- The Rangers are -200 favorites vs the Nationals
- Nationals vs Rangers Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Nationals / Rangers TV Channel: MAS2 | BSSW | MLBN
The Washington Nationals (+165) visit Globe Life Field to take on the Texas Rangers (-200) on Thursday, May 2, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 2:35pm EDT in Arlington, TX.
This season, the Nationals are 15-15 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 14-17 ATS.
Nationals vs Rangers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Nationals starting pitcher: Mitchell Parker 2-0, 1.69 ERA
- Rangers starting pitcher: Nathan Eovaldi 1-2, 3.06 ERA
Nationals vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Nationals | +1.5 -120 | O 8 -105 | +165 |
| Rangers | -1.5 +100 | U 8 -115 | -200 |
Nationals vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rangers will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 66.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Nationals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Nick Senzel has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 8 games (+29.50 Units / 369% ROI)
- CJ Abrams has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 26 games (+12.10 Units / 24% ROI)
- CJ Abrams has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 26 games (+11.95 Units / 41% ROI)
- Eddie Rosario has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 12 of his last 14 games (+11.00 Units / 61% ROI)
- Luis Garcia has hit the Runs Under in his last 11 games (+11.00 Units / 56% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Josh H. Smith has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 24 games (+16.30 Units / 40% ROI)
- Evan Carter has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 7 games (+14.60 Units / 209% ROI)
- Corey Seager has hit the RBIs Under in 18 of his last 21 games (+12.45 Units / 34% ROI)
- Corey Seager has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 16 games (+11.60 Units / 62% ROI)
- Corey Seager has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 21 games (+10.05 Units / 40% ROI)
Nationals Best Bets Today:
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 43 of their last 87 games (+22.15 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 16 of their last 23 away games (+8.08 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 32 away games (+7.95 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 39 of their last 67 away games (+6.30 Units / 8% ROI)
Rangers Best Bets Today:
- The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 83 of their last 149 games (+19.35 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 81 of their last 150 games (+18.83 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Over in 42 of their last 71 games at home (+15.50 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 39 games (+14.10 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 86 of their last 150 games (+13.38 Units / 7% ROI)
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 19-11 against the Run Line (+5.98 Units / 14.96% ROI).
- 15-15 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.15 Units / 26.77% ROI
- 12-16 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.55 Units / -16.96% ROI
- 16-12 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.63 Units / 7.91% ROI
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rangers are 14-17 against the Run Line (-5 Units / -12.18% ROI).
- 16-15 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.35 Units / -5.99% ROI
- 12-17 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.7 Units / -19.73% ROI
- 17-12 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.7 Units / 10.8% ROI
Rangers vs Nationals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -300 |
| Corey Seager (TEX) | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -400 |
| Jonah Heim (TEX) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Marcus Semien (TEX) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Wyatt Langford (TEX) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -750 |
Rangers vs Nationals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Luis Garcia (WAS) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Nate Lowe (TEX) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| CJ Abrams (WAS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Jonah Heim (TEX) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
Rangers vs Nationals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 +100 | 0.5 -135 |
| Corey Seager (TEX) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Jonah Heim (TEX) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Marcus Semien (TEX) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Wyatt Langford (TEX) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
Rangers vs Nationals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Mitchell Parker has allowed no extra-base hits in his last 15.0 innings pitched — Luis Severino has the longest active streak at 24.0.
Mitchell Parker has allowed an OPS of just .483 (62 PA’s) this season — 8th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 11 total IP; League Avg: .697 — 95th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 57% (12/21) against Mitchell Parker — 7th highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 44% — 91st Percentile.
Mitchell Parker has not walked any of the 18 batters that he has faced when going through the lineup the second time in a game over the last 14 days — tied for best in NL over the last two weeks; League Avg: 8% — 100th Percentile.
Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Nathan Eovaldi has walked 11 of 53 batters (21%) over the last 14 days — highest in AL over the last two weeks; League Avg: 7% — first Percentile.
Nathan Eovaldi has walked 7 of 32 right-handed batters (22%) over the last 14 days — highest in AL over the last two weeks; League Avg: 5% — second Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 58% (31/53) against Nathan Eovaldi in non-two strike counts this season — 3rd highest among in MLB; League Avg: 40% — 95th Percentile.
Nathan Eovaldi has walked 11 of 53 batters (21%) — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 7% — 0 Percentile.
Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Nationals are just 52-87 (.374) after a win since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .512.
The Nationals are just 42-68 (.382) after a home loss since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .517.
The Nationals are just 44-179 (.197) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .281.
The Nationals are just 70-44 (.614) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .731.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals
The Rangers are just 2-153 (.013) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .049.
The Rangers are just 2-65 (.030) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .102.
The Rangers are just 6-140 (.041) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .094.
The Rangers are 40-20 (.667) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .560.
Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Nationals are batting just .093 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .157.
The Nationals have a winning percentage of just 37% at home since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 52%.
The Nationals are just 3-12 (.200) against the run line (-49.2% ROI) after a win as favorites since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .446.
Nationals hitters have just 421 strikeouts in 2,253 PA’s (19%) against LHP since last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
Rangers hitters have just 165 strikeouts in 880 PA’s (19%) against RHP this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Rangers hitters have an OPS of .828 (3,763 PA’s) at home since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .739.
Rangers hitters have an OPS of .780 (5,562 PA’s) against RHP since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .726.
Rangers hitters are slugging .482 at home since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .417.
Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends
Nationals pitchers have allowed an OBP of .355 (3,109 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: .309.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Nationals pitchers since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Nationals pitchers since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 29% against Rangers pitchers this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .196 against Rangers pitchers this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .243.
Rangers pitchers have not walked any of the 54 batters that they have faced when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the past seven days (6 games) — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rangers pitchers have walked 16 of 274 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rangers vs. Nationals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Max Scherzer (Texas Rangers): Back, 15-Day IL
- Jacob deGrom (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Brett Martin (Texas Rangers): Shoulder, Out
- Tyler Mahle (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Jonathan Hernandez (Texas Rangers): Lat, 15-Day IL
- Carson Coleman (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Nathaniel Lowe (Texas Rangers): Oblique, 10-Day IL
- Zach Brzykcy (Washington Nationals): Elbow, Out
- Stone Garrett (Washington Nationals): Ankle, 10-Day IL
- Stephen Strasburg (Washington Nationals): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Nick Senzel (Washington Nationals): Thumb, 10-Day IL
- Mason Thompson (Washington Nationals): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Cade Cavalli (Washington Nationals): Elbow, 60-Day IL
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