- The Orioles are +105 favorites vs the Tigers
- Orioles vs Tigers Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Orioles / Tigers TV Channel: MAS2 | FDDT
The Baltimore Orioles (+105) visit Comerica Park to take on the Detroit Tigers (-125) on Saturday, April 26, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 6:10pm EDT in Detroit, MI, MI.
This season, the Orioles are 10-14 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 16-9 ATS.
Orioles vs Tigers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Orioles starting pitcher: Brandon Young 0-0, 7.37 ERA
- Tigers starting pitcher: Casey Mize 3-1, 2.22 ERA
Orioles vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Orioles | -1.5 +160 | O 9 -120 | +105 |
| Tigers | +1.5 -210 | U 9 +100 | -125 |
Orioles vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today:
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 20 of his last 25 away games (+15.70 Units / 54% ROI)
- Heston Kjerstad has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 9 games (+15.50 Units / 172% ROI)
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 25 away games (+15.25 Units / 50% ROI)
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 20 games (+14.60 Units / 57% ROI)
- Jordan Westburg has hit the RBIs Under in 14 of his last 15 games (+11.20 Units / 32% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Spencer Torkelson has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+12.65 Units / 35% ROI)
- Kerry Carpenter has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 9 games at home (+10.40 Units / 116% ROI)
- Gleyber Torres has hit the Runs Over in 17 of his last 25 games at home (+10.00 Units / 38% ROI)
- Riley Greene has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 15 games (+9.65 Units / 64% ROI)
- Spencer Torkelson has hit the RBIs Over in 11 of his last 20 games (+9.25 Units / 46% ROI)
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 10 away games (+6.20 Units / 56% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Under in 6 of their last 7 away games (+6.00 Units / 78% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 4 of their last 5 away games (+3.00 Units / 49% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 8 games (+1.85 Units / 21% ROI)
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 13 games at home (+9.05 Units / 63% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 22 games (+7.35 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 16 of their last 25 games (+7.25 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 17 games (+6.80 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 13 games at home (+6.55 Units / 40% ROI)
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 9-15 against the Run Line (-6.9 Units / -21.63% ROI).
- 10-14 when betting on the Moneyline for -8 Units / -26.8% ROI
- 13-8 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.35 Units / 16.48% ROI
- 8-13 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.2 Units / -23.48% ROI
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 16-9 against the Run Line (+7.1 Units / 22.12% ROI).
- 15-10 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.35 Units / 12.83% ROI
- 10-13 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.15 Units / -15.04% ROI
- 13-10 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.3 Units / 8.35% ROI
Tigers vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kerry Carpenter (DET) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -750 |
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Spencer Torkelson (DET) | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -900 |
| Jordan Westburg (BAL) | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Riley Greene (DET) | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -1100 |
Tigers vs Orioles Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Gleyber Torres (DET) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Kerry Carpenter (DET) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Ramon Urias (BAL) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Cedric Mullins (BAL) | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +130 |
Tigers vs Orioles RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jordan Westburg (BAL) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Riley Greene (DET) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -220 |
| Spencer Torkelson (DET) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -235 |
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -235 |
| Kerry Carpenter (DET) | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
Tigers vs Orioles Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Young (BAL) | 4.5 +115 | 4.5 -155 |
| Casey Mize (DET) | 4.5 +125 | 4.5 -160 |
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Charlie Morton threw his curveball 47% of the time (705/1,517) vs left-handed batters in the 2024 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 18% — 100th Percentile.
Charlie Morton has thrown his curveball 55% of the time (515/937) with two-strikes since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 19% — 100th Percentile.
Charlie Morton allowed an OBP of .364 (269 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game in the 2024 season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .290 — third Percentile.
Charlie Morton has allowed an OBP of .351 (808 PA’s) since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .296 — first Percentile.
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Left-handed batters are hitting just .111 (5-for-45) against Casey Mize this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .239 — 98th Percentile.
Casey Mize has allowed an OBP of just .200 (50 PA’s) vs left-handed batters this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .310 — 97th Percentile.
Casey Mize has struck out just 9% (4/45) of right-handed batters he faced this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — third Percentile.
Casey Mize has a strike rate of 72% (116/162) in his last two starts — 3rd highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 64% — 97th Percentile.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Orioles are just 1-8 (.111) after a win this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .483.
The Orioles are just 0-13 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .085.
The Orioles are 52-42 (.553) on the road since last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .466.
The Orioles are 39-4 (.907) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .810.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Tigers were 13-55 (.191) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .100.
The Tigers were 18-54 (.250) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .143.
The Tigers are 70-26 (.729) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .625.
The Tigers were 39-4 (.907) when they had 10 or more hits in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .750.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
Orioles hitters are slugging just .224 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .371.
Orioles hitters are slugging just .189 against LHP this month (17 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .367.
Orioles hitters have an OPS of just .399 (219 PA’s) against LHP this month (17 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .674.
Orioles hitters have put just 35% of balls in play to the left side of the field since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters slugged just .362 against LHP in the 2024 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .397.
Tigers hitters slugged just .171 on pitches out of the zone in 2023 — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .211.
The Tigers are batting just .237 against LHP since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.
The Tigers are batting just .317 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2023 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .340.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Orioles pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Orioles pitchers this month (19 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Orioles pitchers have an ERA of 6.39 (100.0 IP) at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.51.
Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 36% with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Tigers pitchers have walked 7% of batters since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Tigers pitchers walked 416 of 5,969 batters (7%) in the 2024 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Tigers pitchers have walked 7% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Tigers pitchers have an ERA of 3.54 (1667.1 IP) since last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 4.06.
More MLB Reading:
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