Padres vs Athletics Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr 7

Athletics' Lawrence Butler reacts after hitting a single against the Kansas City Royals during the first inning of a spring training baseball game Monday, Feb. 24, 2025, in Surprise, Ariz.
(AP Photo/Lindsey Wasson)
  • The Padres are -150 favorites vs the Athletics
  • Padres vs Athletics Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
  • Padres / Athletics TV Channel: NSC+ | PDTV

The San Diego Padres (-150) visit Sutter Health Park to take on the Oakland Athletics (+125) on Monday, April 7, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 10:05pm EDT in Sacramento, CA.

This season, the Padres are 8-2 against the spread (ATS), while the Athletics are ATS.

Padres vs Athletics Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Padres starting pitcher: Michael King 1-0, 3.53 ERA
  • Athletics starting pitcher: Luis Severino 0-1, 3.75 ERA

Padres vs. Athletics Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Padres-1.5 +115O 8.5 -120-150
Athletics +1.5 -135U 8.5 +100+125

Padres vs Athletics Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Monday‘s MLB game with 57.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


Bet now on Padres vs Athletics and all games with BetMGM


We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Padres Player Prop Bets Today:

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Athletics Player Prop Best Bets Today:

Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Padres are 7-3 against the Run Line (+3.8 Units / 27.84% ROI).

  • 8-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.45 Units / 51.19% ROI
  • 4-5 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.4 Units / -12.79% ROI
  • 5-4 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.45 Units / 4.05% ROI

Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Athletics are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

  • home moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
  • home total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
  • home total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Athletics vs Padres Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) 0.5 +375 0.5 -525
Jackson Merrill (SD) 0.5 +450 0.5 -625
Manny Machado (SD) 0.5 +475 0.5 -650
Brent Rooker (ATH) 0.5 +500 0.5 -700
Shea Langeliers (ATH) 0.5 +525 0.5 -750

Athletics vs Padres Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Manny Machado (SD) 0.5 -275 0.5 +200
Jacob Wilson (ATH) 0.5 -200 0.5 +145
Miguel Andujar (ATH) 0.5 -190 0.5 +140
Jake Cronenworth (SD) 0.5 -190 0.5 +145
Xander Bogaerts (SD) 0.5 -185 0.5 +140

Athletics vs Padres RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jackson Merrill (SD) 0.5 +125 0.5 -165
Manny Machado (SD) 0.5 +155 0.5 -210
Jake Cronenworth (SD) 0.5 +170 0.5 -225
Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) 0.5 +175 0.5 -235
Gavin Sheets (SD) 0.5 +180 0.5 -235

Athletics vs Padres Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Luis Severino (ATH) 4.5 +100 4.5 -135
Michael King (SD) 6.5 +110 6.5 -145

Michael King has a strikeout rate of 33% (99 SO in 297 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 98th Percentile.

Michael King has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 85.6 MPH in the 2024 season (439 balls in play) — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 88.9

Michael King has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 86.1 MPH since the 2023 season (702 balls in play) — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 132 total IP; League Avg: 89.0

Michael King struck out 32% (107/336) of right-handed batters he faced in the 2024 season — tied for 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 96th Percentile.

Athletics Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Luis Severino has allowed an OBP of .500 (18 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — tied for highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .286 — second Percentile.

Luis Severino has allowed an OBP of .500 (18 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: .282 — second Percentile.

Luis Severino has walked 7 of 53 batters (13%) this season — 10th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 10th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .280 (75-for-268) against Luis Severino when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — tied for 6th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .232 — 12th Percentile.

Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics

The Padres were 66-8 (.892) when they scored 5 or more runs in the 2024 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .804.

The Padres were 55-38 (.591) after a win in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .496.

The Padres are 67-39 (.632) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses since last season They play the Athletics (26th best runs scored) today.

The Padres were 67-6 (.918) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .856.

Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Padres

The Athletics are just 13-24 (.342) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .499.

The Athletics are just 39-101 (.277) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since last season They play the Padres (10th best runs allowed) today.

The Athletics are just 120-172 (.411) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .538.

The Athletics are just 75-133 (.361) after a loss since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .495.

Padres hitters have just 305 strikeouts in 1,762 PA’s (17%) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

The Padres batted .275 on the road in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .242.

Padres hitters struck out just 278 times in 1,617 PA’s (17%) against LHP in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Padres hitters have just 1,140 strikeouts in 6,472 PA’s (18%) since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Athletics hitters are averaging just 2.94 pitches per plate appearance against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.91.

The Athletics batted just .200 with two outs in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .237.

Athletics hitters are slugging .711 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .382.

The Athletics won only 32% of their home games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 52%.

The Padres pitchers allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.9 MPH in the 2023 season (3,922 balls in play) — best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0

Padres pitchers allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.9 MPH (3,922 batted balls) in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0.

Padres pitchers have thrown at least two strikes in their first three pitches to 54% of opposing batters this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 63%.

Padres pitchers have walked 44 of 362 batters (12%) this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Athletics pitchers walked 694 of 6,384 batters (11%) in 2023 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Athletics pitchers since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents had a groundball rate of just 38% against Athletics pitchers in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Athletics pitchers had an ERA of 6.09 (676.2 IP) on the road in 2023 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.44.

More MLB Reading:


Bet now on Padres vs Athletics and all games with BetMGM


Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM

Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.

Split First Bet Offer FBO March Matchups 1080x610
About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.