- The Padres are -190 favorites vs the Rockies
- Padres vs Rockies Over / Under today: 10.5 Runs
- Padres / Rockies TV Channel: ROTV | PDTV
The San Diego Padres (-185) visit Coors Field to take on the Colorado Rockies (+150) on Monday, April 22, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:40pm EDT in Denver, CO.
This season, the Padres are 12-12 against the spread (ATS), while the Rockies are 10-12 ATS.
Padres vs Rockies Starting Pitchers Today:
- Padres starting pitcher: Dylan Cease 2-1, 1.99 ERA
- Rockies starting pitcher: Austin Gomber 0-1, 4.95 ERA
Padres vs. Rockies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Padres | -1.5 -120 | O 10.5 -110 | -185 |
| Rockies | +1.5 +100 | U 10.5 -110 | +150 |
Padres vs Rockies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Monday‘s MLB game with 67.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Padres Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jake Cronenworth has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 20 away games (+10.80 Units / 52% ROI)
- Manny Machado has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 12 away games (+9.30 Units / 34% ROI)
- Ha-Seong Kim has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 22 away games (+7.95 Units / 28% ROI)
- Ha-Seong Kim has hit the Singles Under in 14 of his last 19 away games (+7.90 Units / 33% ROI)
- Eguy Rosario has hit the Hits Over in 10 of his last 12 games (+7.70 Units / 47% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rockies Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Alan Trejo has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 21 games (+11.45 Units / 49% ROI)
- Austin Gomber has hit the Earned Runs Under in 19 of his last 27 games (+10.05 Units / 29% ROI)
- Alan Trejo has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 24 games (+8.45 Units / 24% ROI)
- Alan Trejo has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 27 games (+8.20 Units / 23% ROI)
- Ty Blach has hit the Strikeouts Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+6.80 Units / 72% ROI)
Padres Best Bets Today:
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 74 of their last 138 games (+14.45 Units / 10% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 27 games (+12.45 Units / 30% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 16 games (+8.80 Units / 33% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.09 Units / 36% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 17 of their last 27 games (+6.75 Units / 20% ROI)
Rockies Best Bets Today:
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 34 of their last 69 games at home (+12.00 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 39 of their last 69 games at home (+11.30 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 75 of their last 139 games (+6.35 Units / 4% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 2 of their last 5 games (+0.27 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 3 of their last 5 games (+0.20 Units / 3% ROI)
Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Padres are 12-12 against the Run Line (+1.77 Units / 6.17% ROI).
- 12-12 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.21 Units / -0.74% ROI
- 12-11 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.07 Units / 0.26% ROI
- 11-12 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.05 Units / -7.77% ROI
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rockies are 10-12 against the Run Line (-4.05 Units / -15.94% ROI).
- 5-17 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.5 Units / -43.08% ROI
- 11-11 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.1 Units / -4.53% ROI
- 11-11 when betting on the total runs Under for -1 Units / -4.15% ROI
Rockies vs Padres Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -300 |
| Manny Machado (SD) | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -350 |
| Ryan McMahon (COL) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Nolan Jones (COL) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Eguy Rosario (SD) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
Rockies vs Padres Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eguy Rosario (SD) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Elias Diaz (COL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Brendan Rodgers (COL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Ryan McMahon (COL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Nolan Jones (COL) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Rockies vs Padres RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Manny Machado (SD) | 0.5 -130 | 0.5 +100 |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) | 0.5 -120 | 0.5 -110 |
| Jurickson Profar (SD) | 0.5 -105 | 0.5 -125 |
| Luis Campusano (SD) | 0.5 +100 | 0.5 -130 |
| Xander Bogaerts (SD) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -155 |
Rockies vs Padres Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Dylan Cease has allowed an OBP of just .233 (90 PAs) this season — 10th best among qualified SPs– 90th Percentile. He allowed an OBP of .332 (783 PAs) last season — third worst among qualified SPs– sixth Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting just .026 (1-for-39) against Dylan Cease this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .235 — 100th Percentile.
5 of Dylan Cease’s breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor on breaking pitches this season — most among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: nan — 100th Percentile.
Dylan Cease has allowed an OBP of just .133 (45 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .294 — 100th Percentile.
Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Austin Gomber has allowed a slugging percentage of .637 (270 Total Bases / 424 ABs) on fastballs since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 137 total IP; League Avg: .435 — 0 Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .426 (29-for-68) against Austin Gomber in late innings since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 137 total IP; League Avg: .249 — first Percentile.
Austin Gomber has allowed a slugging percentage of .650 (165 Total Bases / 254 ABs) on fastballs since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 72 total IP; League Avg: .455 — first Percentile.
Austin Gomber has allowed an OPS of .984 (220 PA’s) when going through the lineup the third time in a game since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 137 total IP; League Avg: .755 — 0 Percentile.
Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
The Padres are just 4-16 (.200) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .424.
The Padres are just 16-31 (.340) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .413.
The Padres are 23-24 (.489) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .409.
The Padres are just 7-129 (.051) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .094.
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Padres
The Rockies are just 0-1 (.000) after a win as favorites since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .576.
The Rockies are just 45-22 (.672) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .856.
The Rockies are just 17-16 (.515) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .792.
The Rockies are just 49-14 (.778) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .898.
Padres Hitting Stats & Trends
Padres hitters have 16 extra-base hits out of 33 total hits (48%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 31%.
The Padres are batting .441 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: .265.
Padres hitters have drawn 963 walks in 9,511 PA’s (10%) against RHP since the 2022 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Padres hitters have just 144 strikeouts in 722 PA’s (20%) against RHP this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rockies have a winning percentage of just 30% on the road since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
The Rockies have won just 53% of games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 75%.
The Rockies have a winning percentage of just 27% on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
The Rockies are just 0-1 (.000) after a win as favorites since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .576.
Padres Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .197 against Padres pitchers with the shift since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .231.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Padres pitchers since last season — tied for 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Padres pitchers allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 38% of their games in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.
Padres pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 16% in close and late situations this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 12% with runners in scoring position this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% with runners in scoring position since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Rockies pitchers since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rockies vs. Padres Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- German Marquez (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Lucas Gilbreath (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Antonio Senzatela (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Daniel Bard (Colorado Rockies): Knee, 15-Day IL
- Glenn Otto (San Diego Padres): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Reiss Knehr (San Diego Padres): Elbow, Out
- Drew Carlton (San Diego Padres): Elbow, Out
- Luis Patino (San Diego Padres): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Tucupita Marcano (San Diego Padres): Knee, 10-Day IL
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