- The Orioles are -140 favorites vs the Rays
- Orioles vs Rays Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Orioles / Rays TV Channel: FS1 | MASN | BSUN
The Baltimore Orioles (-140) visit Tropicana Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (+115) on Monday, June 10, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:50pm EDT in St. Petersburg, FL.
This season, the Orioles are 42-22 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 27-38 ATS.
Orioles vs Rays Starting Pitchers Today:
- Orioles starting pitcher: Corbin Burnes 6-2, 2.26 ERA
- Rays starting pitcher: Ryan Pepiot 4-2, 3.96 ERA
Orioles vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Orioles | -1.5 +125 | O 7.5 -105 | -140 |
| Rays | +1.5 -155 | U 7.5 -115 | +115 |
Orioles vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Monday‘s MLB game with 59.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
Bet now on Orioles vs Rays and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today:
- player high – away
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- player high – home
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 34 of their last 55 games (+18.45 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 34 of their last 49 games (+17.30 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Over in 13 of their last 17 games (+8.85 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 16 of their last 23 games (+8.80 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 17 games (+7.85 Units / 30% ROI)
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 43 of their last 62 games (+23.80 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 21 of their last 35 games at home (+5.85 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 30 games at home (+4.70 Units / 14% ROI)
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 38-26 against the Run Line (+18.3 Units / 24.55% ROI).
- 42-22 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.95 Units / 11.88% ROI
- 33-23 when betting on the total runs Over for +8 Units / 11.58% ROI
- 23-33 when betting on the total runs Under for -13.45 Units / -19.34% ROI
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rays are 27-38 against the Run Line (-13.05 Units / -15.59% ROI).
- 31-34 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.3 Units / -14.62% ROI
- 34-31 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.05 Units / -0.07% ROI
- 31-34 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.55 Units / -9.14% ROI
Rays vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -350 |
| Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Brandon Lowe (TB) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -650 |
| Ryan O'Hearn (BAL) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Adley Rutschman (BAL) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
Rays vs Orioles Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Josh Lowe (TB) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Brandon Lowe (TB) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Randy Arozarena (TB) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Colton Cowser (BAL) | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +135 |
Rays vs Orioles RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Ryan Mountcastle (BAL) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Ryan O'Hearn (BAL) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Jordan Westburg (BAL) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
Rays vs Orioles Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Zack Littell (TB) | 4.5 -105 | 4.5 -125 |
| Grayson Rodriguez (BAL) | 6.5 +100 | 6.5 -135 |
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Corbin Burnes has located his fastball inside 62% of the time (213/342) since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — 100th Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 64% (60/94) against Corbin Burnes this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 42% — 100th Percentile.
Corbin Burnes has located his fastball inside 71% of the time (57/80) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 33% — 100th Percentile.
Corbin Burnes has located his fastballs down 74% of the time (59/80) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 29% — 100th Percentile.
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .100 (9-for-90) against Ryan Pepiot’s fastball this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 25 total IP; League Avg: .255 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 37% (69/187) against Ryan Pepiot on fastballs this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 25 total IP; League Avg: 19% — 100th Percentile.
Ryan Pepiot has a strikeout rate of 50% (9 SO in 18 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game over the last 14 days — best among AL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: 21% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .087 (2-for-23) against Ryan Pepiot on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 25 total IP; League Avg: .329 — 100th Percentile.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Orioles are 55-42 (.567) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .412.
The Orioles are 5-15 (.250) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .112.
The Orioles are 48-25 (.658) after a road win since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .486.
The Orioles are 27-31 (.466) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .308.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Rays are just 16-35 (.314) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .413.
The Rays are 20-10 (.667) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Rays are 10-84 (.106) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .054.
The Rays are just 9-21 (.300) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .421.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
Orioles hitters are slugging .471 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .392.
Orioles hitters are slugging .445 against RHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .387.
Orioles hitters are slugging .289 on pitches out of the zone this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .211.
Orioles hitters are slugging .326 with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .259.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rays scored first in 64% of their games in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Rays hitters are slugging just .340 against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .387.
Rays hitters have 175 strikeouts in 538 PA’s (33%) in lefty-lefty matchups since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
The Rays scored first in 71% of their games against division opponents in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
The Orioles have won 51% of road games in which their opponents scored first since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Orioles pitchers have an ERA of 2.45 (198.0 IP) against division opponents this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.10.
The Orioles have won 49% of games in which their opponents scored first since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 33%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 36% against Orioles pitchers this month (9 games) — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
The Rays pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Rays pitchers have walked 1,008 of 14,428 batters (7%) since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 37% against Rays pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Rays pitchers allowed division opponents to score first in just 29% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Rays vs. Orioles Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Taylor Walls (Tampa Bay Rays): Hip, 10-Day IL
- Jonny DeLuca (Tampa Bay Rays): Hand, 10-Day IL
- Jeffrey Springs (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Shane Baz (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Jonathan Aranda (Tampa Bay Rays): Finger, 10-Day IL
- Taj Bradley (Tampa Bay Rays): Pectoral, 15-Day IL
- Josh Lowe (Tampa Bay Rays): Oblique, 10-Day IL
- Junior Caminero (Tampa Bay Rays): Quadriceps, Day-To-Day
- Garrett Acton (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, Out
- Drew Rasmussen (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Shane McClanahan (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Wander Franco (Tampa Bay Rays): Personal, Suspension
- Felix Bautista (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Terrin Vavra (Baltimore Orioles): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- John Means (Baltimore Orioles): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Kyle Bradish (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Cionel Perez (Baltimore Orioles): Oblique, 15-Day IL
Bet now on Orioles vs Rays and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.
