- The Orioles are -105 favorites vs the Red Sox
- Orioles vs Red Sox Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Orioles / Red Sox TV Channel: MASN | NESN | MLBN
The Baltimore Orioles (-105) visit Fenway Park to take on the Boston Red Sox (-115) on Wednesday, April 10, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Boston, MA.
This season, the Orioles are 6-4 against the spread (ATS), while the Red Sox are 8-3 ATS.
Orioles vs Red Sox Starting Pitchers Today:
- Orioles starting pitcher: Cole Irvin 0-1, 7.21 ERA
- Red Sox starting pitcher: Kutter Crawford 0-0, 0.84 ERA
Orioles vs. Red Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Orioles | -1.5 +155 | O 9 -110 | -105 |
| Red Sox | +1.5 -190 | U 9 -110 | -115 |
Orioles vs Red Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 51.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today:
- Tony Kemp has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 18 games (+11.25 Units / 62% ROI)
- Tony Kemp has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 18 games (+11.20 Units / 62% ROI)
- Tony Kemp has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 18 games (+10.65 Units / 36% ROI)
- Grayson Rodriguez has hit the Strikeouts Over in 10 of his last 11 away games (+9.40 Units / 70% ROI)
- Ryan O’Hearn has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 18 away games (+9.30 Units / 43% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Red Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Pablo Reyes has hit the Hits Under in 7 of his last 8 games at home (+9.35 Units / 117% ROI)
- Pablo Reyes has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 8 games at home (+8.00 Units / 76% ROI)
- Pablo Reyes has hit the Runs Under in his last 8 games at home (+8.00 Units / 52% ROI)
- Masataka Yoshida has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 7 games (+7.50 Units / 56% ROI)
- Kutter Crawford has hit the Earned Runs Under in 13 of his last 18 games (+7.40 Units / 34% ROI)
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 95 of their last 153 games (+33.20 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 53 of their last 76 away games (+25.50 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 22 games (+11.60 Units / 48% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Over in 45 of their last 76 away games (+8.20 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.65 Units / 32% ROI)
Red Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 19 games (+10.60 Units / 50% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 10 of their last 15 games (+5.49 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 2 of their last 3 games (+1.40 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have covered the Run Line in 2 of their last 3 games (+0.60 Units / 14% ROI)
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 5-5 against the Run Line (+1.15 Units / 11.5% ROI).
- 6-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.4 Units / 2.7% ROI
- 4-4 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.5 Units / -4.39% ROI
- 4-4 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.3 Units / -2.83% ROI
Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 8-3 against the Run Line (+5.4 Units / 34.62% ROI).
- 7-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.3 Units / 25.48% ROI
- 5-5 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.5 Units / -4.07% ROI
- 5-5 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.4 Units / -3.36% ROI
Red Sox vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Santander | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -400 |
| O'Neill | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -450 |
| Henderson | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -450 |
| O'Hearn | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
| Rutschman | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
Red Sox vs Orioles Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yoshida | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Reyes | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Rafaela | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Mullins | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Hays | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Red Sox vs Orioles RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Santander | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -140 |
| O'Neill | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -145 |
| Devers | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
| Henderson | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
| Mountcastle | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
Red Sox vs Orioles Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Irvin | 4.5 -105 | 4.5 -120 |
| Crawford | 5.5 +115 | 5.5 -150 |
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Cole Irvin has thrown his curveball 35% of the time (28/81) this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 3 total CB; League Avg: 13% — 98th Percentile.
Cole Irvin has thrown his curveball 36% of the time (26/73) against right-handed batters this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 3 total CB; League Avg: 13% — 96th Percentile.
Cole Irvin has a strikeout rate of just 12% (3 SO in 24 PAs) this season — tied for 12th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 3 total IP; League Avg: 23% — ninth Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 6% (1/16) against Cole Irvin with runners in scoring position this season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 3 total IP; League Avg: 26% — second Percentile.
Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kutter Crawford has a strike rate of just 44% (14/32) when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .132 (5-for-38) against Kutter Crawford this season — tied for 9th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .236 — 93rd Percentile.
Left-handed batters are hitting just .067 (1-for-15) against Kutter Crawford this season — tied for 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .237 — 95th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 61% (11/18) against Kutter Crawford this season — tied for 9th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 91st Percentile.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox
The Orioles are 16-6 (.727) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .494.
The Orioles are 65-41 (.613) after a win since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .510.
The Orioles are 35-20 (.636) after a road win since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .493.
The Orioles are 93-19 (.830) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .730.
Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Red Sox are just 3-143 (.021) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .048.
The Red Sox are 64-4 (.928) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .857.
The Red Sox were just 17-27 (.386) after a home loss in 2023 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .508.
The Red Sox are just 17-27 (.386) after a home loss since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .509.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
Orioles hitters are slugging just .262 against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .386.
Orioles hitters have drawn 3 walks in 10 PA’s (30%) against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Orioles hitters are slugging .436 on pitches out of the zone this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .230.
The Orioles are batting just .161 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .323.
Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
Red Sox hitters have an OBP of just .129 (31 PA’s) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .318.
The Red Sox are batting just .069 at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .242.
Red Sox hitters have an OPS of just .301 (31 PA’s) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .717.
The Red Sox are batting .274 at home since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
Orioles pitchers have walked 4 of 92 batters (4%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 18% against Orioles pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Orioles pitchers have walked 20 of 361 batters (6%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Orioles pitchers have walked 202 of 2,987 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
Red Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of 28% this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Red Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of 36% in close and late situations this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Red Sox pitchers have walked 28 of 408 batters (7%) this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Red Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of 49% with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Red Sox vs. Orioles Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Wyatt Mills (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Vaughn Grissom (Boston Red Sox): Hamstring, 10-Day IL
- Michael Fulmer (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Zack Kelly (Boston Red Sox): Oblique, Day-To-Day
- Bryan Mata (Boston Red Sox): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Chris Murphy (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Kenley Jansen (Boston Red Sox): Back, Day-To-Day
- Brandon Walter (Boston Red Sox): Shoulder, 7-Day IL
- Lucas Giolito (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Rob Refsnyder (Boston Red Sox): Toe, 10-Day IL
- Yu Chang (Boston Red Sox): Oblique, Out
- Felix Bautista (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Terrin Vavra (Baltimore Orioles): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- John Means (Baltimore Orioles): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Kyle Bradish (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Cionel Perez (Baltimore Orioles): Oblique, 15-Day IL
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