- The Diamondbacks are -175 favorites vs the Padres
- Padres vs Diamondbacks Over / Under today: 9.5 Runs
- Padres / Diamondbacks TV Channel: FOX
The San Diego Padres (+145) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (-175) on Saturday, June 14, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15pm EDT in Phoenix, AZ.
This season, the Padres are 38-30 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 33-36 ATS.
Padres vs Diamondbacks Starting Pitchers Today:
- Padres starting pitcher: Ryan Bergert 1-0, 1.29 ERA
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Zac Gallen 4-8, 5.14 ERA
Padres vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Padres | +1.5 -145 | O 9.5 -118 | +145 |
| Diamondbacks | -1.5 +120 | U 9.5 -102 | -175 |
Padres vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 54.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
Bet now on Padres vs Diamondbacks and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Padres Player Prop Bets Today:
- Fernando Tatis Jr. has hit the RBIs Under in 23 of his last 25 games (+18.50 Units / 33% ROI)
- Luis Arraez has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 25 away games (+15.65 Units / 55% ROI)
- Fernando Tatis Jr. has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+13.10 Units / 44% ROI)
- Fernando Tatis Jr. has hit the Hits Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+12.90 Units / 25% ROI)
- Gavin Sheets has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 15 games (+12.15 Units / 37% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Josh Naylor has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 10 games at home (+19.50 Units / 195% ROI)
- Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+14.45 Units / 29% ROI)
- Josh Naylor has hit the Total Bases Over in 9 of his last 10 games at home (+9.30 Units / 85% ROI)
- Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+9.30 Units / 29% ROI)
- Josh Naylor has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 20 games at home (+8.50 Units / 32% ROI)
Padres Best Bets Today:
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Team Total Under in 22 of their last 31 away games (+11.85 Units / 33% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 13 of their last 15 away games (+11.30 Units / 64% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 33 of their last 54 games (+10.70 Units / 18% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 6 of their last 7 games (+4.90 Units / 61% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.40 Units / 20% ROI)
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 30 of their last 53 games (+14.45 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 34 of their last 53 games (+13.40 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Over in 18 of their last 28 games at home (+6.90 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in their last 5 games at home (+6.15 Units / 102% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 23 of their last 40 games (+5.90 Units / 14% ROI)
Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Padres are 37-31 against the Run Line (+1.85 Units / 2.06% ROI).
- 38-30 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.4 Units / 2.61% ROI
- 27-39 when betting on the total runs Over for -15.45 Units / -20.85% ROI
- 39-27 when betting on the total runs Under for +8.85 Units / 11.69% ROI
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 33-36 against the Run Line (-7.06 Units / -8.01% ROI).
- 35-34 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.35 Units / -7.77% ROI
- 32-33 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.55 Units / -5.95% ROI
- 33-32 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.95 Units / -2.59% ROI
Diamondbacks vs Padres Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Corbin Carroll (ARI) | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -350 |
| Eugenio Suarez (ARI) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Ketel Marte (ARI) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Manny Machado (SD) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
Diamondbacks vs Padres Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Lourdes Gurriel Jr (ARI) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Ketel Marte (ARI) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Gabriel Moreno (ARI) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Eugenio Suarez (ARI) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Xander Bogaerts (SD) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Diamondbacks vs Padres RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Corbin Carroll (ARI) | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -140 |
| Josh Naylor (ARI) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -160 |
| Jackson Merrill (SD) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -155 |
| Manny Machado (SD) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Eugenio Suarez (ARI) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
Diamondbacks vs Padres Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Bergert (SD) | 2.5 -165 | 2.5 +130 |
| Zac Gallen (ARI) | 4.5 +120 | 4.5 -155 |
Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Ryan Bergert has allowed no extra-base hits in his last 7.1 innings pitched — Drew Rasmussen has the longest active streak at 20.2.
Opponents are hitting just .067 (1-for-15) against Ryan Bergert when going through the lineup the first time in a game this month (2 games) — 9th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: .238 — 93rd Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 51% of Ryan Bergert’s pitches (27/53) with two-strikes this month (2 games) — tied for 9th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: 59% — 10th Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of just 17% (15/86) against Ryan Bergert this month (2 games) — 6th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: 28% — third Percentile.
Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Zac Gallen has a strike rate of just 57% (153/267) with runners in scoring position this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — fourth Percentile.
Zac Gallen has a in-zone of just 34% (380/1,123) in two strike counts since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 91 total IP; League Avg: 43% — second Percentile.
Zac Gallen has walked 9% of batters when going through the lineup the first time in a game since the 2023 season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 12th Percentile.
Zac Gallen has a strike rate of just 59% (218/370) in two strike counts this season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — fifth Percentile.
Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Padres are 7-20 (.259) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .135.
The Padres are 10-1 (.909) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .711.
The Padres are 16-83 (.162) when trailing entering the 8th inning since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .098.
The Padres are 22-14 (.611) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .499.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Padres
The Diamondbacks are 23-145 (.136) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .099.
The Diamondbacks are just 179-14 (.927) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .950.
The Diamondbacks were 5-59 (.077) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Diamondbacks are just 27-7 (.794) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .864.
Padres Hitting Stats & Trends
Padres hitters have struck out in just 18% of their PA’s against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Padres batted .275 on the road in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .242.
Padres hitters struck out just 278 times in 1,617 PA’s (17%) against LHP in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Padres hitters have chased 43% of pitches out of the zone with two-strikes this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks hitters have struck out in just 17% of their PA’s against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Diamondbacks hitters had an OBP of .347 (3,080 PA’s) at home in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .315.
Diamondbacks hitters had an OBP of .337 (6,284 PA’s) in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .312.
The Diamondbacks have scored 1.83 runs per game (422/231) in late innings since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.43.
Padres Pitching Stats & Trends
The Padres pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 35% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 45% against Padres pitchers in 2023 — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Padres pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 88.3 MPH since the 2023 season (9,521 balls in play) — best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0
Padres pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% since last season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a miss rate of just 24% against Diamondbacks pitchers in the 2024 season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
The Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 34% of their games on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Batters facing the Diamondbacks pitchers have struck out on pitches in the zone 47% of the time since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 49%. since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.
The Diamondbacks pitchers allowed an average Exit Velocity of 89.5 MPH in the 2024 season (4,288 balls in play) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 88.8
More MLB Reading:
Bet now on Padres vs Diamondbacks and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.
