- The Padres are -125 favorites vs the Cardinals
- Padres vs Cardinals Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Padres / Cardinals TV Channel: PDTV | BSMW
The San Diego Padres (-125) visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (+105) on Wednesday, August 28, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:45pm EDT in St. Louis, MO.
This season, the Padres are 76-58 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 65-67 ATS.
Padres vs Cardinals Starting Pitchers Today:
- Padres starting pitcher: Joe Musgrove 4-4, 4.48 ERA
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Andre Pallante 6-6, 3.80 ERA
Padres vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Padres | -1.5 +135 | O 8 -110 | -125 |
| Cardinals | +1.5 -165 | U 8 -110 | +105 |
Padres vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 58.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Padres Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jackson Merrill has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 25 games (+22.70 Units / 91% ROI)
- Jake Cronenworth has hit the Total Bases Under in 24 of his last 30 games (+15.15 Units / 32% ROI)
- Jackson Merrill has hit the Runs Over in 21 of his last 33 games (+13.90 Units / 41% ROI)
- Manny Machado has hit the Singles Under in 30 of his last 47 games (+12.45 Units / 24% ROI)
- Xander Bogaerts has hit the Hits Over in 31 of his last 44 games (+10.60 Units / 12% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Masyn Winn has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 20 games at home (+24.50 Units / 123% ROI)
- Pedro Pages has hit the Singles Over in 20 of his last 28 games (+15.80 Units / 56% ROI)
- Pedro Pages has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 26 games (+13.75 Units / 35% ROI)
- Pedro Pages has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 26 games (+11.60 Units / 30% ROI)
- Masyn Winn has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 22 games at home (+10.50 Units / 47% ROI)
Padres Best Bets Today:
- The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 41 of their last 65 away games (+17.00 Units / 20% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 39 of their last 57 games (+16.60 Units / 21% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Over in 35 of their last 56 games (+13.15 Units / 22% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 13 of their last 19 away games (+7.70 Units / 36% ROI)
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Over in 21 of their last 34 games at home (+6.55 Units / 18% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 10 of their last 15 games at home (+4.30 Units / 23% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 25 of their last 49 games at home (+3.40 Units / 6% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 7 games (+1.45 Units / 20% ROI)
Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Padres are 69-65 against the Run Line (+7.1 Units / 4.28% ROI).
- 76-58 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.8 Units / 2.67% ROI
- 73-59 when betting on the total runs Over for +8.55 Units / 5.84% ROI
- 59-73 when betting on the total runs Under for -22.2 Units / -14.92% ROI
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 65-67 against the Run Line (-8.4 Units / -4.71% ROI).
- 65-67 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.35 Units / -8.4% ROI
- 62-65 when betting on the total runs Over for -10 Units / -6.94% ROI
- 65-62 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.5 Units / -2.43% ROI
Cardinals vs Padres Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Paul Goldschmidt (STL) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Manny Machado (SD) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Kyle Higashioka (SD) | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Nolan Arenado (STL) | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Alec Burleson (STL) | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -1200 |
Cardinals vs Padres Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado (STL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Alec Burleson (STL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Jurickson Profar (SD) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Brendan Donovan (STL) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| David Peralta (SD) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Cardinals vs Padres RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Manny Machado (SD) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -150 |
| Jackson Merrill (SD) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Xander Bogaerts (SD) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Nolan Arenado (STL) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Kyle Higashioka (SD) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
Cardinals vs Padres Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Joe Musgrove (SD) | 4.5 -120 | 4.5 -105 |
| Andre Pallante (STL) | 3.5 +115 | 3.5 -155 |
Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Joe Musgrove has allowed an OBP of just .045 (22 PA’s) over the past seven days (1 games) — best among NL Starters over the last week; League Avg: .308 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .045 (1-for-22) against Joe Musgrove over the past seven days (1 games) — best among NL Starters over the last week; League Avg: .246 — 100th Percentile.
Joe Musgrove had a strike rate of 77% (58/75) in his last start — 2nd highest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 64% — 99th Percentile.
Joe Musgrove allowed an OPS of just .136 (22 PA’s) in his last start — best in MLB over the last week; League Avg: .711 — 100th Percentile.
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 77% (196/255) against Andre Pallante since last season — highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 66% (193/294) against Andre Pallante in two-strike counts since the 2022 season — 2nd highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 45% — 99th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 62% (164/263) against Andre Pallante this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 52 total IP; League Avg: 42% — 100th Percentile.
Andre Pallante has a strike rate of just 60% (1,382/2,314) against right-handed batters since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 65% — first Percentile.
Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Padres are 38-26 (.594) on the road this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .478.
The Padres are 54-4 (.931) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .854.
The Padres are 44-30 (.595) after a win this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .494.
The Padres are 69-54 (.561) after a road win since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .487.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Padres
The Cardinals are just 23-38 (.377) after a win as favorites since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .573.
The Cardinals are 36-18 (.667) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals are 39-27 (.591) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals are 17-13 (.567) after a loss as underdogs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .435.
Padres Hitting Stats & Trends
team hitters – away
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
team hitters – home
Padres Pitching Stats & Trends
Padres pitchers allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.9 MPH (3,922 batted balls) in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0.
The Padres pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 88.0 MPH since last season (7,192 balls in play) — best in MLB; League Avg: 88.9
The Padres pitchers allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.9 MPH in the 2023 season (3,922 balls in play) — best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0
Padres pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Cardinals vs. Padres Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- St. Louis Cardinals – No Injuries Reported
- San Diego Padres – No Injuries Reported
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