- The Orioles are -115 favorites vs the Blue Jays
- Orioles vs Blue Jays Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Orioles / Blue Jays TV Channel: MAS2 | RSN | MLBN
The Baltimore Orioles (-115) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (-105) on Thursday, August 8, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:07pm EDT in Toronto, ON.
This season, the Orioles are 68-47 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 52-62 ATS.
Orioles vs Blue Jays Starting Pitchers Today:
- Orioles starting pitcher: Dean Kremer 4-8, 4.34 ERA
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Kevin Gausman 9-8, 4.58 ERA
Orioles vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Orioles | -1.5 +145 | O 9 -105 | -115 |
| Blue Jays | +1.5 -175 | U 9 -115 | -105 |
Orioles vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 53.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today:
- Anthony Santander has hit the Home Runs Over in 17 of his last 46 games (+32.90 Units / 72% ROI)
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the Hits Over in 33 of his last 50 games (+18.50 Units / 22% ROI)
- Colton Cowser has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 19 of his last 21 games (+18.00 Units / 73% ROI)
- Ryan O’Hearn has hit the Walks Over in 11 of his last 16 games (+14.25 Units / 89% ROI)
- Anthony Santander has hit the Runs Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+12.95 Units / 60% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Home Runs Over in 15 of his last 39 games (+43.85 Units / 112% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Runs Over in 24 of his last 37 games (+14.20 Units / 37% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the RBIs Over in 21 of his last 39 games (+12.85 Units / 33% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 26 of his last 39 games (+10.10 Units / 19% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 19 games (+9.20 Units / 46% ROI)
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 41 of their last 68 games (+17.20 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 57 of their last 106 games (+14.75 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 59 of their last 100 games (+11.60 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Over in 23 of their last 36 away games (+8.20 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 22 of their last 37 away games (+4.95 Units / 11% ROI)
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 33 of their last 44 games (+22.00 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Over in 23 of their last 38 games (+5.60 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 22 of their last 37 games at home (+4.75 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+3.45 Units / 62% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games (+3.40 Units / 68% ROI)
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 61-54 against the Run Line (+14.6 Units / 10.94% ROI).
- 68-47 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.45 Units / 2.09% ROI
- 64-40 when betting on the total runs Over for +20.55 Units / 16.48% ROI
- 40-64 when betting on the total runs Under for -30.8 Units / -24.42% ROI
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 52-62 against the Run Line (-21.9 Units / -14.19% ROI).
- 52-62 when betting on the Moneyline for -16.15 Units / -11.43% ROI
- 62-49 when betting on the total runs Over for +8 Units / 6.39% ROI
- 49-62 when betting on the total runs Under for -19.55 Units / -15.56% ROI
Blue Jays vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| George Springer (TOR) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -650 |
| Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Colton Cowser (BAL) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -800 |
Blue Jays vs Orioles Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan O'Hearn (BAL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Adley Rutschman (BAL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Ernie Clement (TOR) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Colton Cowser (BAL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
| Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Blue Jays vs Orioles RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
| Ryan Mountcastle (BAL) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Adley Rutschman (BAL) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Alejandro Kirk (TOR) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
Blue Jays vs Orioles Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Dean Kremer (BAL) | 3.5 -150 | 3.5 +115 |
| Kevin Gausman (TOR) | 5.5 -135 | 5.5 +100 |
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Dean Kremer has thrown his changeup for a strike just 51% (181/358) of the time since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 110 total IP; League Avg: 61% — third Percentile.
Opponents have a swing rate of just 42% (130/309) against Dean Kremer when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 45 total IP; League Avg: 49% — second Percentile.
Dean Kremer has thrown his off-speed pitches for a strike just 57% (1,024/1,790) of the time since last season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 110 total IP; League Avg: 62% — fourth Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 15% (8/53) against Dean Kremer with runners in scoring position this season — 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 45 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 96th Percentile.
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kevin Gausman allowed a batting average of .381 vs right-handed batters (third worst)– fourth Percentile and just .133 vs left-handed batters over the last two weeks (fourth best among qualified SPs)– 94th Percentile.
Kevin Gausman has thrown his off-speed pitches for a strike just 51% (419/816) of the time this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 62% — first Percentile.
Kevin Gausman has located his fastball up for a strike 76% (1,000/1,315) of the time since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 174 total IP; League Avg: 61% — 100th Percentile.
Kevin Gausman has allowed a .857 SLG vs right-handed batters (worst)– first Percentile and just .167 vs left-handed batters over the last two weeks (third best among qualified SPs)– 96th Percentile.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Orioles are 19-9 (.679) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Orioles are 57-45 (.559) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .416.
The Orioles are 51-65 (.440) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .301.
The Orioles are 54-32 (.628) after a road win since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .482.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Blue Jays are just 8-55 (.127) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .270.
The Blue Jays are 34-28 (.548) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .416.
The Blue Jays are just 7-21 (.250) after a win as underdogs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .413.
The Blue Jays are just 7-17 (.292) after a road win this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .464.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
Orioles hitters have put just 35% of balls in play to the left side of the field since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
The Orioles are 57-29 (.663) against the run line (29.1% ROI) after a road win since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .497.
Orioles hitters have an OPS of .797 (1,388 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .686.
The Orioles are 80-46 (.635) against the run line (20.9% ROI) after a road win since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
The Blue Jays are batting .258 against LHP since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Blue Jays hitters have an OBP of .329 (3,578 PA’s) against LHP since the 2022 season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .318.
Blue Jays hitters have just 444 strikeouts in 2,339 PA’s (19%) against LHP since last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Blue Jays hitters are slugging just .363 against LHP this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .402.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .208 against Orioles pitchers with the shift since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .243.
The Orioles have won 47% of road games in which their opponents scored first since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Orioles pitchers have won 39% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .211 against Orioles pitchers with the shift since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .234.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Blue Jays pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 89.8 MPH (2,935 batted balls) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 88.9.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Blue Jays pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Blue Jays pitchers since last season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% with runners in scoring position this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Blue Jays vs. Orioles Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Nate Pearson (Toronto Blue Jays): Illness, Day-To-Day
- Jordan Romano (Toronto Blue Jays): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Isiah Kiner-Falefa (Toronto Blue Jays): Knee, 10-Day IL
- Bo Bichette (Toronto Blue Jays): Calf, 10-Day IL
- Hagen Danner (Toronto Blue Jays): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Nathan Lukes (Toronto Blue Jays): Thumb, 7-Day IL
- Alek Manoah (Toronto Blue Jays): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Orelvis Martinez (Toronto Blue Jays): Suspension, Suspension
- Jonathan Heasley (Baltimore Orioles): Shoulder, Out
- Felix Bautista (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Danny Coulombe (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- John Means (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Tyler Wells (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Kyle Bradish (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Jorge Mateo (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, Day-To-Day
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