- The Padres are -200 favorites vs the Rockies
- Padres vs Rockies Over / Under today: 11.5 Runs
- Padres / Rockies TV Channel: ROTV | PDTV
The San Diego Padres (-170) visit Coors Field to take on the Colorado Rockies (+140) on Friday, May 9, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 8:40pm EDT in Denver, CO, CO.
This season, the Padres are 23-13 against the spread (ATS), while the Rockies are 12-25 ATS.
Padres vs Rockies Starting Pitchers Today:
- Padres starting pitcher: Randy Vasquez 1-3, 3.94 ERA
- Rockies starting pitcher: Antonio Senzatela 1-5, 5.73 ERA
Padres vs. Rockies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Padres | -1.5 -115 | O 11.5 -110 | -170 |
| Rockies | +1.5 -105 | U 11.5 -110 | +140 |
Padres vs Rockies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Friday‘s MLB game with 60.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Padres Player Prop Bets Today:
- Elias Diaz has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 7 games (+23.40 Units / 334% ROI)
- Randy Vasquez has hit the Strikeouts Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+13.95 Units / 50% ROI)
- Xander Bogaerts has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 25 away games (+10.25 Units / 27% ROI)
- Manny Machado has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in his last 8 games (+8.15 Units / 83% ROI)
- Manny Machado has hit the Runs Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+7.45 Units / 90% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rockies Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Ryan McMahon has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+15.55 Units / 61% ROI)
- Ryan McMahon has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+12.50 Units / 30% ROI)
- Ryan McMahon has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+12.10 Units / 41% ROI)
- Michael Toglia has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+8.65 Units / 19% ROI)
- Ryan McMahon has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 17 of his last 25 games (+8.30 Units / 27% ROI)
Padres Best Bets Today:
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 36 games (+9.75 Units / 22% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 22 games (+7.05 Units / 28% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 21 of their last 34 games (+6.60 Units / 14% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 20 of their last 32 games (+6.27 Units / 16% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 21 of their last 34 games (+6.05 Units / 15% ROI)
Rockies Best Bets Today:
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Team Total Under in 25 of their last 37 games (+10.92 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 37 games (+6.55 Units / 16% ROI)
Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Padres are 22-14 against the Run Line (+6.6 Units / 13.61% ROI).
- 23-13 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.75 Units / 21.62% ROI
- 14-21 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.45 Units / -21.81% ROI
- 21-14 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.2 Units / 12.79% ROI
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rockies are 12-25 against the Run Line (-15.1 Units / -34.83% ROI).
- 6-31 when betting on the Moneyline for -22 Units / -58.43% ROI
- 14-22 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.1 Units / -24.91% ROI
- 22-14 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.55 Units / 16.03% ROI
Rockies vs Padres Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -275 |
| Manny Machado (SD) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Hunter Goodman (COL) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Jackson Merrill (SD) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Michael Toglia (COL) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
Rockies vs Padres Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jason Heyward (SD) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Ryan McMahon (COL) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Mickey Moniak (COL) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Michael Toglia (COL) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Adael Amador (COL) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Rockies vs Padres RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jackson Merrill (SD) | 0.5 -120 | 0.5 -105 |
| Manny Machado (SD) | 0.5 -115 | 0.5 -115 |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) | 0.5 -110 | 0.5 -120 |
| Xander Bogaerts (SD) | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -145 |
| Hunter Goodman (COL) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -150 |
Rockies vs Padres Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Antonio Senzatela (COL) | 2.5 +120 | 2.5 -155 |
Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Randy Vasquez has struck out just 8% (28/357) of left-handed batters he faced since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 143 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 0 Percentile.
Randy Vasquez has walked 19% of right-handed batters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 14 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 0 Percentile.
Randy Vasquez has walked 26% of batters with runners in scoring position this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 14 total IP; League Avg: 9% — 0 Percentile.
Randy Vasquez has a strikeout rate of just 27% (75 SO in 274 PAs) with two-strikes since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 78 total IP; League Avg: 42% — 0 Percentile.
Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .397 (25-for-63) against Antonio Senzatela’s non-fastballs this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 14 total IP; League Avg: .224 — 0 Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .333 (22-for-66) against Antonio Senzatela with two-strikes this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 14 total IP; League Avg: .171 — 0 Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .468 (29-for-62) against Antonio Senzatela versus the 2-3-4 hitters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 14 total IP; League Avg: .250 — 0 Percentile.
Antonio Senzatela has allowed an OPS of 1.114 (65 PA’s) on non-fastballs this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 14 total IP; League Avg: .635 — first Percentile.
Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
The Padres are 71-45 (.612) after a win since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .499.
The Padres are just 0-11 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .045.
The Padres are 72-41 (.637) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses since the 2023 season They play the Rockies (19th best runs scored) today.
The Padres are 141-21 (.870) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .795.
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Padres
The Rockies were just 50-9 (.833) when leading entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .949.
The Rockies are just 48-132 (.265) on the road since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .473.
The Rockies are just 88-36 (.704) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .860.
The Rockies are just 26-73 (.260) on the road since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .467.
Padres Hitting Stats & Trends
Padres hitters struck out just 278 times in 1,617 PA’s (17%) against LHP in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Padres batted .275 on the road in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .242.
Padres hitters have struck out in just 18% of it’s PA’s against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Padres are batting .270 on the road since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .241.
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rockies have a winning percentage of just 16% since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Rockies hitters have an OBP of just .280 (6,651 PA’s) on the road since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .312.
The Rockies have won just 25% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 71%.
The Rockies have won just 25% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 71%.
Padres Pitching Stats & Trends
Padres pitchers have an ERA of 1.66 (163.0 IP) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 3.76.
The Padres pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 28% of their games at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
Padres pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Padres pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Rockies pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 18% in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Rockies pitchers since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
More MLB Reading:
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