- The Mariners are -140 favorites vs the Orioles
- Orioles vs Mariners Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Orioles / Mariners TV Channel: MAS2 | RTNW
The Baltimore Orioles (+115) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (-140) on Tuesday, June 3, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Seattle, WA, WA.
This season, the Orioles are 22-36 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 28-30 ATS.
Orioles vs Mariners Starting Pitchers Today:
- Orioles starting pitcher: Tomoyuki Sugano 4-3, 3.24 ERA
- Mariners starting pitcher: George Kirby 0-2, 11.43 ERA
Orioles vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Orioles | +1.5 -170 | O 7.5 -102 | +115 |
| Mariners | -1.5 +140 | U 7.5 -118 | -140 |
Orioles vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 58.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today:
- Dylan Carlson has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 7 games (+16.00 Units / 229% ROI)
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 25 away games (+10.35 Units / 35% ROI)
- Jackson Holliday has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 20 away games (+7.90 Units / 30% ROI)
- Ramon Urias has hit the Hits Over in his last 7 away games (+7.00 Units / 51% ROI)
- Ryan O’Hearn has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 25 away games (+6.95 Units / 26% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Cal Raleigh has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 20 games at home (+13.60 Units / 39% ROI)
- Randy Arozarena has hit the Walks Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+11.55 Units / 28% ROI)
- J.P. Crawford has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 20 games at home (+10.65 Units / 51% ROI)
- J.P. Crawford has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 20 games at home (+9.55 Units / 34% ROI)
- Rowdy Tellez has hit the Runs Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 43% ROI)
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Under in 34 of their last 53 games (+12.60 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 23 away games (+9.18 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 15 of their last 21 away games (+8.64 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 games (+6.00 Units / 49% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.35 Units / 42% ROI)
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 21 games at home (+12.80 Units / 57% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Over in 31 of their last 52 games (+7.45 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 30 of their last 52 games (+5.75 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 46 games (+5.30 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 24 of their last 46 games (+3.10 Units / 6% ROI)
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 19-38 against the Run Line (-23.06 Units / -31.02% ROI).
- 22-36 when betting on the Moneyline for -21.45 Units / -30.01% ROI
- 27-28 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.53 Units / -5.56% ROI
- 28-27 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.87 Units / -2.91% ROI
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 28-30 against the Run Line (-1.6 Units / -2.23% ROI).
- 32-26 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.05 Units / -1.34% ROI
- 32-24 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.5 Units / 8.66% ROI
- 24-32 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.57 Units / -18.02% ROI
Mariners vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +275 | 0.5 -350 |
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -400 |
| Randy Arozarena (SEA) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Colton Cowser (BAL) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -625 |
| Julio Rodriguez (SEA) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
Mariners vs Orioles Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Jackson Holliday (BAL) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Jordan Westburg (BAL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Jorge Polanco (SEA) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Ryan O'Hearn (BAL) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Mariners vs Orioles RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Julio Rodriguez (SEA) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -235 |
| Randy Arozarena (SEA) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Jordan Westburg (BAL) | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
Mariners vs Orioles Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| George Kirby (SEA) | 5.5 +105 | 5.5 -140 |
| Tomoyuki Sugano (BAL) | 4.5 +135 | 4.5 -185 |
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Tomoyuki Sugano has a strikeout rate of just 8% (8 SO in 99 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 22% — first Percentile.
26% of Tomoyuki Sugano’s strikeouts are on pitches in the zone this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 49% — first Percentile.
Tomoyuki Sugano has walked 4% of batters this season — 6th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 93rd Percentile.
Tomoyuki Sugano has a in-zone of just 35% (94/266) in two strike counts this season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — fifth Percentile.
Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
George Kirby has walked 2% of right-handed batters in the 2024 season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — 100th Percentile.
George Kirby had a strike rate of 71% (2,002/2,825) in 2023 — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — 100th Percentile.
George Kirby walked 3% of batters in the 2024 season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.
George Kirby walked 7 of 297 batters (2%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game in the 2024 season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Orioles are just 1-29 (.033) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .133.
The Orioles are 76-28 (.731) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .625.
The Orioles are just 6-30 (.167) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .297.
The Orioles were 79-7 (.919) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .856.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Mariners are 3-20 (.130) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .040.
The Mariners are 92-18 (.836) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .737.
The Mariners are 144-22 (.867) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .795.
The Mariners are 23-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .905.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
Orioles hitters are slugging just .272 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .377.
The Orioles are batting just .199 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .238.
Orioles hitters have an OPS of just .547 (538 PA’s) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .685.
Orioles hitters have put just 34% of balls in play to the left side of the field since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
The Mariners batted just .207 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .263.
The Mariners are batting just .215 at home since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .246.
The Mariners are batting just .206 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .260.
The Mariners batted just .214 at home in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .244.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
Orioles pitchers have walked 12% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Orioles pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Orioles pitchers have allowed a slugging percentage of .472 this season — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: .395.
Orioles pitchers have an ERA of 5.67 (262.0 IP) at home this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.85.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Mariners pitchers walked 76 of 1,441 batters (5%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Mariners pitchers allowed an OBP of just .251 (1,441 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .305.
Mariners pitchers walked 369 of 5,801 batters (6%) in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Mariners pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 35% of their games since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
More MLB Reading:
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