Padres vs Rockies Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr 23

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(AP Photo/Gene J. Puskar)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Apr 23, 2024, 11:02 AM
  • The Padres are -165 favorites vs the Rockies
  • Padres vs Rockies Over / Under today: 10 Runs
  • Padres / Rockies TV Channel: ROTV | PDTV

The San Diego Padres (-150) visit Coors Field to take on the Colorado Rockies (+125) on Tuesday, April 23, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:40pm EDT in Denver, CO.

This season, the Padres are 13-12 against the spread (ATS), while the Rockies are 10-13 ATS.

Padres vs Rockies Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Padres starting pitcher: Michael King 2-1, 3.34 ERA
  • Rockies starting pitcher: Ryan Feltner 1-2, 4.99 ERA

Padres vs. Rockies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Padres-1.5 +105O 9.5 -105-150
Rockies +1.5 -125U 9.5 -115+125

Padres vs Rockies Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 63.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Padres Player Prop Bets Today:

  • No trends found

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rockies Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Michael Toglia has hit the Singles Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Michael Toglia has hit the Hits Under in 4 of his last 5 games (+3.70 Units / 70% ROI)
  • Michael Toglia has hit the Total Bases Under in 4 of his last 5 games (+3.30 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Michael Toglia has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 3 of his last 5 games (+1.15 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 74 of their last 138 games (+14.45 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 27 games (+12.45 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 16 games (+8.80 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.09 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 17 of their last 27 games (+6.75 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 34 of their last 69 games at home (+12.00 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 39 of their last 69 games at home (+11.30 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 75 of their last 139 games (+6.35 Units / 4% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.20 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 2 of their last 5 games (+0.27 Units / 5% ROI)

Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Padres are 13-12 against the Run Line (+2.77 Units / 9.27% ROI).

  • 13-12 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.79 Units / 2.61% ROI
  • 12-12 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.03 Units / -3.72% ROI
  • 12-12 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.05 Units / -3.82% ROI

Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rockies are 10-13 against the Run Line (-5.05 Units / -19.13% ROI).

  • 5-18 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.5 Units / -45.55% ROI
  • 11-12 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.2 Units / -8.66% ROI
  • 12-11 when betting on the total runs Under for +0 Units / 0% ROI

Rockies vs Padres Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) 0.5 +360 0.5 -500
Ryan McMahon (COL) 0.5 +525 0.5 -750
Nolan Jones (COL) 0.5 +525 0.5 -750
Elehuris Montero (COL) 0.5 +550 0.5 -800
Elias Diaz (COL) 0.5 +625 0.5 -1000

Rockies vs Padres Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brendan Rodgers (COL) 0.5 -275 0.5 +200
Ha-seong Kim (SD) 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Elehuris Montero (COL) 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Ryan McMahon (COL) 0.5 -225 0.5 +175
Brenton Doyle (COL) 0.5 -210 0.5 +160

Rockies vs Padres RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) 0.5 +110 0.5 -145
Jake Cronenworth (SD) 0.5 +115 0.5 -150
Graham Pauley (SD) 0.5 +130 0.5 -165
Jurickson Profar (SD) 0.5 +130 0.5 -165
Elias Diaz (COL) 0.5 +135 0.5 -175

Rockies vs Padres Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under

Michael King has walked 12 of 60 left-handed batters (20%) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — first Percentile.

Opponents have a swing rate of just 31% (100/318) against Michael King in non-two strike counts this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 42% — first Percentile.

Michael King has walked 7 of 44 batters (16%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — second Percentile.

Michael King has walked 15 of 114 batters (13%) this season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — fourth Percentile.

Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Ryan Feltner has allowed a slugging percentage of .903 (28 Total Bases / 31 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .365 — first Percentile.

Ryan Feltner has allowed an OPS of 1.431 (36 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .657 — first Percentile.

Ryan Feltner has allowed an OBP of .528 (36 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .292 — first Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .452 (14-for-31) against Ryan Feltner when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .226 — first Percentile.

Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies

The Padres are just 4-16 (.200) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .423.

The Padres are just 16-31 (.340) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .412.

The Padres are 72-14 (.837) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .786.

The Padres are just 7-129 (.051) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .094.

Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Padres

The Rockies are just 0-1 (.000) after a win as favorites since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .577.

The Rockies are just 49-14 (.778) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .899.

The Rockies are just 17-16 (.515) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .792.

The Rockies are just 40-27 (.597) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .796.

Padres hitters have a swing rate of just 44% against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.

Padres hitters have a swing rate of just 45% against LHP since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.

Padres hitters have 17 extra-base hits out of 37 total hits (46%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 31%.

Padres hitters are slugging .458 against LHP since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .414.

The Rockies have an average HR distance of 411.0 feet since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 398.9.

The Rockies have won just 50% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 72%.

The Rockies won just 47% of road games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 73%.

The Rockies won only 27% of their road games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.

Padres pitchers allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.9 MPH (3,921 batted balls) in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Padres pitchers this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Padres pitchers allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 38% of their games in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Padres pitchers since last season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 11% with runners in scoring position this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 21%.

Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% with runners in scoring position since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Rockies pitchers since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Rockies vs. Padres Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • German Marquez (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Lucas Gilbreath (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 15-Day IL
  • Antonio Senzatela (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Daniel Bard (Colorado Rockies): Knee, 15-Day IL
  • Glenn Otto (San Diego Padres): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
  • Reiss Knehr (San Diego Padres): Elbow, Out
  • Drew Carlton (San Diego Padres): Elbow, Out
  • Luis Patino (San Diego Padres): Elbow, 15-Day IL
  • Tucupita Marcano (San Diego Padres): Knee, 10-Day IL

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.