- The Orioles are -150 favorites vs the Blue Jays
- Orioles vs Blue Jays Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Orioles / Blue Jays TV Channel: MAS2 | RSN1
The Baltimore Orioles (-145) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (+120) on Wednesday, August 7, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:07pm EDT in Toronto, ON.
This season, the Orioles are 67-47 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 52-61 ATS.
Orioles vs Blue Jays Starting Pitchers Today:
- Orioles starting pitcher: Trevor Rogers 2-10, 4.79 ERA
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Bowden Francis 4-3, 5.65 ERA
Orioles vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Orioles | -1.5 +110 | O 9.5 -120 | -145 |
| Blue Jays | +1.5 -135 | U 9.5 +100 | +120 |
Orioles vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 58.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today:
- Anthony Santander has hit the Home Runs Over in 16 of his last 45 games (+29.45 Units / 65% ROI)
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the Hits Over in 34 of his last 50 games (+20.50 Units / 24% ROI)
- Colton Cowser has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 19 of his last 20 games (+19.45 Units / 83% ROI)
- Colton Cowser has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 17 games (+13.00 Units / 73% ROI)
- Colton Cowser has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 18 games (+13.00 Units / 54% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Home Runs Over in 15 of his last 38 games (+44.85 Units / 118% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Runs Over in 24 of his last 36 games (+15.20 Units / 41% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the RBIs Over in 21 of his last 38 games (+13.85 Units / 36% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 26 of his last 38 games (+11.55 Units / 23% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 18 games (+10.20 Units / 54% ROI)
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 40 of their last 67 games (+16.20 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 56 of their last 105 games (+13.60 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 59 of their last 99 games (+12.60 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Over in 22 of their last 35 away games (+7.20 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 22 of their last 36 away games (+6.15 Units / 14% ROI)
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 32 of their last 43 games (+21.00 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Over in 23 of their last 37 games (+6.60 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+4.35 Units / 65% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 21 of their last 36 games at home (+3.65 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 6 of their last 10 games (+2.40 Units / 22% ROI)
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 60-54 against the Run Line (+13.45 Units / 10.15% ROI).
- 67-47 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.45 Units / 1.5% ROI
- 63-40 when betting on the total runs Over for +19.55 Units / 15.82% ROI
- 40-63 when betting on the total runs Under for -29.7 Units / -23.75% ROI
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 52-61 against the Run Line (-20.55 Units / -13.44% ROI).
- 52-61 when betting on the Moneyline for -15.15 Units / -10.79% ROI
- 61-49 when betting on the total runs Over for +7 Units / 5.64% ROI
- 49-61 when betting on the total runs Under for -18.45 Units / -14.81% ROI
Blue Jays vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Coby Mayo (BAL) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -750 |
| George Springer (TOR) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
Blue Jays vs Orioles Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adley Rutschman (BAL) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| George Springer (TOR) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
| Ryan O'Hearn (BAL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Colton Cowser (BAL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Ernie Clement (TOR) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
Blue Jays vs Orioles RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| Adley Rutschman (BAL) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Ryan O'Hearn (BAL) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
Blue Jays vs Orioles Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bowden Francis (TOR) | 2.5 -185 | 2.5 +140 |
| Trevor Rogers (BAL) | 3.5 -175 | 3.5 +135 |
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Trevor Rogers has thrown his breaking pitches for a strike just 50% (208/417) of the time this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 44 total IP; League Avg: 62% — first Percentile.
Trevor Rogers has a strike rate of just 50% (208/417) on sliders this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 44 total IP; League Avg: 63% — first Percentile.
Trevor Rogers has thrown his changeup 23% of the time (243/1,049) on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 174 total CH; League Avg: 10% — 97th Percentile.
Hitters have chased just 44 of Trevor Rogers’ 249 breaking balls out of the zone (chase rate of 18%) this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 44 total IP; League Avg: 31% — first Percentile.
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Bowden Francis has a strikeout rate of just 5% (2 SO in 43 PAs) with runners in scoring position this season — lowest among AL Relievers; League Avg: 22% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 15% (16/105) against Bowden Francis on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — 4th lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 29% — second Percentile.
Hitters have chased just 11 of Bowden Francis’ 122 breaking balls out of the zone (chase rate of 9%) this season — lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 32% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .154 (4-for-26) against Bowden Francis on low fastballs since last season — 4th best among AL Relievers; League Avg: .277 — 96th Percentile.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Orioles are 19-9 (.679) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Orioles are 32-24 (.571) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .423.
The Orioles are 51-65 (.440) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .301.
The Orioles are 54-32 (.628) after a road win since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .481.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Blue Jays are 34-28 (.548) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .416.
The Blue Jays are just 8-54 (.129) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .272.
The Blue Jays are just 15-30 (.333) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .423.
The Blue Jays are just 3-52 (.055) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .105.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
Orioles hitters have put just 35% of balls in play to the left side of the field since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Orioles hitters have an OPS of .793 (1,373 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .686.
Orioles hitters have put just 36% of balls in play to the left side of the field since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Orioles hitters are slugging .444 against LHP this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .401.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
Blue Jays hitters have an OBP of .323 (13,031 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Blue Jays hitters have just 1,863 strikeouts in 9,732 PA’s (19%) in righty-righty matchups since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Blue Jays hitters have an OPS of just .628 (1,284 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .686.
Blue Jays hitters have an OPS of .745 (8,611 PA’s) on the road since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .707.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
The Orioles have won 47% of road games in which their opponents scored first since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .207 against Orioles pitchers with the shift since last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .243.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .210 against Orioles pitchers with the shift since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .234.
Orioles pitchers won 42% of games in which they allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road in the 2023 season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Blue Jays pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Blue Jays pitchers have allowed a run just 27% of the time after an opposing score since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.
Blue Jays pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 89.8 MPH (2,911 batted balls) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 88.9.
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 265 of 3,900 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Blue Jays vs. Orioles Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Nate Pearson (Toronto Blue Jays): Illness, Day-To-Day
- Jordan Romano (Toronto Blue Jays): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Isiah Kiner-Falefa (Toronto Blue Jays): Knee, 10-Day IL
- Bo Bichette (Toronto Blue Jays): Calf, 10-Day IL
- Hagen Danner (Toronto Blue Jays): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Nathan Lukes (Toronto Blue Jays): Thumb, 7-Day IL
- Alek Manoah (Toronto Blue Jays): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Orelvis Martinez (Toronto Blue Jays): Suspension, Suspension
- Jonathan Heasley (Baltimore Orioles): Shoulder, Out
- Felix Bautista (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Danny Coulombe (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- John Means (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Tyler Wells (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Kyle Bradish (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Jorge Mateo (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, Day-To-Day
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