- The Padres are -110 favorites vs the Giants
- Padres vs Giants Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Padres / Giants TV Channel: NSBA | MLBN | PDTV
The San Diego Padres (-110) visit Oracle Park to take on the San Francisco Giants (-110) on Saturday, April 6, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 9:05pm EDT in San Francisco, CA.
This season, the Padres are 4-6 against the spread (ATS), while the Giants are 4-4 ATS.
Padres vs Giants Starting Pitchers Today:
- Padres starting pitcher: Michael King 1-0, 6.14 ERA
- Giants starting pitcher: Keaton Winn 0-1, 5.41 ERA
Padres vs. Giants Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Padres | -1.5 +155 | O 8 -110 | -110 |
| Giants | +1.5 -190 | U 8 -110 | -110 |
Padres vs Giants Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 52.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
Bet now on Padres vs Giants and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Padres Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jake Cronenworth has hit the Total Bases Over in 29 of his last 41 games (+18.40 Units / 32% ROI)
- Xander Bogaerts has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 27 of his last 36 games (+16.20 Units / 35% ROI)
- Blake Snell has hit the Earned Runs Under in 21 of his last 26 games (+15.80 Units / 46% ROI)
- Xander Bogaerts has hit the Total Bases Over in 24 of his last 36 games (+15.30 Units / 33% ROI)
- Blake Snell has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 20 of his last 27 games (+12.35 Units / 38% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Giants Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Logan Webb has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 24 of his last 33 games (+14.90 Units / 35% ROI)
- Nick Ahmed has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 12 games at home (+12.35 Units / 66% ROI)
- Austin Slater has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 28 games (+10.00 Units / 27% ROI)
- Matt Chapman has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+9.90 Units / 27% ROI)
- Nick Ahmed has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 12 games at home (+9.60 Units / 79% ROI)
Padres Best Bets Today:
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 84 of their last 155 games (+17.70 Units / 10% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 27 games (+12.45 Units / 30% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 16 games (+8.80 Units / 33% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Team Total Under in 44 of their last 77 away games (+7.65 Units / 8% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.09 Units / 36% ROI)
Giants Best Bets Today:
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 73 of their last 115 games (+27.02 Units / 20% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Under in 55 of their last 85 games (+22.17 Units / 22% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 86 of their last 148 games (+22.10 Units / 14% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 47 games at home (+5.40 Units / 8% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in their last 2 games (+2.05 Units / 100% ROI)
Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Padres are 4-6 against the Run Line (-1.03 Units / -9.2% ROI).
- 4-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.81 Units / -22.04% ROI
- 5-4 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.62 Units / 5.55% ROI
- 4-5 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.5 Units / -13.67% ROI
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Giants are 4-4 against the Run Line (-1.8 Units / -14.94% ROI).
- 3-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.85 Units / -22.16% ROI
- 7-1 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.9 Units / 67.05% ROI
- 1-7 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.8 Units / -76.84% ROI
Giants vs Padres Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yastrzemski | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Monte Wade Jr | 0.5 +875 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Pauley | 0.5 +1100 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Lee | 0.5 +1200 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Kim | 0.5 +1450 | 0.5 -5000 |
Giants vs Padres Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| King | 5.5 +105 | 5.5 -140 |
| Winn | 4.5 +130 | 4.5 -175 |
Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Michael King has walked 8 of 25 batters (32%) versus hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 2 total IP; League Avg: 8% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a swing rate of just 25% (29/116) against Michael King in non-two strike counts this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 2 total IP; League Avg: 43% — first Percentile.
Opponents had a miss rate of just 20% (23/113) against Michael King on the first pitch of at-bats in the 2023 season — 10th lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 30% — 10th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a swing rate of just 42% (658/1,572) against Michael King since the 2022 season — 4th lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 48% — fourth Percentile.
Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Keaton Winn has thrown his off-speed pitches for a strike 77% (44/57) of the time this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 2 total IP; League Avg: 61% — 100th Percentile.
Keaton Winn has located his pitches away 56% of the time (50/89) this season — 13th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 2 total IP; League Avg: 46% — 91st Percentile.
Keaton Winn has thrown off-speed pitches 64% of the time (57/89) this season — 6th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 2 total NonFB; League Avg: 45% — 96th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 30% (9/30) against Keaton Winn on pitches in the strike zone this season — 9th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 2 total IP; League Avg: 19% — 93rd Percentile.
Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Giants
The Padres were just 2-13 (.133) after a win as underdogs in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .430.
The Padres are just 3-14 (.176) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .428.
The Padres are just 3-67 (.043) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .100.
The Padres are just 10-36 (.217) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .310.
Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Padres
The Giants are 32-34 (.485) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .415.
The Giants are 68-1 (.986) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .948.
The Giants were 66-1 (.985) when leading entering the 9th inning in 2023 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .949.
The Giants are 23-13 (.639) after a home loss since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .508.
Padres Hitting Stats & Trends
Padres hitters are slugging .464 against LHP since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .418.
Padres hitters had an OBP of .343 (1,699 PA’s) against LHP in the 2023 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .323.
The Padres are batting .218 with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .167.
Padres hitters had an OPS of .808 (1,699 PA’s) against LHP in the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .742.
Giants Hitting Stats & Trends
The Giants are batting just .062 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .159.
Giants hitters had an OPS of just .683 (1,790 PA’s) against LHP in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .742.
Giants hitters slugged just .376 against LHP in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .419.
Giants hitters have an OPS of just .475 (3,463 PA’s) with two-strikes since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .522.
Padres Pitching Stats & Trends
Padres pitchers allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.9 MPH (3,921 batted balls) in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0.
Padres pitchers have walked 13 of 90 batters (14%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 45% against Padres pitchers in the 2023 season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Padres allowed 3.74 runs per game (303/81) at home in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.64.
Giants Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 50% against Giants pitchers in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .500 against Giants pitchers with the shift this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .232.
Giants vs. Padres Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Alex Cobb (San Francisco Giants): Hip, 15-Day IL
- Cole Waites (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Mike Yastrzemski (San Francisco Giants): Personal, Paternity
- Tristan Beck (San Francisco Giants): Arm, 60-Day IL
- Wade Meckler (San Francisco Giants): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Robbie Ray (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Sean Hjelle (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Luke Jackson (San Francisco Giants): Back, 15-Day IL
- Wilmer Flores (San Francisco Giants): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- Thomas Szapucki (San Francisco Giants): Pectoral, 60-Day IL
- Scott Alexander (San Francisco Giants): Ribs, 15-Day IL
- Ethan Small (San Francisco Giants): Oblique, 60-Day IL
- Glenn Otto (San Diego Padres): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Reiss Knehr (San Diego Padres): Elbow, Out
- Drew Carlton (San Diego Padres): Elbow, Out
- Luis Patino (San Diego Padres): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Tucupita Marcano (San Diego Padres): Knee, 10-Day IL
Bet now on Padres vs Giants and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.
