- The Orioles are -275 favorites vs the White Sox
- Orioles vs White Sox Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Orioles / White Sox TV Channel: ATV+
The Baltimore Orioles (-275) visit Guaranteed Rate Field to take on the Chicago White Sox (+220) on Friday, May 24, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40pm EDT in Chicago, IL.
This season, the Orioles are 30-18 against the spread (ATS), while the White Sox are 23-28 ATS.
Orioles vs White Sox Starting Pitchers Today:
- Orioles starting pitcher: Corbin Burnes 4-2, 2.58 ERA
- White Sox starting pitcher: Chris Flexen 2-4, 5.53 ERA
Orioles vs. White Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Orioles | -2.5 +105 | O 7.5 -105 | -275 |
| White Sox | +2.5 -125 | U 7.5 -115 | +220 |
Orioles vs White Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Friday‘s MLB game with 81.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jorge Mateo has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+18.80 Units / 94% ROI)
- Ryan Mountcastle has hit the RBIs Under in 16 of his last 18 games (+12.65 Units / 37% ROI)
- Jorge Mateo has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 13 of his last 16 games (+10.45 Units / 52% ROI)
- Jorge Mateo has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 17 games (+9.45 Units / 36% ROI)
- Jorge Mateo has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 17 games (+9.35 Units / 43% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best White Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Paul DeJong has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 15 games (+14.10 Units / 94% ROI)
- Andrew Vaughn has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+9.45 Units / 26% ROI)
- Tommy Pham has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 11 of his last 13 games at home (+8.95 Units / 53% ROI)
- Tommy Pham has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 13 games at home (+8.70 Units / 55% ROI)
- Tommy Pham has hit the Hits Over in 9 of his last 13 games at home (+7.90 Units / 39% ROI)
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 23 of their last 33 games (+12.10 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 20 of their last 39 games (+3.85 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 20 away games (+3.70 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 21 games (+3.65 Units / 15% ROI)
White Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 15 games at home (+6.75 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 14 games at home (+4.70 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.60 Units / 72% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 16 games (+3.50 Units / 20% ROI)
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 24-24 against the Run Line (+3.7 Units / 6.58% ROI).
- 30-18 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.1 Units / 6% ROI
- 24-18 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.35 Units / 8.44% ROI
- 18-24 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.65 Units / -16.67% ROI
White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the White Sox are 23-28 against the Run Line (-8.9 Units / -14.52% ROI).
- 15-36 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.95 Units / -29.34% ROI
- 23-26 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.75 Units / -10.37% ROI
- 26-23 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.95 Units / 1.74% ROI
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 65% (46/71) against Corbin Burnes this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 42% — 100th Percentile.
Corbin Burnes has located his fastball inside 61% of the time (188/309) since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — 100th Percentile.
Corbin Burnes has located his fastball inside 65% of the time (356/545) since the 2022 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — 100th Percentile.
Corbin Burnes has located his fastball inside 68% of the time (32/47) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — 100th Percentile.
White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .407 (11-for-27) against Chris Flexen’s elevated fastball this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 18 total IP; League Avg: .213 — 0 Percentile.
Chris Flexen has allowed a slugging percentage of .704 (19 Total Bases / 27 ABs) on elevated fastballs this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 18 total IP; League Avg: .362 — first Percentile.
Chris Flexen has allowed a slugging percentage of .552 (191 Total Bases / 346 ABs) against right-handed batters since last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 83 total IP; League Avg: .415 — second Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .379 (39-for-103) against Chris Flexen’s elevated fastball since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 83 total IP; League Avg: .229 — 0 Percentile.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox
The Orioles are 18-6 (.750) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Orioles are 55-41 (.573) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .412.
The Orioles are 52-29 (.642) after a home loss since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .517.
The Orioles are 29-21 (.580) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .426.
White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The White Sox are just 9-26 (.257) after a road win since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .486.
The White Sox are just 64-9 (.877) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .947.
The White Sox are just 7-13 (.350) after a win as favorites since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .575.
The White Sox are just 26-50 (.342) after a win since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .509.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
Orioles hitters are slugging .498 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .387.
The Orioles are batting .280 against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .244.
Orioles hitters are slugging .578 against LHP this month (16 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .389.
Orioles hitters have an OPS of .839 (561 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .699.
White Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .289 (7,803 PA’s) since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .318.
The White Sox are batting just .198 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .244.
White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .288 (6,004 PA’s) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .317.
White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .297 (3,215 PA’s) with runners on base since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .330.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
Orioles pitchers have won 44% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
The Orioles have won 51% of road games in which their opponents scored first since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Orioles pitchers have won 41% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Orioles pitchers have walked 225 of 3,331 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
White Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against White Sox pitchers since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
White Sox pitchers have walked 1,381 of 14,374 batters (10%) since the 2022 season — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The White Sox have won just 12% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 33%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against White Sox pitchers since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
White Sox vs. Orioles Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Eloy Jimenez (Chicago White Sox): Thigh, Day-To-Day
- Yasmani Grandal (Chicago White Sox): Foot, 10-Day IL
- Matt Foster (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Jake Eder (Chicago White Sox): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- Jesse Scholtens (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Shane Drohan (Chicago White Sox): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Liam Hendriks (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Jimmy Lambert (Chicago White Sox): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Edgar Navarro (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, Out
- Davis Martin (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, Out
- Max Stassi (Chicago White Sox): Hip, 10-Day IL
- Felix Bautista (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Terrin Vavra (Baltimore Orioles): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- John Means (Baltimore Orioles): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Kyle Bradish (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Cionel Perez (Baltimore Orioles): Oblique, 15-Day IL
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