- The Pirates are -145 favorites vs the Nationals
- Nationals vs Pirates Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Nationals / Pirates TV Channel: MASN | SNPT
The Washington Nationals (+120) visit PNC Park to take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (-145) on Tuesday, April 15, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Pittsburgh, PA.
This season, the Nationals are 0-0 against the spread (ATS), while the Pirates are 0-0 ATS.
Nationals vs Pirates Starting Pitchers Today:
- Nationals starting pitcher: Jake Irvin 0-0, 5.88 ERA
- Pirates starting pitcher: Mitch Keller 1-1, 4.24 ERA
Nationals vs. Pirates Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Nationals | +1.5 -190 | O 8.5 -115 | +120 |
| Pirates | -1.5 +155 | U 8.5 -105 | -145 |
Nationals vs Pirates Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Pirates will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 52.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Nationals Player Prop Bets Today:
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Pirates Player Prop Best Bets Today:
Nationals Best Bets Today:
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Under in 23 of their last 40 games (+6.45 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 17 of their last 36 games (+6.20 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 11 of their last 16 games (+6.00 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 11 of their last 18 games (+3.30 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 80 of their last 147 games (+2.20 Units / 1% ROI)
Pirates Best Bets Today:
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 38 of their last 64 games at home (+11.60 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 25 games at home (+7.05 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 17 games (+5.60 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 67 of their last 123 games (+5.40 Units / 3% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 14 games at home (+3.65 Units / 17% ROI)
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 0-0 against the Run Line (+0 Units / 0% ROI).
- 0-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Under for +0 Units / 0% ROI
Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Pirates are 0-0 against the Run Line (+0 Units / 0% ROI).
- 0-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Under for +0 Units / 0% ROI
Pirates vs Nationals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Oneil Cruz (PIT) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -625 |
| Andrew McCutchen (PIT) | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Enmanuel Valdez (PIT) | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -1000 |
| James Wood (WAS) | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Bryan Reynolds (PIT) | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -1200 |
Pirates vs Nationals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Call (WAS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Keibert Ruiz (WAS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Luis Garcia (WAS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Bryan Reynolds (PIT) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Ke'Bryan Hayes (PIT) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
Pirates vs Nationals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Keibert Ruiz (WAS) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Andrew McCutchen (PIT) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Bryan Reynolds (PIT) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -235 |
| Nathaniel Lowe (WAS) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -235 |
| Joey Bart (PIT) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
Pirates vs Nationals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Mitch Keller (PIT) | 4.5 -155 | 4.5 +115 |
| Jake Irvin (WAS) | 4.5 +110 | 4.5 -145 |
Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 12% (7/61) against Jake Irvin this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — first Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 12% (7/61) against Jake Irvin this season — lowest among among NL Starters; League Avg: 25% — second Percentile.
4 of Jake Irvin’s breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor this season — tied for 2nd most among among NL Starters; League Avg: nan — 96th Percentile.
Jake Irvin has thrown his curveball 35% of the time (65/187) in non-two strike counts this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 14% — 100th Percentile.
Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Mitch Keller allowed a slugging percentage of .563 (138 Total Bases / 245 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game in the 2024 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .382 — first Percentile.
Opponents batted .314 (77-for-245) against Mitch Keller when going through the lineup the second time in a game in the 2024 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .232 — first Percentile.
Mitch Keller has allowed an OPS of .888 (301 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .670 — first Percentile.
Mitch Keller allowed an OBP of .364 (272 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game in the 2024 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .289 — first Percentile.
Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates
The Nationals are just 0-9 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .028.
The Nationals are just 31-46 (.403) after a win since last season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .496.
The Nationals are just 43-153 (.219) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .272.
The Nationals are just 59-88 (.401) after a win since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .504.
Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals
The Pirates were just 7-44 (.137) when allowing 10 or more hits in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .250.
The Pirates are just 7-49 (.125) when allowing 10 or more hits since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.
The Pirates were just 10-32 (.238) when their opponents score in the first inning in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .359.
The Pirates are just 11-34 (.244) when their opponents score in the first inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .359.
Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends
Nationals hitters put 41% of their swings in play against LHP in 2023 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Nationals hitters struck out just 340 times in 1,868 PA’s (18%) against LHP in 2023 — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Nationals hitters averaged just 3.76 pitches per plate appearance in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
Nationals hitters have an OPS of just .949 (2,326 PA’s) with the pitcher behind in the count since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 1.084.
Pirates Hitting Stats & Trends
The Pirates are batting just .117 with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .162.
Pirates hitters have 102 strikeouts in 291 PA’s (35%) in lefty-lefty matchups since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Pirates hitters have an OPS of just .529 (365 PA’s) on the road this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .662.
Pirates hitters have 920 strikeouts in 3,662 PA’s (25%) against LHP since the 2023 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends
Nationals pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 20% in 2023 — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents had a miss rate of just 23% against Nationals pitchers in 2023 — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Nationals pitchers since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Pirates Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Pirates pitchers this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Pirates pitchers have walked 10 of 157 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 25% against Pirates pitchers since the 2023 season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Pirates pitchers have walked 4 of 110 batters (4%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this month (12 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
More MLB Reading:
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