- The Padres are -105 favorites vs the Giants
- Padres vs Giants Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Padres / Giants TV Channel: NSBA | PDTV
The San Diego Padres (-105) visit Oracle Park to take on the San Francisco Giants (-115) on Friday, April 5, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 4:35pm EDT in San Francisco, CA.
This season, the Padres are 4-5 against the spread (ATS), while the Giants are 4-3 ATS.
Padres vs Giants Starting Pitchers Today:
- Padres starting pitcher: Dylan Cease 0-1, 3.86 ERA
- Giants starting pitcher: Jordan Hicks 1-0, 0.00 ERA
Padres vs. Giants Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Padres | -1.5 +165 | O 7.5 -105 | -105 |
| Giants | +1.5 -200 | U 7.5 -115 | -115 |
Padres vs Giants Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Friday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Padres Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jake Cronenworth has hit the Total Bases Over in 28 of his last 40 games (+17.10 Units / 30% ROI)
- Blake Snell has hit the Earned Runs Under in 21 of his last 26 games (+15.80 Units / 46% ROI)
- Xander Bogaerts has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 26 of his last 35 games (+15.20 Units / 34% ROI)
- Xander Bogaerts has hit the Total Bases Over in 23 of his last 35 games (+13.85 Units / 30% ROI)
- Blake Snell has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 20 of his last 27 games (+12.35 Units / 38% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Giants Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Logan Webb has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 24 of his last 33 games (+14.90 Units / 35% ROI)
- Austin Slater has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 28 games (+10.00 Units / 27% ROI)
- Mike Yastrzemski has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 12 of his last 15 games at home (+7.85 Units / 39% ROI)
- Austin Slater has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 23 games (+7.65 Units / 22% ROI)
- Austin Slater has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 23 games (+6.70 Units / 29% ROI)
Padres Best Bets Today:
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 84 of their last 155 games (+17.70 Units / 10% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 27 games (+12.45 Units / 30% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 16 games (+8.80 Units / 33% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Team Total Under in 44 of their last 77 away games (+7.65 Units / 8% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.09 Units / 36% ROI)
Giants Best Bets Today:
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 73 of their last 115 games (+27.02 Units / 20% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Under in 55 of their last 85 games (+22.17 Units / 22% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 86 of their last 148 games (+22.10 Units / 14% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 47 games at home (+5.40 Units / 8% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in their last 2 games (+2.05 Units / 100% ROI)
Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Padres are 3-6 against the Run Line (-2.03 Units / -22.09% ROI).
- 4-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.81 Units / -15.4% ROI
- 5-3 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.77 Units / 17.65% ROI
- 3-5 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.5 Units / -25.2% ROI
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Giants are 4-3 against the Run Line (-0.8 Units / -7.24% ROI).
- 2-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.85 Units / -40.14% ROI
- 7-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +7.05 Units / 92.16% ROI
- 0-7 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.8 Units / -100% ROI
Giants vs Padres Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yastrzemski | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Monte Wade Jr | 0.5 +775 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Lee | 0.5 +1150 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Bogaerts | 0.5 +1400 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Kim | 0.5 +1550 | 0.5 -5000 |
Giants vs Padres Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cease | 6.5 -140 | 6.5 +105 |
| Hicks | 4.5 +100 | 4.5 -135 |
Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 41% (103/252) against Dylan Cease on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 66 total IP; League Avg: 26% — 99th Percentile.
Dylan Cease has thrown his slider 41% of the time (2,635/6,467) since the 2022 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.
Dylan Cease has thrown his slider 75% of the time (15/20) when he’s behind in the count this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 2 total SL; League Avg: 20% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 40% (196/492) against Dylan Cease on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 131 total IP; League Avg: 26% — 99th Percentile.
Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jordan Hicks has thrown 424 fastballs at 100+ MPH since last season — most among in NL — 100th Percentile.
Jordan Hicks has walked 31 of 186 left-handed batters (17%) since the 2022 season — 2nd highest among in NL; League Avg: 10% — second Percentile.
Jordan Hicks has thrown 564 fastballs at 100+ MPH since last season — most among pitchers in MLB — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 66% (139/212) against Jordan Hicks since the 2022 season — 3rd highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 45% — 97th Percentile.
Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Giants
The Padres were just 2-13 (.133) after a win as underdogs in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .430.
The Padres are just 15-29 (.341) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .414.
The Padres are 21-22 (.488) after a loss as underdogs since the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .406.
The Padres are just 6-125 (.046) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .092.
Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Padres
The Giants were 66-1 (.985) when leading entering the 9th inning in 2023 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .949.
The Giants were just 16-31 (.340) after a road loss in 2023 — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .464.
The Giants are just 33-62 (.347) after a road loss since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .456.
The Giants are 133-3 (.978) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .951.
Padres Hitting Stats & Trends
Padres hitters have an OBP of just .194 (36 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .341.
Padres hitters are slugging .464 against LHP since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .418.
Padres hitters have a swing rate of just 46% against LHP since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Padres hitters have an OBP of .342 (1,785 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .324.
Giants Hitting Stats & Trends
Giants hitters had an OPS of just .683 (1,790 PA’s) against LHP in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .742.
Giants hitters slugged just .376 against LHP in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .419.
The Giants are batting just .064 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .166.
Giants hitters struck out 453 times in 1,790 PA’s (25%) against LHP in the 2023 season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Padres Pitching Stats & Trends
Padres pitchers allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.9 MPH (3,921 batted balls) in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0.
Padres pitchers have walked 11 of 81 batters (14%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 45% against Padres pitchers in the 2023 season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Padres pitchers allowed a slugging percentage of just .383 in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .414.
Giants Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 50% against Giants pitchers in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Giants pitchers walked 403 of 6,039 batters (7%) in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Giants vs. Padres Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Alex Cobb (San Francisco Giants): Hip, 15-Day IL
- Cole Waites (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Mike Yastrzemski (San Francisco Giants): Personal, Paternity
- Tristan Beck (San Francisco Giants): Arm, 60-Day IL
- Wade Meckler (San Francisco Giants): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Robbie Ray (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Sean Hjelle (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Luke Jackson (San Francisco Giants): Back, 15-Day IL
- Wilmer Flores (San Francisco Giants): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- Thomas Szapucki (San Francisco Giants): Pectoral, 60-Day IL
- Scott Alexander (San Francisco Giants): Ribs, 15-Day IL
- Ethan Small (San Francisco Giants): Oblique, 60-Day IL
- Glenn Otto (San Diego Padres): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Reiss Knehr (San Diego Padres): Elbow, Out
- Drew Carlton (San Diego Padres): Elbow, Out
- Luis Patino (San Diego Padres): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Tucupita Marcano (San Diego Padres): Knee, 10-Day IL
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