The Baltimore Orioles (-110) visit Hammond Stadium to take on the Minnesota Twins (-110) on Wednesday, February 28, 2024. First pitch is for this Spring Training game is scheduled for 1:05pm EST in Fort Myers, FL.
This season, the Orioles are 2-0 against the spread (ATS), while the Twins are 1-2 ATS.
Orioles vs. Twins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Moneyline | |
| Orioles | -110 |
| Twins | -110 |
Orioles vs Twins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 51.2% confidence, based on game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today:
- Kyle Stowers has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 9 games (+9.25 Units / 73% ROI)
- Adley Rutschman has hit the Hits Under in his last 3 games (+4.70 Units / 100% ROI)
- Heston Kjerstad has hit the Singles Under in his last 4 away games (+4.00 Units / 64% ROI)
- Ryan Mountcastle has hit the Hits Under in his last 3 away games (+3.75 Units / 61% ROI)
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the RBIs Over in his last 2 games (+3.70 Units / 185% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Kyle Farmer has hit the RBIs Over in 3 of his last 4 games at home (+4.50 Units / 112% ROI)
- Alex Kirilloff has hit the RBIs Under in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 40% ROI)
- Michael A. Taylor has hit the Runs Under in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 38% ROI)
- Matt Wallner has hit the Singles Under in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 36% ROI)
- Ryan Jeffers has hit the RBIs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 35% ROI)
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 100 of their last 162 games (+33.70 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 57 of their last 82 away games (+26.60 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 22 games (+11.60 Units / 48% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Over in 49 of their last 82 away games (+10.05 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.65 Units / 32% ROI)
Twins Best Bets Today:
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 50 games (+14.40 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 47 of their last 78 games (+13.95 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Over in 48 of their last 77 games (+13.50 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 25 of their last 40 games at home (+7.65 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 45 games at home (+2.85 Units / 4% ROI)
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this Spring Training, the Orioles are 1-1 against the Run Line (+0 Units / 0% ROI).
- 2-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.35 Units / 88.68% ROI
- 0-2 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.25 Units / -100% ROI
- 2-0 when betting on the total runs Under for +2 Units / 93.02% ROI
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this Spring Training, the Twins are 1-2 against the Run Line (-0.95 Units / -30.16% ROI).
- 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 1-2 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.15 Units / -36.51% ROI
- 2-1 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.8 Units / 23.19% ROI
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Dean Kremer located 57% of his pitches away (1,656/2,925) in the 2023 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 46% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents had a line drive rate of 35% (35/99) versus Dean Kremer with runners in scoring position in the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents had a line drive rate of 27% (141/518) versus Dean Kremer in the 2023 season — tied for 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — sixth Percentile.
68% of Dean Kremer’s non-fastball strikeouts were located away in the 2023 season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 47% — 97th Percentile.
Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opposing hitters had a chase rate of 37% (73/195) against Pablo Lopez when he was behind in the count in the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.
Pablo Lopez had a strikeout rate of 54% (13/24) in close and late situations in the 2023 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.
Pablo Lopez had a strikeout rate of 34% (59/172) with runners in scoring position in the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 98th Percentile.
95 of Pablo Lopez’s 234 strikeouts (41%) came on curveballs in the 2023 season — 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 16% — 91st Percentile.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The Orioles are 54-41 (.568) after a loss as underdogs since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .407.
The Orioles were 72-12 (.857) when they scored 5 or more runs in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .780.
The Orioles are 55-57 (.491) after a win as underdogs since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .417.
The Orioles were 22-26 (.458) when allowing 2 or more home runs in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .312.
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Twins are just 13-27 (.325) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Twins were 69-1 (.986) when leading entering the 9th inning in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .948.
The Twins are just 29-44 (.397) after a road win since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .494.
The Twins were 31-10 (.756) when they scored in the first inning in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .611.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
The Orioles were 36-16 (.692) against the run line (28.5% ROI) after a road win in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .498.
The Orioles are 193-126 (.601) against the run line (12.5% ROI) since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .493.
The Orioles won 64% of their road games in the 2023 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Orioles hitters drew 169 walks in 1,701 PA’s (10%) against LHP in the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
The Twins batted just .150 with two-strikes in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .172.
Twins hitters slugged just .164 on pitches out of the zone in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .211.
Twins hitters struck out 1,654 times in 6,219 PA’s (27%) in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Twins hitters slugged .716 on the first pitch of at-bats in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .596.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
The Orioles won 53% of road games in which their opponents scored first in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
The Orioles won 49% of games in which their opponents scored first in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 34%.
Orioles pitchers had a strikeout rate of 24% with runners in scoring position in the 2023 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Orioles pitchers had allowed 177 home runs in the 2023 season — tied for 4th fewest in MLB.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
Twins pitchers had a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Twins pitchers had a strikeout rate of 25% with runners in scoring position in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Twins pitchers walked 443 of 6,028 batters (7%) in the 2023 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Twins pitchers walked 99 of 1,456 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Twins vs. Orioles Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jovani Moran (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, Out
- Jose Miranda (Minnesota Twins): Shoulder, Out
- Jose De Leon (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, Out
- Josh Winder (Minnesota Twins): Shoulder, Out
- Gunnar Henderson (Baltimore Orioles): Oblique, Out
- Felix Bautista (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Terrin Vavra (Baltimore Orioles): Shoulder, Out
- John Means (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, Out
- Kyle Bradish (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, Out
- Shintaro Fujinami (Baltimore Orioles): Personal, Out
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