- The Padres are -145 favorites vs the Cardinals
- Padres vs Cardinals Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Padres / Cardinals TV Channel: PDTV | BSMW
The San Diego Padres (-145) visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (+120) on Tuesday, August 27, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:45pm EDT in St. Louis, MO.
This season, the Padres are 75-58 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 65-66 ATS.
Padres vs Cardinals Starting Pitchers Today:
- Padres starting pitcher: Dylan Cease 12-10, 3.44 ERA
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Miles Mikolas 8-10, 5.20 ERA
Padres vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Padres | -1.5 +125 | O 8 -115 | -145 |
| Cardinals | +1.5 -155 | U 8 -105 | +120 |
Padres vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 62.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Padres Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jackson Merrill has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 25 away games (+25.80 Units / 103% ROI)
- Jake Cronenworth has hit the Total Bases Under in 23 of his last 29 games (+14.15 Units / 31% ROI)
- Xander Bogaerts has hit the Singles Over in 29 of his last 41 games (+13.25 Units / 24% ROI)
- Xander Bogaerts has hit the Hits Over in 31 of his last 43 games (+12.95 Units / 15% ROI)
- Jackson Merrill has hit the Runs Over in 20 of his last 32 games (+12.90 Units / 39% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Masyn Winn has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 19 games at home (+25.50 Units / 134% ROI)
- Pedro Pages has hit the Singles Over in 20 of his last 28 games (+15.80 Units / 56% ROI)
- Pedro Pages has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 26 games (+13.75 Units / 35% ROI)
- Pedro Pages has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 26 games (+11.60 Units / 30% ROI)
- Brendan Donovan has hit the Runs Under in 24 of his last 31 games (+11.60 Units / 20% ROI)
Padres Best Bets Today:
- The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 40 of their last 64 away games (+15.80 Units / 18% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 38 of their last 56 games (+15.60 Units / 20% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Over in 34 of their last 55 games (+12.15 Units / 20% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 12 of their last 18 away games (+6.45 Units / 32% ROI)
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 33 games at home (+5.55 Units / 15% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 25 of their last 48 games at home (+4.80 Units / 8% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.75 Units / 32% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games (+2.45 Units / 38% ROI)
Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Padres are 68-65 against the Run Line (+5.9 Units / 3.58% ROI).
- 75-58 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.8 Units / 2.13% ROI
- 72-59 when betting on the total runs Over for +7.55 Units / 5.2% ROI
- 59-72 when betting on the total runs Under for -21.1 Units / -14.29% ROI
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 65-66 against the Run Line (-7 Units / -3.95% ROI).
- 65-66 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.35 Units / -7.82% ROI
- 61-65 when betting on the total runs Over for -11 Units / -7.69% ROI
- 65-61 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.4 Units / -1.68% ROI
Cardinals vs Padres Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Manny Machado (SD) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Jackson Merrill (SD) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Jurickson Profar (SD) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Jake Cronenworth (SD) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Alec Burleson (STL) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
Cardinals vs Padres Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alec Burleson (STL) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| David Peralta (SD) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Xander Bogaerts (SD) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Masyn Winn (STL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Brendan Donovan (STL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Cardinals vs Padres RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Manny Machado (SD) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -155 |
| Jackson Merrill (SD) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -155 |
| Jake Cronenworth (SD) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Jurickson Profar (SD) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| David Peralta (SD) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Cardinals vs Padres Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Miles Mikolas (STL) | 2.5 -175 | 2.5 +130 |
| Dylan Cease (SD) | 6.5 +125 | 6.5 -160 |
Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Dylan Cease has allowed an OBP of just .267 (614 PAs) this season — tied for seventh best among qualified SPs– 90th Percentile. He allowed an OBP of .332 (783 PAs) last season — third worst among qualified SPs– sixth Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .195 (140-for-718) against Dylan Cease when going through the lineup the second time in a game since the 2022 season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .238 — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of 37% (241/647) against Dylan Cease this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 100th Percentile.
Dylan Cease has a strikeout rate of 37% (88 SO in 238 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 15% (91/599) against Miles Mikolas this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — first Percentile.
Miles Mikolas has a strikeout rate of just 15% (82 SO in 531 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — third Percentile.
Miles Mikolas has walked 23 of 600 batters (4%) this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 96th Percentile.
Miles Mikolas has allowed a slugging percentage of .535 (154 Total Bases / 288 ABs) on non-fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .354 — first Percentile.
Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Padres are 13-10 (.565) after a road loss this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .481.
The Padres are 68-54 (.557) after a road win since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .486.
The Padres are 10-50 (.167) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .104.
The Padres are 24-16 (.600) after a road win this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .467.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Padres
The Cardinals are just 23-38 (.377) after a win as favorites since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .573.
The Cardinals are 39-27 (.591) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals are 36-18 (.667) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals are just 56-63 (.471) after a win as favorites since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .584.
Padres Hitting Stats & Trends
The Padres are batting .282 on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .243.
Padres hitters have just 244 strikeouts in 1,439 PA’s (17%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Padres hitters have just 873 strikeouts in 5,005 PA’s (17%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Padres hitters have just 29 strikeouts in 193 PA’s (15%) against LHP this month (16 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
team hitters – home
Padres Pitching Stats & Trends
The Padres pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 88.0 MPH since last season (7,163 balls in play) — best in MLB; League Avg: 88.9
The Padres pitchers allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.9 MPH in the 2023 season (3,922 balls in play) — best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0
Padres pitchers allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.9 MPH (3,922 batted balls) in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0.
Padres pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Cardinals pitchers this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Cardinals vs. Padres Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- St. Louis Cardinals – No Injuries Reported
- San Diego Padres – No Injuries Reported
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