The Baltimore Orioles (+105) visit Hammond Stadium to take on the Minnesota Twins (-125) on Sunday, March 24, 2024. First pitch is for this Spring Training game is scheduled for 1:05pm EDT in Fort Myers, FL.
This season, the Orioles are 15-2 against the spread (ATS), while the Twins are 8-9 ATS.
Orioles vs. Twins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Moneyline | |
| Orioles | +105 |
| Twins | -125 |
Orioles vs Twins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Sunday‘s matchup with 52.6% confidence, based on game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jorge Mateo has hit the Runs Over in 2 of his last 3 away games (+2.95 Units / 98% ROI)
- Austin Hays has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 away games (+2.00 Units / 41% ROI)
- Aaron Hicks has hit the RBIs Over in 1 of his last 2 away games (+1.05 Units / 52% ROI)
- Adley Rutschman has hit the RBIs Over in 1 of his last 2 away games (+1.00 Units / 50% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Kyle Farmer has hit the RBIs Over in 3 of his last 4 games at home (+4.50 Units / 112% ROI)
- Alex Kirilloff has hit the RBIs Under in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 40% ROI)
- Matt Wallner has hit the Singles Under in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 36% ROI)
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 100 of their last 162 games (+33.70 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 57 of their last 82 away games (+26.60 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 22 games (+11.60 Units / 48% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Over in 49 of their last 82 away games (+10.05 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.65 Units / 32% ROI)
Twins Best Bets Today:
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 50 games (+14.40 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 47 of their last 78 games (+13.95 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Over in 48 of their last 77 games (+13.50 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 25 of their last 40 games at home (+7.65 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 45 games at home (+2.85 Units / 4% ROI)
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this Spring Training, the Orioles are 11-6 against the Run Line (+0 Units / 20.01% ROI).
- 15-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 58.23% ROI
- 8-7 when betting on the total runs Over for +0 Units / 2.21% ROI
- 7-8 when betting on the total runs Under for +0 Units / -9.64% ROI
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this Spring Training, the Twins are 8-9 against the Run Line (+0 Units / -13.68% ROI).
- 6-9 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / -21.91% ROI
- 7-10 when betting on the total runs Over for +0 Units / -20.45% ROI
- 10-7 when betting on the total runs Under for +0 Units / 12.25% ROI
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Grayson Rodriguez has not allowed a HR in any of his last five starts dating back to September 10th, 2023 — Scott Alexander has the longest active streak at 13.
Grayson Rodriguez allowed a slugging percentage of just .289 (71 Total Bases / 246 ABs) on non-fastballs in the 2023 season — 9th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .386 — 92nd Percentile.
Opponents batted .462 (24-for-52) against Grayson Rodriguez on the first pitch of at-bats in the 2023 season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .350 — second Percentile.
Grayson Rodriguez has not allowed a home run in any of the last 27.0 innings he’s appeared — Edwin Diaz has the longest active streak at 51.0.
Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 33% (144/435) against Joe Ryan in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — sixth Percentile.
Left-handed hitters had a swing rate of 57% (708/1,249) against Joe Ryan in the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 47% — 100th Percentile.
Joe Ryan allowed a slugging percentage of .542 (83 Total Bases / 153 ABs) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2023 season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .399 — fourth Percentile.
Joe Ryan threw at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 75% (375/501) of opposing batters in the 2023 season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 66% — 97th Percentile.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The Orioles were 15-6 (.714) when tied entering the 7th inning in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Orioles were 60-38 (.612) after a win in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .514.
The Orioles were 79-19 (.806) when they allowed 4 or fewer runs in the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .734.
The Orioles were 12-6 (.667) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2023 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Twins are just 13-27 (.325) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Twins were 16-49 (.246) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .141.
The Twins were 31-10 (.756) when they scored in the first inning in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .611.
The Twins were 69-1 (.986) when leading entering the 9th inning in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .948.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
The Orioles were 36-16 (.692) against the run line (28.5% ROI) after a road win in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .498.
The Orioles batted .252 with two outs in the 2023 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .237.
The Orioles have a winning percentage of 56% on the road since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
The Orioles won 64% of their road games in the 2023 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
Twins hitters struck out 1,274 times in 4,710 PA’s (27%) against RHP in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Twins hitters slugged just .164 on pitches out of the zone in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .211.
The Twins batted just .183 in lefty-lefty matchups in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .241.
The Twins batted just .150 with two-strikes in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .172.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
The Orioles won 53% of road games in which their opponents scored first in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Orioles pitchers had a strikeout rate of 24% with runners in scoring position in the 2023 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Opponents had a groundball batting average of just .198 against Orioles pitchers with the shift in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .240.
Orioles pitchers have won 35% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road since the 2022 season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
Twins pitchers walked 443 of 6,028 batters (7%) in the 2023 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Twins pitchers had a strikeout rate of 26% in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Twins pitchers walked 99 of 1,456 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Twins pitchers had a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Twins vs. Orioles Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jovani Moran (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, Out
- Jose Miranda (Minnesota Twins): Shoulder, Out
- Jose De Leon (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, Out
- Josh Winder (Minnesota Twins): Shoulder, Out
- Gunnar Henderson (Baltimore Orioles): Oblique, Out
- Felix Bautista (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Terrin Vavra (Baltimore Orioles): Shoulder, Out
- John Means (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, Out
- Kyle Bradish (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, Out
- Shintaro Fujinami (Baltimore Orioles): Personal, Out
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