- The Dodgers are -150 favorites vs the Padres
- Padres vs Dodgers Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Padres / Dodgers TV Channel: SNLA | PDTV | MLBN
The San Diego Padres (+125) visit Dodger Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Dodgers (-150) on Monday, June 16, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10pm EDT in Los Angeles, CA.
This season, the Padres are 39-31 against the spread (ATS), while the Dodgers are 32-39 ATS.
Padres vs Dodgers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Padres starting pitcher: Dylan Cease 2-5, 4.32 ERA
- Dodgers starting pitcher: Shohei Ohtani 0-0, 0.00 ERA
Padres vs. Dodgers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Padres | +1.5 -160 | O 9 -115 | +125 |
| Dodgers | -1.5 +135 | U 9 -105 | -150 |
Padres vs Dodgers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Monday‘s MLB game with 57.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Padres Player Prop Bets Today:
- Manny Machado has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 21 of his last 25 away games (+16.50 Units / 52% ROI)
- Dylan Cease has hit the Earned Runs Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+13.45 Units / 45% ROI)
- Luis Arraez has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 25 away games (+13.20 Units / 46% ROI)
- Fernando Tatis Jr. has hit the RBIs Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+11.55 Units / 20% ROI)
- Manny Machado has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 25 away games (+10.80 Units / 40% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Dodgers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 4 games (+15.30 Units / 383% ROI)
- Andy Pages has hit the RBIs Over in 13 of his last 20 games at home (+14.10 Units / 70% ROI)
- Freddie Freeman has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 25 games at home (+11.85 Units / 27% ROI)
- Andy Pages has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 25 games at home (+10.45 Units / 38% ROI)
- Andy Pages has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+10.15 Units / 34% ROI)
Padres Best Bets Today:
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 14 of their last 17 away games (+11.50 Units / 58% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Team Total Under in 22 of their last 33 away games (+9.45 Units / 24% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 33 of their last 56 games (+8.60 Units / 14% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.40 Units / 27% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.90 Units / 47% ROI)
Dodgers Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 24 games at home (+12.60 Units / 47% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 17 of their last 28 games at home (+3.70 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Over in 16 of their last 27 games at home (+3.45 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games (+2.00 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 7 games (+0.15 Units / 1% ROI)
Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Padres are 39-31 against the Run Line (+3.85 Units / 4.13% ROI).
- 39-31 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.55 Units / 2.72% ROI
- 29-39 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.45 Units / -17.6% ROI
- 39-29 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.75 Units / 8.68% ROI
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Dodgers are 32-39 against the Run Line (-7.95 Units / -9.39% ROI).
- 43-29 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.65 Units / -3.61% ROI
- 42-29 when betting on the total runs Over for +10.65 Units / 13.43% ROI
- 29-42 when betting on the total runs Under for -16.55 Units / -20.92% ROI
Dodgers vs Padres Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -250 |
| Manny Machado (SD) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Max Muncy (LAD) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Freddie Freeman (LAD) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -625 |
Dodgers vs Padres Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Freddie Freeman (LAD) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +170 |
| Manny Machado (SD) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Mookie Betts (LAD) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Dodgers vs Padres RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| Manny Machado (SD) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Freddie Freeman (LAD) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -200 |
| Mookie Betts (LAD) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -220 |
| Will Smith (LAD) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Dodgers vs Padres Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 1.5 +100 | 1.5 -135 |
| Dylan Cease (SD) | 6.5 +105 | 6.5 -135 |
Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Dylan Cease has thrown breaking pitches 58% of the time (144/248) when behind in the count this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 98th Percentile.
Dylan Cease has walked 11% of batters when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — second Percentile.
Dylan Cease threw his slider 47% of the time (1,500/3,188) in the 2024 season — highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Opposing hitters have a miss rate of 38% (44/115) against Dylan Cease when he’s behind in the count this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 98th Percentile.
Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Shohei Ohtani had an OPS of 1.128 (482 PA’s) against RHP in the 2024 season — best in NL; League Avg: .770 — 100th Percentile.
Shohei Ohtani had an OPS of 1.132 (429 PA’s) against RHP in 2023 — best in AL; League Avg: .764 — 100th Percentile.
Shohei Ohtani slugged .717 (294 total bases in 410 ABs) against RHP in the 2024 season — best in NL; League Avg: .440 — 100th Percentile.
Shohei Ohtani had an OPS of 1.066 (599 PA’s) in 2023 — best in AL; League Avg: .767 — 100th Percentile.
Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers
The Padres are 7-21 (.250) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .134.
The Padres are 16-83 (.162) when trailing entering the 8th inning since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .098.
The Padres are 21-15 (.583) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Padres were 67-6 (.918) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .856.
Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Padres
The Dodgers are 18-5 (.783) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .499.
The Dodgers were 15-3 (.833) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Dodgers are 198-38 (.839) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .722.
The Dodgers are 28-15 (.651) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .499.
Padres Hitting Stats & Trends
Padres hitters struck out just 278 times in 1,617 PA’s (17%) against LHP in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Padres hitters struck out just 799 times in 4,486 PA’s (18%) against RHP in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Padres hitters have struck out in just 18% of their PA’s against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Padres hitters have struck out in just 18% of their PA’s since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Dodgers Hitting Stats & Trends
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .793 (2,479 PA’s) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .703.
Dodgers hitters are slugging .457 against LHP since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .403.
Dodgers hitters are slugging .460 against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .391.
Dodgers hitters are slugging .450 since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .398.
Padres Pitching Stats & Trends
The Padres pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 34% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Padres pitchers had a strikeout rate of 24% in the 2024 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Padres pitchers since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
The Padres pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 88.3 MPH since the 2023 season (9,560 balls in play) — best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0
Dodgers Pitching Stats & Trends
Dodgers pitchers have walked 11% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Dodgers pitchers have walked 10% of batters this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Dodgers pitchers walked 454 of 6,018 batters (7%) in 2023 — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Dodgers pitchers have won 38% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
More MLB Reading:
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