- The Orioles are +100 favorites vs the Diamondbacks
- Orioles vs Diamondbacks Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Orioles / Diamondbacks TV Channel: MAS2 | DBTV | MLBN
The Baltimore Orioles (+100) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (-120) on Tuesday, April 8, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Phoenix, AZ.
This season, the Orioles are 5-6 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 5-6 ATS.
Orioles vs Diamondbacks Starting Pitchers Today:
- Orioles starting pitcher: Charlie Morton 0-2, 9.73 ERA
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Merrill Kelly 1-1, 10.01 ERA
Orioles vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Orioles | -1.5 +155 | O 9 -105 | +100 |
| Diamondbacks | +1.5 -190 | U 9 -115 | -120 |
Orioles vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today:
- Ryan O’Hearn has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 9 away games (+15.50 Units / 172% ROI)
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 25 away games (+12.75 Units / 40% ROI)
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 25 away games (+11.15 Units / 39% ROI)
- Ramon Urias has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+9.70 Units / 23% ROI)
- Ramon Urias has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+9.60 Units / 24% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 5 games at home (+10.50 Units / 210% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Singles Under in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 55% ROI)
- Jake McCarthy has hit the Hits Under in his last 6 games (+8.05 Units / 134% ROI)
- Jake McCarthy has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 6 games (+8.05 Units / 134% ROI)
- Jake McCarthy has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 6 games (+6.40 Units / 81% ROI)
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Under in 55 of their last 89 games (+18.05 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 83 of their last 154 games (+17.80 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 39 of their last 61 away games (+16.85 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 40 of their last 74 away games (+10.75 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 46 of their last 78 away games (+9.00 Units / 9% ROI)
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Over in 69 of their last 106 games (+32.10 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 64 of their last 105 games (+16.95 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 56 of their last 97 games (+13.40 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 58 of their last 97 games (+12.60 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 64 of their last 128 games (+9.70 Units / 6% ROI)
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 5-6 against the Run Line (-2.8 Units / -16.37% ROI).
- 5-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.5 Units / -12.4% ROI
- 7-4 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.8 Units / 23.43% ROI
- 4-7 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.65 Units / -29.8% ROI
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 5-6 against the Run Line (-0.9 Units / -6.74% ROI).
- 5-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.5 Units / -17.61% ROI
- 6-4 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.6 Units / 13.33% ROI
- 4-6 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.7 Units / -22.13% ROI
Diamondbacks vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler O’Neill (BAL) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Eugenio Suarez (ARI) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -625 |
| Corbin Carroll (ARI) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Adley Rutschman (BAL) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
Diamondbacks vs Orioles Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jordan Westburg (BAL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (ARI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Adley Rutschman (BAL) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Ryan Mountcastle (BAL) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Ryan O'Hearn (BAL) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Diamondbacks vs Orioles RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adley Rutschman (BAL) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (ARI) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Jordan Westburg (BAL) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Tyler O’Neill (BAL) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
Diamondbacks vs Orioles Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Merrill Kelly (ARI) | 4.5 +115 | 4.5 -150 |
| Charlie Morton (BAL) | 5.5 +120 | 5.5 -160 |
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Charlie Morton threw his curveball 47% of the time (705/1,517) vs left-handed batters in the 2024 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 18% — 100th Percentile.
Charlie Morton has thrown his curveball 55% of the time (481/878) with two-strikes since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 18% — 100th Percentile.
Charlie Morton has allowed an OBP of .352 (287 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .289 — third Percentile.
Charlie Morton threw his curveball 56% of the time (461/824) with two-strikes in the 2024 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 19% — 100th Percentile.
Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Merrill Kelly has allowed 4 stolen bases this season — tied for 2nd most in MLB — 99th Percentile.
Merrill Kelly has a strikeout rate of just 7% (3 SO in 46 PAs) this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 3 total IP; League Avg: 22% — second Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a chase rate of just 12% (6/52) against Merrill Kelly this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 3 total IP; League Avg: 27% — 0 Percentile.
Merrill Kelly walked 25 of 207 batters (12%) versus the bottom of the order in 2023 — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — second Percentile.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Orioles are 103-67 (.606) on the road since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .476.
The Orioles are 71-6 (.922) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .800.
The Orioles are 145-21 (.873) when scoring 5 or more runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .793.
The Orioles are 103-26 (.798) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .700.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Diamondbacks are just 152-12 (.927) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .950.
The Diamondbacks are 21-123 (.145) when trailing entering the 8th inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .099.
The Diamondbacks were 5-59 (.077) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Diamondbacks are 136-35 (.791) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .727.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
Orioles hitters have put just 33% of balls in play to the left side of the field since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Orioles hitters have put just 34% of balls in play to the left side of the field since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Orioles hitters slugged .299 with two-strikes in the 2024 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .264.
Orioles hitters have put just 34% of balls in play to the left side of the field with runners in scoring position since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks hitters have an OBP of .345 (2,136 PA’s) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .314.
The Diamondbacks are batting .279 against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .245.
Diamondbacks hitters had an OBP of .346 (1,983 PA’s) against LHP in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .314.
The Diamondbacks batted .284 against LHP in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .245.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Orioles pitchers this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .212 against Orioles pitchers with the shift since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .244.
Orioles pitchers have walked 13 of 95 batters (14%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of 27% in close and late situations since the 2023 season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a miss rate of just 24% against Diamondbacks pitchers in the 2024 season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Diamondbacks pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 21% in the 2024 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of 49% with two-strikes this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
More MLB Reading:
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