- The Rangers are -150 favorites vs the Nationals
- Nationals vs Rangers Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Nationals / Rangers TV Channel: MAS2 | BSSW
The Washington Nationals (+125) visit Globe Life Field to take on the Texas Rangers (-150) on Tuesday, April 30, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:05pm EDT in Arlington, TX.
This season, the Nationals are 14-14 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 13-16 ATS.
Nationals vs Rangers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Nationals starting pitcher: MacKenzie Gore 2-2, 3.12 ERA
- Rangers starting pitcher: Jon Gray 0-1, 2.92 ERA
Nationals vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Nationals | +1.5 -160 | O 8.5 -110 | +125 |
| Rangers | -1.5 +135 | U 8.5 -110 | -150 |
Nationals vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rangers will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 53.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Nationals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Nick Senzel has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 6 games (+31.50 Units / 525% ROI)
- CJ Abrams has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 24 games (+15.55 Units / 33% ROI)
- CJ Abrams has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 24 games (+13.95 Units / 52% ROI)
- Jesse Winker has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 16 away games (+11.75 Units / 73% ROI)
- CJ Abrams has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 24 games (+11.05 Units / 37% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Evan Carter has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 12 games (+16.20 Units / 135% ROI)
- Josh H. Smith has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 22 games (+14.30 Units / 38% ROI)
- Corey Seager has hit the RBIs Under in 17 of his last 19 games (+13.45 Units / 40% ROI)
- Leody Taveras has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 23 games (+12.10 Units / 30% ROI)
- Corey Seager has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 13 of his last 17 games (+9.65 Units / 49% ROI)
Nationals Best Bets Today:
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 43 of their last 87 games (+22.15 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 16 of their last 23 away games (+8.08 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 32 away games (+7.95 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 39 of their last 67 away games (+6.30 Units / 8% ROI)
Rangers Best Bets Today:
- The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 85 of their last 152 games (+20.35 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 82 of their last 152 games (+18.88 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Over in 43 of their last 72 games at home (+16.50 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 39 games (+14.10 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 86 of their last 150 games (+13.38 Units / 7% ROI)
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 18-10 against the Run Line (+6.48 Units / 17.41% ROI).
- 14-14 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.45 Units / 26.19% ROI
- 12-15 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.45 Units / -14.55% ROI
- 15-12 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.63 Units / 5.25% ROI
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rangers are 13-16 against the Run Line (-5.3 Units / -13.57% ROI).
- 15-14 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.35 Units / -3.79% ROI
- 12-16 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.6 Units / -17.61% ROI
- 16-12 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.7 Units / 8.44% ROI
Rangers vs Nationals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -300 |
| Corey Seager (TEX) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Marcus Semien (TEX) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Jonah Heim (TEX) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| CJ Abrams (WAS) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
Rangers vs Nationals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Joey Meneses (WAS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Corey Seager (TEX) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Jonah Heim (TEX) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +175 |
| Keibert Ruiz (WAS) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Rangers vs Nationals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -155 |
| Marcus Semien (TEX) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Jonah Heim (TEX) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Corey Seager (TEX) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -200 |
| CJ Abrams (WAS) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
Rangers vs Nationals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .390 (16-for-41) against MacKenzie Gore when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: .238 — third Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 37% (79/214) against MacKenzie Gore on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 75 total IP; League Avg: 26% — 97th Percentile.
MacKenzie Gore has a first-pitch strike rate of just 52% (57/109) this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: 63% — third Percentile.
MacKenzie Gore has walked 23 of 199 batters (12%) versus the bottom of the order since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 75 total IP; League Avg: 7% — first Percentile.
Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .454 (64-for-141) against Jon Gray on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 140 total IP; League Avg: .343 — first Percentile.
Jon Gray has a strikeout rate of 52% (12 SO in 23 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game over the last 14 days — best in AL over the last two weeks; League Avg: 26% — 100th Percentile.
Jon Gray has thrown breaking pitches 62% of the time (67/108) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.
Jon Gray has thrown breaking pitches 62% of the time (139/224) against right-handed batters this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: 31% — 99th Percentile.
Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Nationals are just 43-178 (.195) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .280.
The Nationals are just 70-44 (.614) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .731.
The Nationals are just 22-40 (.355) after a home win since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .531.
The Nationals are just 140-212 (.398) since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals
The Rangers are just 6-139 (.041) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .094.
The Rangers are just 2-152 (.013) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .049.
The Rangers are just 2-64 (.030) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .101.
The Rangers are just 148-24 (.860) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .906.
Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Nationals are batting just .089 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .159.
Nationals hitters are slugging just .118 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .219.
The Nationals have a winning percentage of just 37% at home since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 52%.
Nationals hitters are slugging just .324 at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .390.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
Rangers hitters are slugging .448 against RHP since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .409.
Rangers hitters have an OPS of .830 (3,686 PA’s) at home since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .740.
Rangers hitters have an OPS of .780 (5,508 PA’s) against RHP since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .727.
Rangers hitters are slugging .484 at home since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .417.
Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Nationals pitchers have allowed an OBP of .363 (1,677 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: .315.
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Rangers pitchers have walked 16 of 256 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 29% against Rangers pitchers this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .202 against Rangers pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .244.
Rangers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 31% when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Rangers vs. Nationals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Max Scherzer (Texas Rangers): Back, 15-Day IL
- Jacob deGrom (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Brett Martin (Texas Rangers): Shoulder, Out
- Tyler Mahle (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Jonathan Hernandez (Texas Rangers): Lat, 15-Day IL
- Carson Coleman (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Nathaniel Lowe (Texas Rangers): Oblique, 10-Day IL
- Zach Brzykcy (Washington Nationals): Elbow, Out
- Stone Garrett (Washington Nationals): Ankle, 10-Day IL
- Stephen Strasburg (Washington Nationals): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Nick Senzel (Washington Nationals): Thumb, 10-Day IL
- Mason Thompson (Washington Nationals): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Cade Cavalli (Washington Nationals): Elbow, 60-Day IL
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