- The Yankees are -150 favorites vs the Orioles
- Orioles vs Yankees Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Orioles / Yankees TV Channel: MASN | YES
The Baltimore Orioles (+125) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-150) on Thursday, June 20, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 4:05pm EDT in New York City, NY.
This season, the Orioles are 48-25 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 45-31 ATS.
Orioles vs Yankees Starting Pitchers Today:
- Orioles starting pitcher: Cole Irvin 6-3, 3.00 ERA
- Yankees starting pitcher: Luis Gil 9-1, 2.03 ERA
Orioles vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Orioles | +1.5 -160 | O 8.5 -105 | +125 |
| Yankees | -1.5 +135 | U 8.5 -115 | -150 |
Orioles vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 54.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today:
- Anthony Santander has hit the Home Runs Over in 10 of his last 25 games (+23.40 Units / 94% ROI)
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 20 games (+15.25 Units / 38% ROI)
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+11.25 Units / 51% ROI)
- Anthony Santander has hit the Runs Over in 16 of his last 25 games (+10.85 Units / 43% ROI)
- Anthony Santander has hit the RBIs Over in 11 of his last 18 games (+10.10 Units / 56% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jose Trevino has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 4 games (+22.70 Units / 568% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Runs Over in 33 of his last 41 games (+20.70 Units / 36% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 29 of his last 41 games (+16.50 Units / 35% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Hits Over in 31 of his last 41 games (+16.05 Units / 19% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Total Bases Over in 26 of his last 40 games (+11.60 Units / 26% ROI)
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 40 of their last 64 games (+22.45 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 39 of their last 58 games (+17.70 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 26 games (+10.75 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 14 away games (+9.90 Units / 61% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 18 games (+7.90 Units / 33% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 30 of their last 42 games (+23.00 Units / 47% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 32 of their last 42 games (+22.20 Units / 43% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 31 of their last 45 games (+18.35 Units / 27% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 36 of their last 53 games (+17.49 Units / 28% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 51 of their last 76 games (+15.70 Units / 14% ROI)
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 44-29 against the Run Line (+22.3 Units / 26.14% ROI).
- 48-25 when betting on the Moneyline for +13.85 Units / 13.38% ROI
- 36-26 when betting on the total runs Over for +7.8 Units / 9.89% ROI
- 26-36 when betting on the total runs Under for -13.75 Units / -17.28% ROI
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 45-31 against the Run Line (+19.3 Units / 21.3% ROI).
- 51-25 when betting on the Moneyline for +15.7 Units / 14.02% ROI
- 36-38 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.85 Units / -6.99% ROI
- 38-36 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.5 Units / -1.79% ROI
Yankees vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -200 |
| Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -275 |
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -550 |
| Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -650 |
Yankees vs Orioles Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Ryan Mountcastle (BAL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| DJ LeMahieu (NYY) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Jose Trevino (NYY) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Yankees vs Orioles RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 -120 | 0.5 -105 |
| Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) | 0.5 +100 | 0.5 -130 |
| Gleyber Torres (NYY) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Ryan Mountcastle (BAL) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
Yankees vs Orioles Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cole Irvin (BAL) | 4.5 +115 | 4.5 -150 |
| Luis Gil (NYY) | 6.5 +115 | 6.5 -150 |
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 8% (8/95) against Cole Irvin on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 28 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .400 (10-for-25) against Cole Irvin when going through the lineup the second time in a game this month (3 games) — 3rd highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: .234 — fifth Percentile.
Right-handed batters batted .412 (7-for-17) against Cole Irvin — 3rd highest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: .217 — fifth Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 17% (88/507) against Cole Irvin this season — 7th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 28 total IP; League Avg: 24% — fourth Percentile.
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .142 (39-for-274) against Luis Gil this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .234 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .083 (12-for-145) against Luis Gil when ahead in the count this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .185 — 100th Percentile.
Luis Gil has allowed a slugging percentage of just .245 (67 Total Bases / 274 ABs) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .379 — 100th Percentile.
Luis Gil has allowed an OPS of just .495 (316 PA’s) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .673 — 100th Percentile.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Orioles are 5-18 (.217) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .110.
The Orioles are 56-42 (.571) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .413.
The Orioles are 18-7 (.720) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Orioles are 49-26 (.653) after a road win since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .481.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Yankees are 9-8 (.529) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .244.
The Yankees are 24-19 (.558) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .411.
The Yankees are 57-18 (.760) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .618.
The Yankees are 16-0 (1.000) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .796.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
Orioles hitters have 100 extra-base hits out of 238 total hits (42%) with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 31%.
Orioles hitters are slugging .559 against RHP this month (18 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .403.
Orioles hitters have put just 35% of balls in play to the left side of the field since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 39%.
Orioles hitters have 116 HRs on 682 Flyballs (17% HR/FLY) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 12%.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters are slugging .736 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .556.
Yankees hitters have an OPS of .785 (2,175 PA’s) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .701.
Yankees hitters are slugging .451 against RHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .390.
Yankees hitters have just 11 strikeouts in 104 PA’s (11%) against LHP over the last 14 days — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
The Orioles have won 50% of road games in which their opponents scored first since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .201 against Orioles pitchers with the shift since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .240.
Orioles pitchers have an ERA of 3.11 (660.1 IP) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 3.99.
The Orioles won 49% of games in which their opponents scored first in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 34%.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Yankees pitchers have won 78% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
The Yankees have won 57% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .198 against Yankees pitchers with the shift since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .232.
Yankees pitchers have won 47% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Yankees vs. Orioles Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Anthony Volpe (New York Yankees): Illness, Day-To-Day
- Lou Trivino (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Scott Effross (New York Yankees): Back, 60-Day IL
- Jasson Dominguez (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Gerrit Cole (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- McKinley Moore (New York Yankees): Knee, 15-Day IL
- Ryan Weber (New York Yankees): Forearm, Out
- DJ LeMahieu (New York Yankees): Foot, 10-Day IL
- Oscar Gonzalez (New York Yankees): Orbital, Out
- Jorbit Vivas (New York Yankees): Orbital, Out
- Tommy Kahnle (New York Yankees): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Oswald Peraza (New York Yankees): Shoulder, 10-Day IL
- Felix Bautista (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Terrin Vavra (Baltimore Orioles): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- John Means (Baltimore Orioles): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Kyle Bradish (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Cionel Perez (Baltimore Orioles): Oblique, 15-Day IL
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