- The Dodgers are -140 favorites vs the Padres
- Padres vs Dodgers Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Padres / Dodgers TV Channel: FS1
The San Diego Padres (+120) visit Dodger Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Dodgers (-140) on Saturday, October 5, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:38pm EDT in Los Angeles, CA.
This season, the Padres are 0-0 against the spread (ATS), while the Dodgers are 0-0 ATS.
Padres vs Dodgers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Padres starting pitcher: Dylan Cease 14-11, 3.48 ERA
- Dodgers starting pitcher: Yoshinobu Yamamoto 7-2, 3.00 ERA
Padres vs. Dodgers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Padres | +1.5 -200 | O 7.5 -105 | +120 |
| Dodgers | -1.5 +165 | U 7.5 -115 | -140 |
Padres vs Dodgers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 54.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Padres Player Prop Bets Today:
- Fernando Tatis Jr. has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 17 games (+22.20 Units / 131% ROI)
- Jurickson Profar has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 25 away games (+14.45 Units / 44% ROI)
- Jake Cronenworth has hit the Hits Under in 23 of his last 39 games (+14.35 Units / 32% ROI)
- Jake Cronenworth has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 17 of his last 21 games (+12.95 Units / 48% ROI)
- Manny Machado has hit the RBIs Over in 26 of his last 50 games (+11.40 Units / 22% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Dodgers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Enrique Hernandez has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 6 games (+21.50 Units / 358% ROI)
- Shohei Ohtani has hit the Runs Over in 25 of his last 35 games (+13.15 Units / 26% ROI)
- Shohei Ohtani has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 21 games at home (+12.90 Units / 58% ROI)
- Mookie Betts has hit the RBIs Over in 19 of his last 36 games (+11.00 Units / 30% ROI)
- Shohei Ohtani has hit the Walks Under in 33 of his last 50 games (+10.30 Units / 14% ROI)
Padres Best Bets Today:
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 58 of their last 87 games (+23.20 Units / 19% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 49 of their last 81 away games (+16.50 Units / 15% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 22 of their last 35 away games (+8.10 Units / 19% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 15 games (+7.95 Units / 49% ROI)
Dodgers Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 50 of their last 80 games (+21.50 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 35 of their last 52 games (+8.20 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 21 of their last 37 games at home (+7.80 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 30 of their last 51 games (+7.80 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Over in 20 of their last 33 games at home (+5.40 Units / 14% ROI)
Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Padres are 0-0 against the Run Line (+0 Units / 0% ROI).
- 0-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Under for +0 Units / 0% ROI
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Dodgers are 0-0 against the Run Line (+0 Units / 0% ROI).
- 0-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Under for +0 Units / 0% ROI
Dodgers vs Padres Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -350 |
| Max Muncy (LAD) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Mookie Betts (LAD) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
Dodgers vs Padres Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Jackson Merrill (SD) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Manny Machado (SD) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Mookie Betts (LAD) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
Dodgers vs Padres RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Mookie Betts (LAD) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Max Muncy (LAD) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
Dodgers vs Padres Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Dylan Cease (SD) | 4.5 -130 | 4.5 +100 |
| Yoshinobu Yamamoto (LAD) | 4.5 +100 | 4.5 -135 |
Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Dylan Cease has allowed an OBP of just .269 (757 PAs) this season — tied for seventh best among qualified SPs– 89th Percentile. He allowed an OBP of .332 (783 PAs) last season — third worst among qualified SPs– sixth Percentile.
Dylan Cease has walked 96 of 871 batters (11%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since the 2022 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — fourth Percentile.
Dylan Cease has walked 63 of 583 batters (11%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — third Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of 36% (289/799) against Dylan Cease this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 100th Percentile.
Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Yoshinobu Yamamoto has allowed an OPS of just .526 (179 PA’s) vs left-handed batters this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .720 — 99th Percentile.
Yoshinobu Yamamoto did not walk any of the 18 batters that he faced in his last start — tied for best in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 8% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .333 (7-for-21) against Yoshinobu Yamamoto when going through the lineup the first time in a game in his last three starts — tied for 6th highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .207 — 11th Percentile.
Yoshinobu Yamamoto has allowed a slugging percentage of .667 (16 Total Bases / 24 ABs) against right-handed batters in his last three starts — 3rd highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .358 — fourth Percentile.
Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers
The Padres are 48-33 (.593) on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .479.
The Padres are 67-8 (.893) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .805.
The Padres are 34-14 (.708) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .640.
The Padres are 95-69 (.579) this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Padres
The Dodgers are 269-49 (.846) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .720.
The Dodgers are 169-29 (.854) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .728.
The Dodgers are 81-51 (.614) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .436.
The Dodgers are 55-36 (.604) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .453.
Padres Hitting Stats & Trends
Padres hitters have just 278 strikeouts in 1,617 PA’s (17%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Padres hitters have just 1,077 strikeouts in 6,103 PA’s (18%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Padres are batting .201 with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .168.
Padres hitters have just 799 strikeouts in 4,486 PA’s (18%) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Dodgers Hitting Stats & Trends
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of 1.225 (2,488 PA’s) with the pitcher behind in the count since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.086.
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .788 (12,588 PA’s) since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .723.
Dodgers hitters are slugging .455 against LHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .408.
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .795 (1,741 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .711.
Padres Pitching Stats & Trends
Padres pitchers allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.9 MPH (3,922 batted balls) in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0.
The Padres pitchers allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.9 MPH in the 2023 season (3,922 balls in play) — best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0
Padres pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Padres pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 39% of their games since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Dodgers Pitching Stats & Trends
The Dodgers pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 38% of their games in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Dodgers pitchers have won 49% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
The Dodgers pitchers allowed division opponents to score first in just 31% of their games in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Dodgers pitchers have walked 1,362 of 17,930 batters (8%) since the 2022 season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Dodgers vs. Padres Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Los Angeles Dodgers – No Injuries Reported
- San Diego Padres – No Injuries Reported
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