- The Dodgers are -145 favorites vs the Padres
- Padres vs Dodgers Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Padres / Dodgers TV Channel: FOX
The San Diego Padres (+120) visit Dodger Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Dodgers (-145) on Friday, October 11, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:08pm EDT in Los Angeles, CA.
This season, the Padres are 97-71 against the spread (ATS), while the Dodgers are 83-83 ATS.
Padres vs Dodgers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Padres starting pitcher: Yu Darvish 8-3, 3.16 ERA
- Dodgers starting pitcher: Yoshinobu Yamamoto 7-2, 3.39 ERA
Padres vs. Dodgers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Padres | +1.5 -185 | O 8 -115 | +120 |
| Dodgers | -1.5 +150 | U 8 -105 | -145 |
Padres vs Dodgers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Friday‘s MLB game with 53.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Padres Player Prop Bets Today:
- David Peralta has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 43 games (+27.00 Units / 63% ROI)
- Jake Cronenworth has hit the Hits Under in 25 of his last 43 games (+14.75 Units / 30% ROI)
- Jake Cronenworth has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+14.45 Units / 44% ROI)
- Fernando Tatis Jr. has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 21 games (+14.00 Units / 64% ROI)
- Jake Cronenworth has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+11.75 Units / 25% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Dodgers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Enrique Hernandez has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 7 games (+20.50 Units / 293% ROI)
- Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+13.55 Units / 53% ROI)
- Shohei Ohtani has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 23 games at home (+13.15 Units / 55% ROI)
- Freddie Freeman has hit the RBIs Under in 20 of his last 24 games (+12.55 Units / 24% ROI)
- Freddie Freeman has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 24 games (+12.45 Units / 37% ROI)
Padres Best Bets Today:
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 60 of their last 91 games (+23.10 Units / 18% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 50 of their last 83 away games (+15.75 Units / 14% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Over in 49 of their last 90 games (+8.45 Units / 9% ROI)
Dodgers Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 53 of their last 84 games (+24.50 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 22 of their last 39 games at home (+8.30 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 37 of their last 56 games (+7.85 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Over in 21 of their last 35 games at home (+5.40 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 7 games (+0.75 Units / 9% ROI)
Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Padres are 85-83 against the Run Line (+4.4 Units / 2.1% ROI).
- 97-71 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.3 Units / 4.94% ROI
- 87-76 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.85 Units / 2.09% ROI
- 76-87 when betting on the total runs Under for -20.25 Units / -10.9% ROI
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Dodgers are 83-83 against the Run Line (-5.1 Units / -2.56% ROI).
- 100-66 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.8 Units / -2.74% ROI
- 92-68 when betting on the total runs Over for +17.15 Units / 9.4% ROI
- 68-92 when betting on the total runs Under for -33.2 Units / -18.13% ROI
Dodgers vs Padres Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -250 |
| Max Muncy (LAD) | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -375 |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -450 |
| Manny Machado (SD) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Jackson Merrill (SD) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
Dodgers vs Padres Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Manny Machado (SD) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Jackson Merrill (SD) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Mookie Betts (LAD) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Dodgers vs Padres RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Max Muncy (LAD) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Manny Machado (SD) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Jackson Merrill (SD) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
Dodgers vs Padres Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yoshinobu Yamamoto (LAD) | 3.5 -135 | 3.5 +100 |
| Yu Darvish (SD) | 4.5 +125 | 4.5 -165 |
Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Yu Darvish has thrown off-speed pitches 77% of the time (37/48) when he’s behind in the count over the last 14 days — highest among NL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: 30% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .430 (43-for-100) against Yu Darvish on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — tied for 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: .341 — fourth Percentile.
Yu Darvish has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 83.2 MPH against his curves since last season (61 balls in play) — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: 87.7
Opponents are hitting just .144 (28-for-195) against Yu Darvish on fastballs away since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 194 total IP; League Avg: .240 — 99th Percentile.
Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Yoshinobu Yamamoto has allowed an OPS of just .526 (179 PA’s) vs left-handed batters this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .720 — 99th Percentile.
Yoshinobu Yamamoto did not walk any of the 18 batters that he faced in his last start — tied for best in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 8% — 100th Percentile.
Yoshinobu Yamamoto has allowed a slugging percentage of .667 (16 Total Bases / 24 ABs) against right-handed batters in his last three starts — 3rd highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .358 — fourth Percentile.
Yoshinobu Yamamoto has walked 4 of 27 batters (15%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game in his last three starts — tied for 7th highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 8% — 15th Percentile.
Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers
The Padres are 67-8 (.893) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .805.
The Padres are 16-11 (.593) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Padres are 21-31 (.404) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .290.
The Padres are 17-33 (.340) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Padres
The Dodgers are 169-29 (.854) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .728.
The Dodgers are 81-51 (.614) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .436.
The Dodgers are 269-49 (.846) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .720.
The Dodgers are 305-144 (.679) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .537.
Padres Hitting Stats & Trends
Padres hitters have just 278 strikeouts in 1,617 PA’s (17%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Padres are batting .275 on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .242.
Padres hitters have just 1,077 strikeouts in 6,103 PA’s (18%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Padres hitters have just 799 strikeouts in 4,486 PA’s (18%) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Dodgers Hitting Stats & Trends
Dodgers hitters are slugging .451 since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .407.
Dodgers hitters are slugging .455 against LHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .408.
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .788 (12,588 PA’s) since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .723.
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .781 (6,255 PA’s) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .711.
Padres Pitching Stats & Trends
Padres pitchers allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.9 MPH (3,922 batted balls) in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0.
The Padres pitchers allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.9 MPH in the 2023 season (3,922 balls in play) — best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Padres pitchers since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Padres pitchers allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 38% of their games in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.
Dodgers Pitching Stats & Trends
The Dodgers pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 38% of their games in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Dodgers pitchers have walked 1,362 of 17,930 batters (8%) since the 2022 season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Dodgers pitchers have won 49% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
The Dodgers pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 43% of their games at home in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 56%.
Dodgers vs. Padres Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Los Angeles Dodgers – No Injuries Reported
- San Diego Padres – No Injuries Reported
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