21-23 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.5 Units / -8.69% ROI
Phillies vs Nationals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -450 |
| J.T. Realmuto (PHI) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Joey Gallo (WAS) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -750 |
| Nick Castellanos (PHI) | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -900 |
Phillies vs Nationals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| J.T. Realmuto (PHI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
| Joey Meneses (WAS) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| CJ Abrams (WAS) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Bryson Stott (PHI) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Phillies vs Nationals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alec Bohm (PHI) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
| J.T. Realmuto (PHI) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Nick Castellanos (PHI) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
Phillies vs Nationals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Trevor Williams (WAS) | 3.5 -125 | 3.5 -105 |
| Aaron Nola (PHI) | 6.5 -115 | 6.5 -115 |
Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .033 (1-for-30) against Trevor Williams on low fastballs this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .262 — 100th Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 38% of Trevor Williams’ non-fastballs (595/1,550) since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 81 total IP; League Avg: 48% — second Percentile.
Trevor Williams has thrown low pitches 68% of the time (102/150) when behind in the count this season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.
Trevor Williams has thrown his off-speed pitches for a strike just 51% (790/1,550) of the time since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 81 total IP; League Avg: 62% — first Percentile.
Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Aaron Nola has allowed an OBP of just .231 (653 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since the 2022 season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .286 — 100th Percentile.
Aaron Nola has thrown his curveball 36% of the time (263/730) when he’s behind in the count since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 13% — 100th Percentile.
Aaron Nola has walked 31 of 646 batters (5%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since the 2022 season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 85th Percentile.
Aaron Nola has thrown his curveball 35% of the time (58/165) when he’s behind in the count this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 10% — 100th Percentile.
Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies
The Nationals are just 53-92 (.366) after a win since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .512.
The Nationals are just 35-55 (.389) after a win since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .508.
The Nationals are just 23-42 (.354) after a home win since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .534.
The Nationals are just 44-84 (.344) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .414.
Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals
The Phillies are 14-9 (.609) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .425.
The Phillies are 23-21 (.523) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .414.
The Phillies are 73-48 (.603) after a win since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .508.
The Phillies are 126-82 (.606) after a win since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .512.
Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Nationals are just 3-13 (.188) against the run line (-52.4% ROI) after a win as favorites since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .447.
Nationals hitters are slugging just .128 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .213.
The Nationals have a winning percentage of just 37% at home since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 52%.
Nationals hitters are slugging just .391 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .448.
Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends
Phillies hitters are slugging .506 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .447.
Phillies hitters have an OBP of .343 (651 PA’s) against LHP this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .313.
Phillies hitters have 630 strikeouts in 2,520 PA’s (25%) against LHP since last season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Phillies hitters have a groundball batting average of .347 against the shift this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .238.
Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Nationals pitchers since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends
Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
The Phillies pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 32% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Phillies vs. Nationals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Taijuan Walker (Philadelphia Phillies): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Orion Kerkering (Philadelphia Phillies): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Michael Rucker (Philadelphia Phillies): Hand, 15-Day IL
- Michael Lorenzen (Philadelphia Phillies): Neck, 15-Day IL
- Erich Uelmen (Philadelphia Phillies): Forearm, Out
- Weston Wilson (Philadelphia Phillies): Hand, Day-To-Day
- Dylan Covey (Philadelphia Phillies): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Rafael Marchan (Philadelphia Phillies): Back, 10-Day IL
- Zach Brzykcy (Washington Nationals): Elbow, Out
- Stone Garrett (Washington Nationals): Ankle, 10-Day IL
- Stephen Strasburg (Washington Nationals): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Nick Senzel (Washington Nationals): Thumb, 10-Day IL
- Mason Thompson (Washington Nationals): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Cade Cavalli (Washington Nationals): Elbow, 60-Day IL
Bet now on Nationals vs Phillies and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.
