- The Orioles are -115 favorites vs the Rays
- Orioles vs Rays Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Orioles / Rays TV Channel: MAS2 | BSUN
The Baltimore Orioles (-105) visit Tropicana Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (-115) on Friday, June 7, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:50pm EDT in St. Petersburg, FL.
This season, the Orioles are 39-22 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 27-35 ATS.
Orioles vs Rays Starting Pitchers Today:
- Orioles starting pitcher: Cole Irvin 5-2, 2.83 ERA
- Rays starting pitcher: Aaron Civale 2-4, 5.38 ERA
Orioles vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Orioles | -1.5 +155 | O 8.5 -115 | -105 |
| Rays | +1.5 -190 | U 8.5 -105 | -115 |
Orioles vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Friday‘s MLB game with 55.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today:
- Anthony Santander has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 13 games (+11.55 Units / 89% ROI)
- Adley Rutschman has hit the Hits Over in 10 of his last 12 games (+11.30 Units / 54% ROI)
- Colton Cowser has hit the Runs Over in 7 of his last 9 games (+7.55 Units / 84% ROI)
- Ryan Mountcastle has hit the RBIs Under in 12 of his last 15 away games (+7.35 Units / 27% ROI)
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the Singles Under in his last 7 away games (+7.00 Units / 78% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Total Bases Over in 27 of his last 37 games (+15.90 Units / 29% ROI)
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Hits Over in 28 of his last 37 games (+11.20 Units / 17% ROI)
- Yandy Diaz has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 18 games (+11.00 Units / 46% ROI)
- Alex Jackson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+10.15 Units / 73% ROI)
- Yandy Diaz has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 32 games (+9.70 Units / 30% ROI)
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 52 games (+14.55 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 31 of their last 46 games (+14.30 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 14 of their last 20 games (+7.80 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Over in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.75 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 14 games (+4.85 Units / 22% ROI)
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 40 of their last 59 games (+20.80 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Over in 17 of their last 28 games (+4.30 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 27 games at home (+3.80 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games (+3.10 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 16 of their last 30 games (+2.05 Units / 5% ROI)
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 35-26 against the Run Line (+14.4 Units / 20.13% ROI).
- 39-22 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.95 Units / 9.01% ROI
- 31-22 when betting on the total runs Over for +7.1 Units / 10.79% ROI
- 22-31 when betting on the total runs Under for -12.25 Units / -18.49% ROI
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rays are 27-35 against the Run Line (-8.5 Units / -10.74% ROI).
- 31-31 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.2 Units / -11.35% ROI
- 32-30 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.95 Units / -1.4% ROI
- 30-32 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.35 Units / -7.82% ROI
Rays vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -450 |
| Randy Arozarena (TB) | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -450 |
| Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Yandy Diaz (TB) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
| Ryan Mountcastle (BAL) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
Rays vs Orioles Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adley Rutschman (BAL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Ryan O'Hearn (BAL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Randy Arozarena (TB) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Isaac Paredes (TB) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Rays vs Orioles RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Isaac Paredes (TB) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Ryan Mountcastle (BAL) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Jordan Westburg (BAL) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Rays vs Orioles Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Civale (TB) | 4.5 -155 | 4.5 +120 |
| Cole Irvin (BAL) | 4.5 +110 | 4.5 -150 |
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 7% (5/73) against Cole Irvin on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 24 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .471 (8-for-17) against Cole Irvin when going through the lineup the second time in a game — 2nd highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .236 — second Percentile.
Cole Irvin has allowed an OBP of .500 (18 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game over the last 14 days — highest among AL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: .265 — second Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .471 (8-for-17) against Cole Irvin when going through the lineup the second time in a game over the last 14 days — highest among AL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: .214 — second Percentile.
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Aaron Civale has allowed an OPS of .925 (108 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .638 — third Percentile.
Aaron Civale has allowed an OPS of 1.067 (46 PA’s) with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .682 — second Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 35% (65/187) against Aaron Civale this season — 8th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — ninth Percentile.
Aaron Civale has allowed a slugging percentage of .564 (57 Total Bases / 101 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .359 — fifth Percentile.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Orioles are 18-7 (.720) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Orioles are 46-25 (.648) after a road win since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .486.
The Orioles are 52-53 (.495) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .365.
The Orioles are 55-42 (.567) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .412.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Rays are just 16-34 (.320) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .413.
The Rays are just 9-20 (.310) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .423.
The Rays are 20-10 (.667) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Rays are 102-26 (.797) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .729.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
Orioles hitters are slugging .445 this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .388.
Orioles hitters are slugging .473 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .391.
Orioles hitters have put just 35% of balls in play to the left side of the field since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 39%.
Orioles hitters are slugging .275 on pitches out of the zone this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .211.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
Rays hitters are slugging just .348 against RHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .387.
Rays hitters have an OPS of just .656 (1,767 PA’s) against RHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .697.
The Rays scored first in 64% of their games in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Rays hitters have 138 strikeouts in 561 PA’s (25%) against LHP this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
The Orioles won 53% of road games in which their opponents scored first in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
The Orioles have won 51% of road games in which their opponents scored first since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Orioles pitchers have won 43% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .204 against Orioles pitchers with the shift since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .239.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
The Rays pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Rays pitchers allowed division opponents to score first in just 29% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Rays pitchers have walked 998 of 14,305 batters (7%) since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays pitchers have walked 215 of 3,450 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays vs. Orioles Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Taylor Walls (Tampa Bay Rays): Hip, 10-Day IL
- Jonny DeLuca (Tampa Bay Rays): Hand, 10-Day IL
- Jeffrey Springs (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Shane Baz (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Jonathan Aranda (Tampa Bay Rays): Finger, 10-Day IL
- Taj Bradley (Tampa Bay Rays): Pectoral, 15-Day IL
- Josh Lowe (Tampa Bay Rays): Oblique, 10-Day IL
- Junior Caminero (Tampa Bay Rays): Quadriceps, Day-To-Day
- Garrett Acton (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, Out
- Drew Rasmussen (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Shane McClanahan (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Wander Franco (Tampa Bay Rays): Personal, Suspension
- Felix Bautista (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Terrin Vavra (Baltimore Orioles): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- John Means (Baltimore Orioles): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Kyle Bradish (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Cionel Perez (Baltimore Orioles): Oblique, 15-Day IL
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