Orioles vs Blue Jays Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Mar 27

Toronto Blue Jays' Vladimir Guerrero Jr. plays against the Boston Red Sox during the fourth inning of a baseball game, Thursday, May 4, 2023, in Boston.
(AP Photo/Michael Dwyer)
  • The Orioles are -115 favorites vs the Blue Jays
  • Orioles vs Blue Jays Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
  • Orioles / Blue Jays TV Channel: MAS2 | RSN | TVA

The Baltimore Orioles (-105) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (-115) on Thursday, March 27, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 3:07pm EDT in Toronto, ON, Canada.

This preseason, the Orioles were 7-9 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays were 14-6 ATS.

Orioles vs Blue Jays Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Orioles starting pitcher: Zach Eflin 0-0, 0.00 ERA
  • Blue Jays starting pitcher: Jose Berrios 0-0, 0.00 ERA

Orioles vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Orioles-1.5 +165O 8.5 -115-105
Blue Jays +1.5 -200U 8.5 -105-115

Orioles vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 53.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Ramon Urias has hit the Runs Over in 11 of his last 15 away games (+14.30 Units / 93% ROI)
  • Ryan O’Hearn has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 3 away games (+12.50 Units / 417% ROI)
  • Colton Cowser has hit the Walks Under in 16 of his last 20 away games (+8.60 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Ramon Urias has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+7.90 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Ramon Urias has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+7.40 Units / 30% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Ernie Clement has hit the RBIs Under in 13 of his last 15 games at home (+8.40 Units / 23% ROI)
  • George Springer has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 9 of his last 10 games at home (+8.20 Units / 71% ROI)
  • George Springer has hit the Total Bases Under in 9 of his last 10 games at home (+7.20 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Alejandro Kirk has hit the Hits Over in 6 of his last 7 games at home (+6.90 Units / 54% ROI)
  • Jose Berrios has hit the Earned Runs Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.75 Units / 58% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Under in 55 of their last 89 games (+18.05 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 83 of their last 154 games (+17.80 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 39 of their last 61 away games (+16.85 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 40 of their last 74 away games (+10.75 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 46 of their last 78 away games (+9.00 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 37 of their last 58 games at home (+16.45 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 18 of their last 29 games (+5.40 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in their last 2 games at home (+2.10 Units / 100% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 15 of their last 29 games at home (+1.25 Units / 3% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 16 of their last 29 games at home (+1.05 Units / 3% ROI)

Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this preseason, the Orioles were 7-11 against the Run Line (-5.15 Units / -22.43% ROI).

  • 7-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.3 Units / -18.3% ROI
  • 14-4 when betting on the total runs Over for +9.55 Units / 47.63% ROI
  • 4-14 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.35 Units / -57.61% ROI

Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this preseason, the Blue Jays were 14-6 against the Run Line (+7.45 Units / 29.74% ROI).

  • 13-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.7 Units / 30.37% ROI
  • 12-8 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.95 Units / 13.05% ROI
  • 8-12 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.85 Units / -22.66% ROI

Blue Jays vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Anthony Santander (TOR) 0.5 +350 0.5 -450
Tyler O'Neill (BOS) 0.5 +400 0.5 -550
Colton Cowser (BAL) 0.5 +450 0.5 -650
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) 0.5 +500 0.5 -700
Jordan Westburg (BAL) 0.5 +600 0.5 -900

Blue Jays vs Orioles Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alejandro Kirk (TOR) 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Adley Rutschman (BAL) 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Ryan O'Hearn (BAL) 0.5 -225 0.5 +170
Tyler O'Neill (BOS) 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Colton Cowser (BAL) 0.5 -210 0.5 +155

Blue Jays vs Orioles RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Anthony Santander (TOR) 0.5 +135 0.5 -185
Tyler O'Neill (BOS) 0.5 +145 0.5 -190
Ryan O'Hearn (BAL) 0.5 +165 0.5 -220
Jordan Westburg (BAL) 0.5 +165 0.5 -220
Ryan Mountcastle (BAL) 0.5 +170 0.5 -225

Blue Jays vs Orioles Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jose Berrios (TOR) 4.5 -130 4.5 +100
Zach Eflin (BAL) 3.5 +130 3.5 -165

Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays

The Orioles are 156-13 (.923) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .858.

The Orioles are 79-52 (.603) after a loss since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .497.

The Orioles are 19-14 (.576) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Orioles are 164-12 (.932) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .900.

Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles

The Blue Jays are just 20-109 (.155) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .208.

The Blue Jays are 27-15 (.643) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Blue Jays were just 4-74 (.051) when trailing entering the 8th inning in 2024 — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .099.

The Blue Jays are just 20-79 (.202) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .261.

Orioles hitters grounded into 71 double plays in 1,127 opportunities (6%) in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.

Orioles hitters slugged .440 on the road in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .394.

The Orioles are batting .364 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .340.

Orioles hitters have 387 extra-base hits out of 1,065 total hits (36%) with two-strikes since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 33%.

The Blue Jays batted just .240 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in 2023 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .267.

27% of Blue Jays hitters strikeouts came on 95+ MPH fastballs in 2023 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Blue Jays hitters have an OBP of .324 (14,376 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .314.

Blue Jays hitters struck out just 268 times in 1,405 PA’s (19%) against LHP in 2023 — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Orioles pitchers have walked 300 of 4,341 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .213 against Orioles pitchers with the shift since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .236.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .211 against Orioles pitchers with the shift since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .244.

Opponents had a groundball batting average of just .198 against Orioles pitchers with the shift in 2023 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .240.

Opponents had a miss rate of just 24% against Blue Jays pitchers in the 2024 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 42% against Blue Jays pitchers since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Blue Jays pitchers had allowed a run just 24% of the time after an opposing score in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.

Blue Jays pitchers had a strikeout rate of 24% with runners in scoring position in 2023 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.