- The Nationals are -110 favorites vs the Tigers
- Nationals vs Tigers Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Nationals / Tigers TV Channel: MAS2 | BSDT
The Washington Nationals (-105) visit Comerica Park to take on the Detroit Tigers (-115) on Tuesday, June 11, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Detroit, MI.
This season, the Nationals are 30-35 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 30-35 ATS.
Nationals vs Tigers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Nationals starting pitcher: Mitchell Parker 4-3, 3.52 ERA
- Tigers starting pitcher: Kenta Maeda 2-2, 6.36 ERA
Nationals vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Nationals | -1.5 +155 | O 8 -105 | -105 |
| Tigers | +1.5 -190 | U 8 -115 | -115 |
Nationals vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Nationals will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Nationals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Eddie Rosario has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 26 games (+17.90 Units / 69% ROI)
- Luis Garcia has hit the RBIs Under in his last 12 away games (+12.00 Units / 43% ROI)
- Eddie Rosario has hit the Runs Over in 16 of his last 30 games (+11.45 Units / 38% ROI)
- Eddie Rosario has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 22 away games (+11.45 Units / 32% ROI)
- Jesse Winker has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 21 games (+10.80 Units / 45% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Matt Vierling has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 6 games at home (+20.50 Units / 342% ROI)
- Colt Keith has hit the Hits Under in 19 of his last 34 games (+11.05 Units / 31% ROI)
- Colt Keith has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 23 of his last 34 games (+9.25 Units / 21% ROI)
- Matt Vierling has hit the RBIs Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 42% ROI)
- Riley Greene has hit the Runs Over in 24 of his last 43 games (+6.75 Units / 15% ROI)
Nationals Best Bets Today:
- The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 36 of their last 57 games (+13.55 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 57 games (+12.40 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 26 of their last 57 games (+10.10 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 31 away games (+7.90 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 8 of their last 10 away games (+6.35 Units / 52% ROI)
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Over in 31 of their last 48 games (+14.30 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 19 games at home (+7.65 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Under in 21 of their last 35 games (+5.45 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games (+5.05 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 19 games at home (+4.95 Units / 23% ROI)
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 39-26 against the Run Line (+9.63 Units / 11.5% ROI).
- 30-35 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.15 Units / 13.85% ROI
- 28-33 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.05 Units / -11.33% ROI
- 33-28 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.93 Units / 2.68% ROI
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 30-35 against the Run Line (-7.6 Units / -8.69% ROI).
- 32-33 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.15 Units / -4.23% ROI
- 36-23 when betting on the total runs Over for +10.4 Units / 15.24% ROI
- 23-36 when betting on the total runs Under for -16.8 Units / -24.6% ROI
Tigers vs Nationals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Joey Gallo (WAS) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| CJ Abrams (WAS) | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Andy Ibanez (DET) | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Lane Thomas (WAS) | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Eddie Rosario (WAS) | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -1100 |
Tigers vs Nationals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andy Ibanez (DET) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Lane Thomas (WAS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Riley Greene (DET) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Keibert Ruiz (WAS) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Mark Canha (DET) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Tigers vs Nationals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Gio Urshela (DET) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Eddie Rosario (WAS) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Luis Garcia (WAS) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Lane Thomas (WAS) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -225 |
| CJ Abrams (WAS) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
Tigers vs Nationals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kenta Maeda (DET) | 3.5 -145 | 3.5 +110 |
| Mitchell Parker (WAS) | 4.5 +115 | 4.5 -150 |
Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .156 (7-for-45) against Mitchell Parker over the last 14 days — 2nd best among NL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: .241 — 97th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .156 (7-for-45) against Mitchell Parker — 8th best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .234 — 93rd Percentile.
Mitchell Parker has 16 three-pitch strikeouts this season — tied for 15th most among of 525 pitchers in MLB — 97th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .156 (7-for-45) against Mitchell Parker this month (2 games) — 7th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .250 — 93rd Percentile.
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 23% (35/149) against Kenta Maeda’s curve and slider since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 90 total IP; League Avg: 42% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a Hard-Hit Rate of just 5% (1/20) against Kenta Maeda on low breaking pitches this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 25 total IP; League Avg: 32% — 100th Percentile.
Kenta Maeda has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 51% (64/125) of opposing batters this season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 25 total IP; League Avg: 65% — second Percentile.
Kenta Maeda has allowed a slugging percentage of .547 (88 Total Bases / 161 ABs) this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 25 total IP; League Avg: .393 — first Percentile.
Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Nationals are just 40-59 (.404) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .568.
The Nationals are just 57-97 (.370) after a win since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .512.
The Nationals are just 48-195 (.198) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .281.
The Nationals are just 149-202 (.425) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .535.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals
The Tigers are just 20-6 (.769) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .887.
The Tigers are 13-8 (.619) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Tigers are just 24-100 (.194) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .266.
The Tigers are 8-2 (.800) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends
Nationals hitters have just 894 strikeouts in 4,507 PA’s (20%) against LHP since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Nationals are just 3-13 (.188) against the run line (-52.4% ROI) after a win as favorites since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .449.
Nationals hitters have an OPS of just .917 (1,571 PA’s) with the pitcher behind in the count since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 1.083.
Nationals hitters are slugging just .335 against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .391.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .292 (10,931 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .651 (10,931 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .714.
The Tigers are batting just .312 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .340.
Tigers hitters are slugging just .359 against RHP since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .400.
Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Nationals pitchers since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Nationals pitchers since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Tigers pitchers this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Tigers pitchers have won only 16% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
The Tigers have won just 24% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
The Tigers won just 23% of home games in which their opponents scored first in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Tigers vs. Nationals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Austin Meadows (Detroit Tigers): Personal, Out
- Matthew Boyd (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Out
- Sawyer Gipson-Long (Detroit Tigers): Groin, 15-Day IL
- Brendan White (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Day-To-Day
- Freddy Pacheco (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Out
- Garrett Hill (Detroit Tigers): Lat, Out
- Zach Brzykcy (Washington Nationals): Elbow, Out
- Stone Garrett (Washington Nationals): Ankle, 10-Day IL
- Stephen Strasburg (Washington Nationals): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Nick Senzel (Washington Nationals): Thumb, 10-Day IL
- Mason Thompson (Washington Nationals): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Cade Cavalli (Washington Nationals): Elbow, 60-Day IL
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