- The Padres are -105 favorites vs the Cardinals
- Padres vs Cardinals Over / Under today: 9.5 Runs
- Padres / Cardinals TV Channel: PDTV | BSMW
The San Diego Padres (+100) visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (-120) on Monday, August 26, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:45pm EDT in St. Louis, MO.
This season, the Padres are 74-58 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 65-65 ATS.
Padres vs Cardinals Starting Pitchers Today:
- Padres starting pitcher: Randy Vasquez 3-6, 4.67 ERA
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Kyle Gibson 7-5, 4.22 ERA
Padres vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Padres | -1.5 +155 | O 9 +100 | +100 |
| Cardinals | +1.5 -190 | U 9 -120 | -120 |
Padres vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Monday‘s MLB game with 52.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Padres Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jackson Merrill has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 24 away games (+26.80 Units / 112% ROI)
- Jackson Merrill has hit the Runs Over in 20 of his last 31 games (+13.95 Units / 43% ROI)
- Jake Cronenworth has hit the Total Bases Under in 22 of his last 28 games (+13.15 Units / 30% ROI)
- Jurickson Profar has hit the Walks Under in 28 of his last 38 games (+13.10 Units / 20% ROI)
- Xander Bogaerts has hit the Singles Over in 28 of his last 40 games (+12.25 Units / 23% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Masyn Winn has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 18 games at home (+26.50 Units / 147% ROI)
- Pedro Pages has hit the Singles Over in 20 of his last 28 games (+15.80 Units / 56% ROI)
- Nolan Arenado has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 24 games (+14.20 Units / 27% ROI)
- Brendan Donovan has hit the Runs Under in 24 of his last 30 games (+13.20 Units / 23% ROI)
- Nolan Arenado has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 17 games at home (+12.15 Units / 56% ROI)
Padres Best Bets Today:
- The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 39 of their last 63 away games (+14.80 Units / 18% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 37 of their last 55 games (+14.60 Units / 19% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Over in 33 of their last 54 games (+11.15 Units / 19% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 11 of their last 17 away games (+5.40 Units / 28% ROI)
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 19 games (+6.20 Units / 29% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 25 of their last 47 games at home (+5.80 Units / 10% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games at home (+4.45 Units / 27% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.65 Units / 70% ROI)
Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Padres are 67-65 against the Run Line (+4.9 Units / 3% ROI).
- 74-58 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.8 Units / 1.58% ROI
- 71-59 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.55 Units / 4.54% ROI
- 59-71 when betting on the total runs Under for -20 Units / -13.65% ROI
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 65-65 against the Run Line (-6 Units / -3.41% ROI).
- 65-65 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.15 Units / -7.11% ROI
- 60-65 when betting on the total runs Over for -12 Units / -8.45% ROI
- 65-60 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.3 Units / -0.92% ROI
Cardinals vs Padres Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Paul Goldschmidt (STL) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Manny Machado (SD) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Alec Burleson (STL) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Jackson Merrill (SD) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Jake Cronenworth (SD) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
Cardinals vs Padres Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Xander Bogaerts (SD) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Nolan Arenado (STL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
| Jurickson Profar (SD) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
| David Peralta (SD) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Tommy Pham (STL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Cardinals vs Padres RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Manny Machado (SD) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
| Jackson Merrill (SD) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
| Jake Cronenworth (SD) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Paul Goldschmidt (STL) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Alec Burleson (STL) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
Cardinals vs Padres Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Gibson (STL) | 3.5 -140 | 3.5 +105 |
Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a line drive rate of 29% (114/386) against Randy Vasquez since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 116 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 0 Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a line drive rate of 35% (46/130) against Randy Vasquez this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 51 total IP; League Avg: 24% — first Percentile.
Randy Vasquez has allowed an OPS of .932 (153 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 51 total IP; League Avg: .686 — 0 Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .310 (101-for-326) against Randy Vasquez this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 51 total IP; League Avg: .244 — first Percentile.
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kyle Gibson has a strike rate of just 58% (683/1,176) vs left-handed batters this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — second Percentile.
Kyle Gibson has walked 21 of 133 batters (16%) with runners in scoring position this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — first Percentile.
Kyle Gibson has a strike rate of just 60% (1,341/2,221) this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — fourth Percentile.
Kyle Gibson has a strike rate of just 56% (282/507) with runners in scoring position this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — first Percentile.
Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Padres are 116-20 (.853) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .790.
The Padres are 10-50 (.167) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .104.
The Padres are 67-54 (.554) after a road win since the 2022 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .485.
The Padres are 13-10 (.565) after a road loss this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .480.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Padres
The Cardinals are 36-18 (.667) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals are just 14-118 (.106) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .142.
The Cardinals are 17-12 (.586) after a loss as underdogs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .436.
The Cardinals are just 23-37 (.383) after a win as favorites since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .573.
Padres Hitting Stats & Trends
Padres hitters have just 243 strikeouts in 1,431 PA’s (17%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Padres are batting .282 on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .242.
Padres hitters have just 869 strikeouts in 4,965 PA’s (17%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Padres hitters have just 611 strikeouts in 3,130 PA’s (20%) against LHP since last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
Cardinals hitters have an OBP of just .295 (1,466 PA’s) against LHP this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.
Cardinals hitters are slugging just .361 against LHP this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .401.
The Cardinals are just 43-67 (.381) against the run line (-30.1% ROI) after a road win since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Cardinals hitters have an OPS of just .688 (3,026 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .731.
Padres Pitching Stats & Trends
Padres pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Padres pitchers this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Padres pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Padres pitchers allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 38% of their games in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Cardinals vs. Padres Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- St. Louis Cardinals – No Injuries Reported
- San Diego Padres – No Injuries Reported
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