- The Orioles are -115 favorites vs the Reds
- Orioles vs Reds Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Orioles / Reds TV Channel: MASN | BSOH
The Baltimore Orioles (-110) visit Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds (-110) on Friday, May 3, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:10pm EDT in Cincinnati, OH.
This season, the Orioles are 20-11 against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are 17-14 ATS.
Orioles vs Reds Starting Pitchers Today:
- Orioles starting pitcher: Cole Irvin 2-1, 3.50 ERA
- Reds starting pitcher: Hunter Greene 1-2, 3.64 ERA
Orioles vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Orioles | -1.5 +145 | O 9 -105 | -110 |
| Reds | +1.5 -175 | U 9 -115 | -110 |
Orioles vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Friday‘s MLB game with 52.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today:
- Colton Cowser has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 19 games (+25.10 Units / 132% ROI)
- Jordan Westburg has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 18 games (+11.65 Units / 64% ROI)
- Jordan Westburg has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 18 games (+11.60 Units / 32% ROI)
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the RBIs Over in 15 of his last 30 games (+11.50 Units / 38% ROI)
- Jordan Westburg has hit the Runs Over in 16 of his last 28 games (+9.20 Units / 33% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Elly De La Cruz has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 22 games (+20.40 Units / 93% ROI)
- Santiago Espinal has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 22 games (+11.05 Units / 47% ROI)
- Spencer Steer has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 26 games (+10.10 Units / 31% ROI)
- Santiago Espinal has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 22 games (+9.90 Units / 40% ROI)
- Elly De La Cruz has hit the Runs Over in 8 of his last 10 games at home (+7.70 Units / 75% ROI)
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 79 of their last 130 games (+25.05 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 46 of their last 65 away games (+21.85 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 43 of their last 65 away games (+17.67 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 23 of their last 41 away games (+14.56 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 22 games (+11.60 Units / 48% ROI)
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 70 of their last 114 games (+17.90 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 38 games at home (+17.15 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 68 of their last 128 games (+15.65 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 35 of their last 66 games at home (+3.23 Units / 4% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.97 Units / 33% ROI)
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 18-13 against the Run Line (+8.65 Units / 24.5% ROI).
- 20-11 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.95 Units / 6.51% ROI
- 16-12 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.9 Units / 8.49% ROI
- 12-16 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.6 Units / -16.42% ROI
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Reds are 17-14 against the Run Line (+2 Units / 4.94% ROI).
- 16-15 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.2 Units / -0.53% ROI
- 17-13 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.35 Units / 6.84% ROI
- 13-17 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.85 Units / -17.26% ROI
Reds vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -350 |
| Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -400 |
| Adley Rutschman (BAL) | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -450 |
| Ryan O'Hearn (BAL) | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -450 |
| Cedric Mullins (BAL) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
Reds vs Orioles Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Spencer Steer (CIN) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Tyler Stephenson (CIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Ryan Mountcastle (BAL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Adley Rutschman (BAL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Jordan Westburg (BAL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Reds vs Orioles RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -160 |
| Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Spencer Steer (CIN) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Christian Encarnacion-Strand (CIN) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Adley Rutschman (BAL) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -200 |
Reds vs Orioles Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Cole Irvin has pitched 15.0 straight innings without allowing an earned run — Clay Holmes has the longest active streak at 18.1.
Cole Irvin has a strike rate of 77% (63/82) with runners in scoring position this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 11 total IP; League Avg: 64% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 14% (29/200) against Cole Irvin this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 11 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 0 Percentile.
Cole Irvin has a strike rate of 71% (545/768) with runners in scoring position since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 141 total IP; League Avg: 64% — 100th Percentile.
Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
71% of Hunter Greene’s strikeouts have come on 97+ MPH fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — 100th Percentile.
79% of Hunter Greene’s strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 20% — 100th Percentile.
Hunter Greene has a strikeout rate of 37% (20 SO in 54 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 2nd best among in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 97th Percentile.
55% of Hunter Greene’s strikeouts have come on 97+ MPH fastballs since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 76 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Orioles are 55-41 (.573) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .410.
The Orioles are 17-6 (.739) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Orioles are 27-30 (.474) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .309.
The Orioles are 50-52 (.490) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .364.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Reds are just 56-41 (.577) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .698.
The Reds are just 44-49 (.473) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .636.
The Reds are just 23-25 (.479) after a loss as favorites since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .589.
The Reds are 29-13 (.690) after a win as favorites since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .588.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
Orioles hitters have grounded into 9 double plays in 208 opportunities (4%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Orioles hitters are slugging .485 against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .384.
Orioles hitters have an OPS of .827 (405 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .701.
The Orioles are 42-19 (.689) against the run line (31.9% ROI) after a road win since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .499.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
The Reds are batting just .123 with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .166.
Reds hitters have an OBP of just .285 (768 PA’s) against RHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .311.
Reds hitters have 32 extra-base hits out of 68 total hits (47%) with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 30%.
The Reds are batting just .105 with two-strikes over the last 14 days — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .169.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
The Orioles won 53% of road games in which their opponents scored first in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Orioles pitchers have walked 80 of 1,145 batters (7%) this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
The Orioles won 49% of games in which their opponents scored first in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 34%.
Orioles pitchers have walked 996 of 13,301 batters (7%) since the 2022 season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .299 against Reds pitchers with runners on base since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .253.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Reds pitchers since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .355 against Reds pitchers with runners on base this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .256.
Reds vs. Orioles Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Austin Wynns (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- Sam Moll (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Noelvi Marte (Cincinnati Reds): Suspension, Suspension
- Matt McLain (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Joey Votto (Cincinnati Reds): Ankle, Out
- Nick Lodolo (Cincinnati Reds): Calf, 15-Day IL
- TJ Friedl (Cincinnati Reds): Wrist, 10-Day IL
- Reiver Sanmartin (Cincinnati Reds): Elbow, Out
- Alex Young (Cincinnati Reds): Back, 15-Day IL
- Ian Gibaut (Cincinnati Reds): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Brandon Williamson (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Connor Overton (Cincinnati Reds): Elbow, Out
- Felix Bautista (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Terrin Vavra (Baltimore Orioles): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- John Means (Baltimore Orioles): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Kyle Bradish (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Cionel Perez (Baltimore Orioles): Oblique, 15-Day IL
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