Orioles vs Tigers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr 25

Detroit Tigers' Parker Meadows reacts after hitting a double against the Oakland Athletics during the third inning of a baseball game Sunday, Sept. 24, 2023, in Oakland, Calif.
(AP Photo/Godofredo A. Vรกsquez)
  • The Orioles are +100 favorites vs the Tigers
  • Orioles vs Tigers Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
  • Orioles / Tigers TV Channel: MAS2 | FDDT | MLBN

The Baltimore Orioles (+100) visit Comerica Park to take on the Detroit Tigers (-120) on Friday, April 25, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Detroit, MI, MI.

This season, the Orioles are 10-14 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 16-9 ATS.

Orioles vs Tigers Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Orioles starting pitcher: Brandon Young 0-0, 7.37 ERA
  • Tigers starting pitcher: Casey Mize 3-1, 2.22 ERA

Orioles vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Orioles-1.5 +165O 8.5 -110+100
Tigers +1.5 -200U 8.5 -110-120

Orioles vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Tigers will win Friday‘s MLB game with 53.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Gunnar Henderson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 20 of his last 25 away games (+15.70 Units / 54% ROI)
  • Heston Kjerstad has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 9 games (+15.50 Units / 172% ROI)
  • Gunnar Henderson has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 25 away games (+15.25 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Gunnar Henderson has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 20 games (+14.60 Units / 57% ROI)
  • Jordan Westburg has hit the RBIs Under in 14 of his last 15 games (+11.20 Units / 32% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Spencer Torkelson has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+12.65 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Kerry Carpenter has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 9 games at home (+10.40 Units / 116% ROI)
  • Gleyber Torres has hit the Runs Over in 17 of his last 25 games at home (+10.00 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Riley Greene has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 15 games (+9.65 Units / 64% ROI)
  • Spencer Torkelson has hit the RBIs Over in 11 of his last 20 games (+9.25 Units / 46% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 10 away games (+6.20 Units / 56% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Under in 6 of their last 7 away games (+6.00 Units / 78% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 4 of their last 5 away games (+3.00 Units / 49% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 8 games (+1.85 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 13 games at home (+9.05 Units / 63% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 22 games (+7.35 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 16 of their last 25 games (+7.25 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 17 games (+6.80 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 13 games at home (+6.55 Units / 40% ROI)

Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 9-15 against the Run Line (-6.9 Units / -21.63% ROI).

  • 10-14 when betting on the Moneyline for -8 Units / -26.8% ROI
  • 13-8 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.35 Units / 16.48% ROI
  • 8-13 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.2 Units / -23.48% ROI

Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 16-9 against the Run Line (+7.1 Units / 22.12% ROI).

  • 15-10 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.35 Units / 12.83% ROI
  • 10-13 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.15 Units / -15.04% ROI
  • 13-10 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.3 Units / 8.35% ROI

Tigers vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Tyler Oโ€™Neill (BAL) 0.5 +475 0.5 -650
Kerry Carpenter (DET) 0.5 +475 0.5 -650
Gunnar Henderson (BAL) 0.5 +475 0.5 -700
Spencer Torkelson (DET) 0.5 +575 0.5 -800
Riley Greene (DET) 0.5 +600 0.5 -900

Tigers vs Orioles Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Kerry Carpenter (DET) 0.5 -250 0.5 +195
Gunnar Henderson (BAL) 0.5 -250 0.5 +195
Jordan Westburg (BAL) 0.5 -235 0.5 +180
Riley Greene (DET) 0.5 -210 0.5 +160
Tyler Oโ€™Neill (BAL) 0.5 -210 0.5 +155

Tigers vs Orioles RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Adley Rutschman (BAL) 0.5 +150 0.5 -200
Spencer Torkelson (DET) 0.5 +160 0.5 -210
Tyler Oโ€™Neill (BAL) 0.5 +170 0.5 -225
Kerry Carpenter (DET) 0.5 +170 0.5 -225
Riley Greene (DET) 0.5 +175 0.5 -235

Tigers vs Orioles Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brandon Young (BAL) 3.5 -175 3.5 +130
Casey Mize (DET) 4.5 +120 4.5 -160

Brandon Young has limited playing time.

Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Casey Mize has allowed an OBP of just .056 (18 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game over the last 14 days — best among AL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: .284 — 100th Percentile.

Casey Mize has allowed an OBP of just .200 (50 PA’s) vs left-handed batters this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .310 — 97th Percentile.

Casey Mize has a strike rate of 72% (116/162) in his last two starts — 3rd highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 64% — 97th Percentile.

Left-handed batters are hitting just .111 (5-for-45) against Casey Mize this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .239 — 98th Percentile.

Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers

The Orioles are just 1-8 (.111) after a win this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .483.

The Orioles were 36-10 (.783) when they scored in the first inning in the 2024 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .641.

The Orioles are 107-28 (.793) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .701.

The Orioles are 72-7 (.911) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .801.

Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles

The Tigers were 13-55 (.191) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .100.

The Tigers were 18-54 (.250) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .143.

The Tigers are 8-1 (.889) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .607.

The Tigers are 70-26 (.729) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .624.

Orioles hitters are slugging just .189 against LHP this month (17 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .367.

Orioles hitters are slugging just .224 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .371.

Orioles hitters have an OPS of just .399 (219 PA’s) against LHP this month (17 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .674.

Orioles hitters have an OPS of just .472 (254 PA’s) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .678.

The Tigers are batting just .317 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2023 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .340.

Tigers hitters had an OPS of just .659 (1,395 PA’s) against LHP in the 2024 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .711.

Tigers hitters slugged just .362 against LHP in the 2024 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .397.

Tigers hitters have put just 32% of their swings in play with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Orioles pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Orioles pitchers have an ERA of 6.39 (100.0 IP) at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.51.

Orioles pitchers have walked 14% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 16% this month (19 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Tigers pitchers walked 416 of 5,969 batters (7%) in the 2024 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Tigers pitchers have walked 7% of batters since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Tigers pitchers have walked 7% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Tigers pitchers had an ERA of 2.93 (464.0 IP) against division opponents in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.32.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.