The Baltimore Orioles (+135) visit CoolToday Park to take on the Atlanta Braves (-160) on Saturday, March 9, 2024. First pitch is for this Spring Training game is scheduled for 1:05pm EST in North Port, FL.
This season, the Orioles are 10-0 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 5-3 ATS.
Orioles vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Moneyline | |
| Orioles | +135 |
| Braves | -160 |
Orioles vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Saturday‘s matchup with 56.2% confidence, based on game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
Bet now on Orioles vs Braves and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today:
- Kyle Stowers has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 9 games (+9.25 Units / 73% ROI)
- Adley Rutschman has hit the Hits Under in his last 3 games (+4.70 Units / 100% ROI)
- Heston Kjerstad has hit the Singles Under in his last 4 away games (+4.00 Units / 64% ROI)
- Ryan Mountcastle has hit the Hits Under in his last 3 away games (+3.75 Units / 61% ROI)
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the RBIs Over in his last 2 games (+3.70 Units / 185% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Eddie Rosario has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 39% ROI)
- Sean Murphy has hit the RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 37% ROI)
- Ozzie Albies has hit the Hits Over in 2 of his last 3 games at home (+1.80 Units / 38% ROI)
- Vaughn Grissom has hit the RBIs Over in 1 of his last 2 games (+1.00 Units / 50% ROI)
- Chadwick Tromp has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 1 of his last 2 games at home (+0.30 Units / 15% ROI)
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 100 of their last 162 games (+33.70 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 57 of their last 82 away games (+26.60 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 22 games (+11.60 Units / 48% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Over in 49 of their last 82 away games (+10.05 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.65 Units / 32% ROI)
Braves Best Bets Today:
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Over in 91 of their last 157 games (+21.60 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Over in 36 of their last 55 games at home (+13.64 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 33 of their last 55 games at home (+9.25 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 31 of their last 50 games at home (+5.50 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 30 of their last 50 games at home (+4.61 Units / 5% ROI)
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this Spring Training, the Orioles are 7-3 against the Run Line (+4.65 Units / 40.12% ROI).
- 10-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.85 Units / 76.79% ROI
- 3-6 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.59 Units / -32.52% ROI
- 6-3 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.7 Units / 24.52% ROI
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this Spring Training, the Braves are 5-3 against the Run Line (+1.48 Units / 13.54% ROI).
- 5-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.85 Units / 35.88% ROI
- 3-5 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.52 Units / -28.73% ROI
- 5-3 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.58 Units / 17.65% ROI
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Dean Kremer located 57% of his pitches away (1,656/2,925) in the 2023 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 46% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents had a line drive rate of 35% (35/99) versus Dean Kremer with runners in scoring position in the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents had a line drive rate of 27% (141/518) versus Dean Kremer in the 2023 season — tied for 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — sixth Percentile.
68% of Dean Kremer’s non-fastball strikeouts were located away in the 2023 season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 47% — 97th Percentile.
Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents had a chase percentage of 43% (84/195) against Chris Sale with runners in scoring position in the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents had a chase percentage of 48% (162/336) against Chris Sale with two-strikes in the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 39% — 100th Percentile.
Chris Sale had a strikeout rate of 43% (68/157) on low non-fastballs in the 2023 season — 15th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 34% — 90th Percentile.
Opponents batted just .162 (24-for-148) against Chris Sale’s curve and slider in the 2023 season — 8th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .228 — 93rd Percentile.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Braves
The Orioles are 54-41 (.568) after a loss as underdogs since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .407.
The Orioles were 72-12 (.857) when they scored 5 or more runs in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .780.
The Orioles are 55-57 (.491) after a win as underdogs since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .417.
The Orioles were 22-26 (.458) when allowing 2 or more home runs in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .312.
Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Braves were 28-46 (.378) when they allowed 5 or more runs in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .220.
The Braves were 5-2 (.714) after a win as underdogs in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .433.
The Braves are 46-41 (.529) when allowing 2 or more home runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .303.
The Braves are 164-34 (.828) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .718.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
The Orioles were 36-16 (.692) against the run line (28.5% ROI) after a road win in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .498.
The Orioles are 193-126 (.601) against the run line (12.5% ROI) since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .493.
The Orioles won 64% of their road games in the 2023 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Orioles hitters drew 169 walks in 1,701 PA’s (10%) against LHP in the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Braves Hitting Stats & Trends
Braves hitters slugged .615 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .455.
The Braves batted .326 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .267.
Braves hitters had an OPS of .845 (6,249 PA’s) in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .734.
Braves hitters had an OBP of .400 (732 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .330.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
The Orioles won 53% of road games in which their opponents scored first in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
The Orioles won 49% of games in which their opponents scored first in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 34%.
Orioles pitchers had a strikeout rate of 24% with runners in scoring position in the 2023 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Orioles pitchers had allowed 177 home runs in the 2023 season — tied for 4th fewest in MLB.
Braves Pitching Stats & Trends
Braves pitchers won 46% of games in which they allowed their opponent to score in three different innings in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Braves pitchers have won 42% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
The Braves pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Braves pitchers won 49% of games in which they allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Braves vs. Orioles Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Tyler Matzek (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, Day-To-Day
- Evan White (Atlanta Braves): Hip, Out
- Angel Perdomo (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, Out
- Penn Murfee (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, Out
- Eli White (Atlanta Braves): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Ian Anderson (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, Out
- Jackson Stephens (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, Out
- Gunnar Henderson (Baltimore Orioles): Oblique, Out
- Felix Bautista (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Terrin Vavra (Baltimore Orioles): Shoulder, Out
- John Means (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, Out
- Kyle Bradish (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, Out
- Shintaro Fujinami (Baltimore Orioles): Personal, Out
Bet now on Orioles vs Braves and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.
