- The Padres are -220 favorites vs the Rockies
- Padres vs Rockies Over / Under today: 11.5 Runs
- Padres / Rockies TV Channel: ROTV | PDTV | KFMB
The San Diego Padres (-220) visit Coors Field to take on the Colorado Rockies (+180) on Saturday, May 10, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Denver, CO.
This season, the Padres are 24-13 against the spread (ATS), while the Rockies are 12-26 ATS.
Padres vs Rockies Starting Pitchers Today:
- Padres starting pitcher: Stephen Kolek 1-0, 0.00 ERA
- Rockies starting pitcher: Bradley Blalock 0-1, 8.26 ERA
Padres vs. Rockies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Padres | -2.5 -105 | O 12 -110 | -220 |
| Rockies | +2.5 -115 | U 12 -110 | +180 |
Padres vs Rockies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 62.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Padres Player Prop Bets Today:
- Elias Diaz has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 7 games (+23.40 Units / 334% ROI)
- Jake Cronenworth has hit the Singles Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+15.35 Units / 41% ROI)
- Jake Cronenworth has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 20 away games (+12.50 Units / 59% ROI)
- Jake Cronenworth has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 20 away games (+9.80 Units / 26% ROI)
- Manny Machado has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in his last 9 games (+9.15 Units / 82% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rockies Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Ryan McMahon has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+15.55 Units / 61% ROI)
- Ryan McMahon has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+12.60 Units / 31% ROI)
- Michael Toglia has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 9 games at home (+12.40 Units / 138% ROI)
- Ryan McMahon has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+12.25 Units / 42% ROI)
- Jordan Beck has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+9.90 Units / 32% ROI)
Padres Best Bets Today:
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 37 games (+10.75 Units / 23% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 22 of their last 35 games (+7.60 Units / 16% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 21 of their last 33 games (+7.32 Units / 18% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 22 of their last 35 games (+7.05 Units / 17% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 23 games (+5.95 Units / 23% ROI)
Rockies Best Bets Today:
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Team Total Under in 25 of their last 38 games (+9.92 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Over in their last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 91% ROI)
Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Padres are 23-14 against the Run Line (+7.6 Units / 15.26% ROI).
- 24-13 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.75 Units / 22.9% ROI
- 15-21 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.45 Units / -18.7% ROI
- 21-15 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.1 Units / 9.82% ROI
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rockies are 12-26 against the Run Line (-16.1 Units / -36.3% ROI).
- 6-32 when betting on the Moneyline for -23 Units / -59.51% ROI
- 15-22 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.1 Units / -21.85% ROI
- 22-15 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.45 Units / 12.99% ROI
Rockies vs Padres Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -275 |
| Jackson Merrill (SD) | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -400 |
| Manny Machado (SD) | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -450 |
| Hunter Goodman (COL) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Brenton Doyle (COL) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -625 |
Rockies vs Padres Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Elias Diaz (SD) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Kyle Farmer (COL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Jake Cronenworth (SD) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Gavin Sheets (SD) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +180 |
| Mickey Moniak (COL) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
Rockies vs Padres RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jackson Merrill (SD) | 0.5 -125 | 0.5 -105 |
| Manny Machado (SD) | 0.5 -110 | 0.5 -118 |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) | 0.5 -105 | 0.5 -125 |
| Xander Bogaerts (SD) | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -135 |
| Hunter Goodman (COL) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -150 |
Rockies vs Padres Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bradley Blalock (COL) | 2.5 -105 | 2.5 -120 |
| Stephen Kolek (SD) | 4.5 +130 | 4.5 -165 |
Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Stephen Kolek has a in-zone of 7% (25/369) vs left-handed batters since last season — 6th best among NL Relievers; League Avg: 4% — 94th Percentile.
Opponents batted .303 (59-for-195) against Stephen Kolek in the 2024 season — 4th highest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: .231 — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .296 (63-for-213) against Stephen Kolek since last season — 3rd highest among NL Relievers; League Avg: .231 — third Percentile.
Left-handed hitters had a groundball rate of 60% (42/70) against Stephen Kolek in the 2024 season — 6th highest among NL Relievers; League Avg: 44% — 94th Percentile.
Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .118 (2-for-17) against Bradley Blalock this month (1 game{NumGameSuffix}) — tied for 8th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 2 total IP; League Avg: .245 — 95th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 23% (3/13) against Bradley Blalock this month (1 game{NumGameSuffix}) — 7th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 2 total IP; League Avg: 43% — fourth Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .118 (2-for-17) against Bradley Blalock on the road this month (1 game{NumGameSuffix}) — tied for 5th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 2 total IP; League Avg: .239 — 96th Percentile.
Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
The Padres are 4-9 (.308) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .122.
The Padres are 13-2 (.867) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses this season They play the Rockies (19th best runs scored) today.
The Padres are 73-41 (.640) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses since the 2023 season They play the Rockies (19th best runs scored) today.
The Padres are 111-29 (.793) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since the 2023 season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .737.
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Padres
The Rockies are just 88-36 (.704) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .860.
The Rockies are just 56-9 (.848) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .949.
The Rockies are just 26-73 (.260) on the road since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .467.
The Rockies are just 107-15 (.870) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .949.
Padres Hitting Stats & Trends
Padres hitters have struck out in just 18% of it’s PA’s against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Padres batted .275 on the road in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .242.
Padres hitters struck out just 799 times in 4,486 PA’s (18%) against RHP in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Padres hitters struck out just 278 times in 1,617 PA’s (17%) against LHP in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rockies have a winning percentage of just 16% since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Rockies have won just 23% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 72%.
The Rockies have a winning percentage of just 16% since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Rockies have a winning percentage of just 16% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Padres Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a miss rate of 27% against Padres pitchers in the 2024 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Padres pitchers have an ERA of 3.73 (3208.0 IP) since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.19.
The Padres have won 57% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
The Padres have won 57% of road games in which their opponents scored first since last season — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Rockies pitchers since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rockies pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 36% with two-strikes in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents had a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
More MLB Reading:
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