- The Orioles are -145 favorites vs the Royals
- Orioles vs Royals Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Orioles / Royals TV Channel: MAS2 | BSKC
The Baltimore Orioles (-145) visit Ewing M. Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (+120) on Friday, April 19, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40pm EDT in Kansas City, MO.
This season, the Orioles are 12-6 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 12-7 ATS.
Orioles vs Royals Starting Pitchers Today:
- Orioles starting pitcher: Dean Kremer 0-1, 4.86 ERA
- Royals starting pitcher: Alec Marsh 2-0, 4.32 ERA
Orioles vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Orioles | -1.5 +110 | O 9 -105 | -145 |
| Royals | +1.5 -135 | U 9 -115 | +120 |
Orioles vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Friday‘s MLB game with 60.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today:
- Ryan O’Hearn has hit the Singles Over in 15 of his last 20 away games (+9.30 Units / 40% ROI)
- Cedric Mullins has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 12 of his last 16 games (+8.85 Units / 50% ROI)
- Ryan O’Hearn has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 20 away games (+8.35 Units / 31% ROI)
- Cedric Mullins has hit the Hits Over in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 57% ROI)
- Colton Cowser has hit the Hits Over in 10 of his last 11 games (+8.00 Units / 44% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Maikel Garcia has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 19 games (+14.20 Units / 75% ROI)
- Seth Lugo has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 17 of his last 20 games (+13.85 Units / 54% ROI)
- Seth Lugo has hit the Earned Runs Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+11.55 Units / 43% ROI)
- Michael Wacha has hit the Strikeouts Over in his last 10 games at home (+10.50 Units / 86% ROI)
- Michael Wacha has hit the Earned Runs Under in 17 of his last 23 games (+10.05 Units / 30% ROI)
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 91 of their last 148 games (+30.20 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 51 of their last 72 away games (+25.25 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 46 of their last 69 away games (+19.47 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 34 of their last 69 away games (+14.61 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 22 games (+11.60 Units / 48% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 23 of their last 39 games at home (+14.97 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 27 of their last 39 games at home (+14.10 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 41 games at home (+12.70 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Over in 21 of their last 30 games at home (+11.08 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 25 of their last 39 games at home (+10.90 Units / 24% ROI)
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 11-7 against the Run Line (+6.4 Units / 32.57% ROI).
- 12-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.95 Units / 15.22% ROI
- 11-5 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.4 Units / 26.67% ROI
- 5-11 when betting on the total runs Under for -7 Units / -36.08% ROI
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Royals are 12-7 against the Run Line (+3.3 Units / 13.04% ROI).
- 12-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.2 Units / 21.44% ROI
- 6-12 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.65 Units / -35.33% ROI
- 12-6 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.7 Units / 28.15% ROI
Royals vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| MJ Melendez (KC) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -800 |
Royals vs Orioles Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adley Rutschman (BAL) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Ryan O'Hearn (BAL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
Royals vs Orioles RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Ryan O'Hearn (BAL) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -200 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
Royals vs Orioles Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Dean Kremer has not walked any of the 38 batters that he has faced against right-handed batters this season — tied for best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: 8% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 33% (36/109) against Dean Kremer with runners in scoring position since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 71 total IP; League Avg: 24% — first Percentile.
Dean Kremer has allowed an OPS of just .118 (17 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: .695 — 98th Percentile.
Dean Kremer has located his pitches away 56% of the time (454/804) on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 47% — 100th Percentile.
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Alec Marsh has not induced opposing hitters to ground into a double play in 9 opportunities (0%) this season — tied for lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: 11% — 21st Percentile.
Alec Marsh has allowed a slugging percentage of .588 (10 Total Bases / 17 ABs) on sliders this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: .365 — fifth Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 31% (11/36) against Alec Marsh in non-two strike counts this season — tied for 13th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: 42% — 11th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 10% (2/20) against Alec Marsh on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: 26% — fourth Percentile.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Orioles are 17-6 (.739) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Orioles are 43-53 (.448) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .303.
The Orioles are 37-20 (.649) after a road win since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .492.
The Orioles are 41-25 (.621) after a loss since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .492.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Royals are just 13-85 (.133) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .363.
The Royals are just 17-44 (.279) after a road win since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .493.
The Royals are just 3-11 (.214) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Royals are just 18-13 (.581) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .790.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
Orioles hitters are slugging .552 over the past seven days (6 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .381.
Orioles hitters are slugging .354 with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Orioles hitters are slugging .486 against RHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .387.
Orioles hitters have 27 extra-base hits out of 57 total hits (47%) with two-strikes this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
Royals hitters have an OBP of just .280 (3,290 PA’s) on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.
The Royals have won just 52% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 72%.
The Royals have won just 46% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 71%.
The Royals have a winning percentage of just 28% on the road since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 18% against Orioles pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
The Orioles won 53% of road games in which their opponents scored first in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Orioles pitchers have walked 40 of 676 batters (6%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Orioles pitchers have walked 209 of 3,060 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
The Royals have allowed 2.74 runs per game (52/19) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.46.
Royals pitchers have an ERA of 2.18 (91.0 IP) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.01.
The Royals have won just 19% of games in which their opponents scored first since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
The Royals won just 18% of games in which their opponents scored first in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 34%.
Royals vs. Orioles Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Kyle Wright (Kansas City Royals): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Austin Cox (Kansas City Royals): Knee, Day-To-Day
- Michael Massey (Kansas City Royals): Back, 10-Day IL
- Jake Brentz (Kansas City Royals): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Josh Taylor (Kansas City Royals): Biceps, 15-Day IL
- Carlos Hernandez (Kansas City Royals): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Kris Bubic (Kansas City Royals): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Felix Bautista (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Terrin Vavra (Baltimore Orioles): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- John Means (Baltimore Orioles): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Kyle Bradish (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Cionel Perez (Baltimore Orioles): Oblique, 15-Day IL
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