- The Orioles are -105 favorites vs the Rays
- Orioles vs Rays Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Orioles / Rays TV Channel: MAS2 | FSUN
The Baltimore Orioles (-110) visit George M. Steinbrenner Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (-110) on Monday, June 16, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 7:35pm EDT in Tampa, FL.
This season, the Orioles are 30-40 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 36-35 ATS.
Orioles vs Rays Starting Pitchers Today:
- Orioles starting pitcher: Zach Eflin 6-2, 4.11 ERA
- Rays starting pitcher: Ryan Pepiot 3-6, 3.32 ERA
Orioles vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Orioles | -1.5 +150 | O 8.5 +100 | -110 |
| Rays | +1.5 -180 | U 8.5 -120 | -110 |
Orioles vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Monday‘s MLB game with 53.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today:
- Ramon Urias has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games (+14.50 Units / 362% ROI)
- Jackson Holliday has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 25 away games (+10.30 Units / 30% ROI)
- Dylan Carlson has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 15 away games (+9.05 Units / 27% ROI)
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 25 games (+8.50 Units / 20% ROI)
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the Singles Over in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 83% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Brandon Lowe has hit the Runs Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+16.95 Units / 66% ROI)
- Jonathan Aranda has hit the Singles Over in 13 of his last 15 games at home (+12.90 Units / 86% ROI)
- Brandon Lowe has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 25 games (+12.85 Units / 26% ROI)
- Brandon Lowe has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+12.70 Units / 44% ROI)
- Danny Jansen has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 5 games (+12.30 Units / 246% ROI)
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 29 away games (+13.03 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Under in 40 of their last 65 games (+11.00 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 18 of their last 27 away games (+8.54 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 20 games (+7.90 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 11 of their last 22 games (+3.35 Units / 12% ROI)
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 24 games (+12.80 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 16 of their last 23 games (+11.45 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 29 games at home (+10.40 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 30 games at home (+8.35 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 14 of their last 23 games (+6.90 Units / 24% ROI)
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 25-44 against the Run Line (-21.91 Units / -24.98% ROI).
- 30-40 when betting on the Moneyline for -17.7 Units / -20.5% ROI
- 31-36 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.28 Units / -10.82% ROI
- 36-31 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.68 Units / 2.17% ROI
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rays are 36-35 against the Run Line (+1.55 Units / 1.75% ROI).
- 39-32 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.63 Units / 5.24% ROI
- 28-40 when betting on the total runs Over for -16.45 Units / -20.81% ROI
- 40-28 when betting on the total runs Under for +9.75 Units / 12.62% ROI
Rays vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -450 |
| Junior Caminero (TB) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Jordan Westburg (BAL) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Brandon Lowe (TB) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -625 |
| Jonathan Aranda (TB) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
Rays vs Orioles Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jake Mangum (TB) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
| Brandon Lowe (TB) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Jordan Westburg (BAL) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +180 |
| Junior Caminero (TB) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +180 |
Rays vs Orioles RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Junior Caminero (TB) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Jonathan Aranda (TB) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Jordan Westburg (BAL) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Brandon Lowe (TB) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -220 |
Rays vs Orioles Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Pepiot (TB) | 5.5 -110 | 5.5 -115 |
| Zach Eflin (BAL) | 4.5 -105 | 4.5 -125 |
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Zach Eflin walked 4% of batters in the 2024 season — tied for 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 98th Percentile.
Zach Eflin has walked 3% of batters when going through the lineup the first time in a game since the 2023 season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.
Zach Eflin has walked 2% of right-handed batters in the 2024 season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents batted .347 (60-for-173) against Zach Eflin when going through the lineup the third time in a game in the 2024 season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .258 — third Percentile.
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Ryan Pepiot allowed an OBP of just .147 (75 PA’s) vs left-handed batters in 2023 — best among NL Relievers; League Avg: .316 — 100th Percentile.
Left-handed batters hit just .111 (8-for-72) against Ryan Pepiot in 2023 — 2nd best among NL Relievers; League Avg: .229 — 98th Percentile.
Ryan Pepiot allowed a BABIP of .089 vs left-handed batters in 2023 — best among NL Relievers; League Avg: .285 — 100th Percentile.
Ryan Pepiot’s K:BB ratio was 7.6 (38/5) in 2023 — 3rd best among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 2.7 — 99th Percentile.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Orioles are just 5-10 (.333) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Orioles are just 5-16 (.238) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams this season They play the Rays (seventh best runs allowed) today.
The Orioles are just 2-98 (.020) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .048.
The Orioles were 36-10 (.783) when they scored in the first inning in the 2024 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .641.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Rays are 4-26 (.133) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .045.
The Rays are 16-153 (.094) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .049.
The Rays are 6-27 (.182) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .096.
The Rays are 89-25 (.781) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .702.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
Orioles hitters are slugging just .301 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .377.
Orioles hitters have put just 35% of balls in play to the left side of the field since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
The Orioles are batting just .213 against LHP this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .239.
Orioles hitters grounded into 71 double plays in 1,127 opportunities (6%) in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
Rays hitters put just 31% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Rays hitters had a groundball batting average of .311 with runners on base in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .259.
Rays hitters had an OPS of just .669 (6,006 PA’s) in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .712.
Rays hitters slugged just .366 in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .399.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
Orioles pitchers have walked 12% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of 52% with two-strikes over the last 14 days — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Orioles pitchers this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Orioles pitchers had a strikeout rate of 24% with runners in scoring position in 2023 — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
Rays pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into 68 double plays in 456 opportunities (15%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Rays pitchers have walked 7% of batters this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Rays pitchers have won 56% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rays pitchers have walked 7% of batters since last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
More MLB Reading:
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