Orioles vs Angels Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, May 11

MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
(AP Photo)
  • The Orioles are -145 favorites vs the Angels
  • Orioles vs Angels Over / Under today: 9 Runs
  • Orioles / Angels TV Channel: MAS2 | FDW

The Baltimore Orioles (-145) visit Angel Stadium of Anaheim to take on the Los Angeles Angels (+120) on Sunday, May 11, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 4:07pm EDT in Anaheim, CA.

This season, the Orioles are 14-24 against the spread (ATS), while the Angels are 15-23 ATS.

Orioles vs Angels Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Orioles starting pitcher: Zach Eflin 2-1, 3.06 ERA
  • Angels starting pitcher: Tyler Anderson 2-0, 2.70 ERA

Orioles vs. Angels Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Orioles-1.5 +118O 9 -110-145
Angels +1.5 -145U 9 -110+120

Orioles vs Angels Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 55.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Gunnar Henderson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 20 of his last 25 away games (+15.45 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Heston Kjerstad has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 20 away games (+14.30 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Ryan O’Hearn has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 games (+13.60 Units / 136% ROI)
  • Gunnar Henderson has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 25 away games (+12.25 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Adley Rutschman has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 20 games (+11.35 Units / 54% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Angels Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Taylor Ward has hit the Singles Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+15.80 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Taylor Ward has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 20 games (+13.60 Units / 63% ROI)
  • Taylor Ward has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+10.35 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Luis Rengifo has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 20 games (+9.95 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Jo Adell has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games (+9.80 Units / 245% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Under in 16 of their last 18 away games (+14.30 Units / 70% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 15 away games (+11.90 Units / 71% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 10 of their last 13 away games (+7.04 Units / 44% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 11 games (+0.05 Units / 0% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Team Total Under in 17 of their last 26 games (+6.55 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games (+5.08 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.60 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 9 games (+4.20 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.60 Units / 29% ROI)

Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 13-25 against the Run Line (-14.6 Units / -29.58% ROI).

  • 14-24 when betting on the Moneyline for -15 Units / -32.61% ROI
  • 16-19 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.6 Units / -11.03% ROI
  • 19-16 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.55 Units / 3.69% ROI

Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Angels are 15-23 against the Run Line (-15.8 Units / -29.42% ROI).

  • 16-22 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.3 Units / -12.6% ROI
  • 20-17 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.45 Units / 3.44% ROI
  • 17-20 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.5 Units / -10.84% ROI

Angels vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Tyler Oโ€™Neill (BAL) 0.5 +230 0.5 -295
Jorge Soler (LAA) 0.5 +350 0.5 -450
Zach Neto (LAA) 0.5 +360 0.5 -500
Cedric Mullins (BAL) 0.5 +375 0.5 -525
Taylor Ward (LAA) 0.5 +375 0.5 -500

Angels vs Orioles Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Ryan Mountcastle (BAL) 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Zach Neto (LAA) 0.5 -220 0.5 +170
Nolan Schanuel (LAA) 0.5 -210 0.5 +160
Adley Rutschman (BAL) 0.5 -210 0.5 +160
Taylor Ward (LAA) 0.5 -210 0.5 +160

Angels vs Orioles RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Tyler Oโ€™Neill (BAL) 0.5 +135 0.5 -175
Taylor Ward (LAA) 0.5 +155 0.5 -210
Jorge Soler (LAA) 0.5 +160 0.5 -220
Ryan Mountcastle (BAL) 0.5 +165 0.5 -220
Gunnar Henderson (BAL) 0.5 +170 0.5 -225

Angels vs Orioles Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Zach Eflin (BAL) 4.5 +125 4.5 -160

Zach Eflin allowed three-ball counts to 10% of batters they faced (35/350 PA’s) against right-handed batters in the 2024 season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 18% — 100th Percentile.

Zach Eflin walked 4% of batters in the 2024 season — tied for 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 98th Percentile.

Zach Eflin has not thrown a pitch in the zone in 238 pitches this season — tied for lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 15 total IP; League Avg: 21% — third Percentile.

Zach Eflin struck out just 17% (60/350) of right-handed batters he faced in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — fifth Percentile.

Angels Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Tyler Anderson has thrown his changeup 32% of the time (300/927) on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 12% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a Hard-Hit Rate of just 19% (8/43) against Tyler Anderson when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — best among among AL Starters; League Avg: 40% — 100th Percentile.

Tyler Anderson has allowed an OPS of just .417 (63 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 3rd best among among AL Starters; League Avg: .650 — 95th Percentile.

Tyler Anderson has walked 21% of batters with runners in scoring position this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 9% — third Percentile.

Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Angels

The Orioles are just 4-22 (.154) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .287.

The Orioles are just 2-12 (.143) after a win this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .506.

The Orioles are 105-78 (.574) on the road since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .473.

The Orioles are just 0-21 (.000) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .123.

Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles

The Angels are 2-21 (.087) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .045.

The Angels were just 11-37 (.229) when their opponents score in the first inning in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .359.

The Angels were just 32-49 (.395) at home in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .521.

The Angels are just 127-13 (.907) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .949.

Orioles hitters have an OPS of 1.284 (250 PA’s) with the pitcher behind in the count this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.031.

Orioles hitters are slugging .804 with the pitcher behind in the count this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .557.

Orioles hitters have put just 35% of balls in play to the left side of the field since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.

The Orioles are batting just .177 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .237.

Angels hitters have drawn walks in 3% of its PA’s against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Angels hitters have struck out in 27% of it’s PA’s this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Angels hitter’ K:BB ratio is 8.7 against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 2.6.

Angels hitters have struck out in 30% of it’s PA’s against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Orioles pitchers have walked 13% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Batters facing the Orioles pitchers have struck out in the zone 47% of the time this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 51%. this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 51%.

Orioles pitchers have allowed a run 42% of the time after an opposing score this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.

Angels pitchers walked 135 of 1,436 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2024 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

Angels pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Angels pitchers walked 601 of 6,147 batters (10%) in the 2024 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Angels pitchers walked 150 of 1,434 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in 2023 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.