- The Tigers are -155 favorites vs the Padres
- Padres vs Tigers Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Padres / Tigers TV Channel: FDDT | PDTV | MLBN
The San Diego Padres (+140) visit Comerica Park to take on the Detroit Tigers (-170) on Wednesday, April 23, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 1:10pm EDT in Detroit, MI, MI.
This season, the Padres are 17-7 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 15-9 ATS.
Padres vs Tigers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Padres starting pitcher: Kyle Hart 2-1, 6.62 ERA
- Tigers starting pitcher: Reese Olson 2-1, 4.50 ERA
Padres vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Padres | +1.5 -150 | O 8.5 -120 | +140 |
| Tigers | -1.5 +125 | U 8.5 +100 | -170 |
Padres vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Tigers will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 56.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Padres Player Prop Bets Today:
- Fernando Tatis Jr. has hit the RBIs Over in 12 of his last 20 games (+11.55 Units / 58% ROI)
- Gavin Sheets has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 7 games (+11.00 Units / 157% ROI)
- Xander Bogaerts has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 20 away games (+10.30 Units / 35% ROI)
- Fernando Tatis Jr. has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+9.60 Units / 39% ROI)
- Fernando Tatis Jr. has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 20 games (+9.20 Units / 30% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Spencer Torkelson has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+12.65 Units / 35% ROI)
- Spencer Torkelson has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+11.90 Units / 28% ROI)
- Andy Ibanez has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games at home (+11.80 Units / 295% ROI)
- Zach McKinstry has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 9 of his last 10 games at home (+8.20 Units / 63% ROI)
- Javier Baez has hit the Singles Over in 8 of his last 9 games at home (+7.75 Units / 85% ROI)
Padres Best Bets Today:
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 24 games (+10.30 Units / 33% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 14 of their last 20 games (+7.50 Units / 32% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 15 of their last 22 games (+7.10 Units / 27% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 13 of their last 21 games (+5.45 Units / 19% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 22 games (+5.35 Units / 18% ROI)
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 16 of their last 24 games (+8.30 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 9 of their last 12 games at home (+7.80 Units / 59% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 21 games (+6.35 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 16 games (+5.80 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 12 games at home (+5.55 Units / 37% ROI)
Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Padres are 15-9 against the Run Line (+5.35 Units / 16.85% ROI).
- 17-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.3 Units / 32.85% ROI
- 10-13 when betting on the total runs Over for -4 Units / -15.38% ROI
- 13-10 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.7 Units / 6.31% ROI
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 15-9 against the Run Line (+5.85 Units / 18.81% ROI).
- 14-10 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.35 Units / 10.39% ROI
- 10-12 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.1 Units / -11.68% ROI
- 12-10 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.3 Units / 4.92% ROI
Tigers vs Padres Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Spencer Torkelson (DET) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -625 |
| Andy Ibanez (DET) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Justyn-Henry Malloy (DET) | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -900 |
| Riley Greene (DET) | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1000 |
Tigers vs Padres Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Xander Bogaerts (SD) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Gleyber Torres (DET) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Andy Ibanez (DET) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Riley Greene (DET) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Gavin Sheets (SD) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
Tigers vs Padres RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Spencer Torkelson (DET) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| Andy Ibanez (DET) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Manny Machado (SD) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -200 |
| Xander Bogaerts (SD) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Tigers vs Padres Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Hart (SD) | 3.5 -125 | 3.5 -105 |
| Reese Olson (DET) | 4.5 +115 | 4.5 -150 |
Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kyle Hart has allowed a slugging percentage of .692 (18 Total Bases / 26 ABs) on low non-fastballs this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: .305 — third Percentile.
Kyle Hart has thrown his slider 50% of the time (33/66) when he’s behind in the count this season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total SL; League Avg: 18% — 96th Percentile.
Kyle Hart has not walked any of the 44 batters that they have faced in his last two starts — tied for best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 8% — 100th Percentile.
Kyle Hart has not walked any of the 44 batters that they have faced over the last 14 days — tied for best among NL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: 8% — 100th Percentile.
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opposing hitters have a chase rate of 35% (123/355) against Reese Olson when he’s behind in the count since the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 138 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 99th Percentile.
Reese Olson has a strike rate of just 55% (106/192) against right-handed batters this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: 65% — first Percentile.
Opposing hitters had a chase rate of 38% (62/163) against Reese Olson when he was behind in the count in the 2024 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.
Reese Olson has a strike rate of just 48% (61/126) when ahead in the count this season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: 60% — second Percentile.
Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Padres are 2-5 (.286) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .114.
The Padres are 12-1 (.923) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .614.
The Padres were 67-6 (.918) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .856.
The Padres are 5-2 (.714) after a loss this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .522.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Padres
The Tigers were 13-55 (.191) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .100.
The Tigers are 14-63 (.182) when trailing entering the 8th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .097.
The Tigers are 7-1 (.875) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .616.
The Tigers are 69-26 (.726) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .625.
Padres Hitting Stats & Trends
Padres hitters have struck out in just 17% of it’s PA’s against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Padres hitters struck out just 799 times in 4,486 PA’s (18%) against RHP in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Padres hitters have struck out in just 17% of it’s PA’s against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Padres hitters have struck out in just 18% of it’s PA’s against RHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters slugged just .377 against RHP in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .413.
Tigers hitters had an OBP of just .300 (741 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .330.
Tigers hitters are slugging just .195 with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .258.
Tigers hitters are slugging just .384 against RHP since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .406.
Padres Pitching Stats & Trends
The Padres pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 88.2 MPH since the 2023 season (8,448 balls in play) — best in MLB; League Avg: 88.9
The Padres pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 25% of their games this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Padres pitchers have an ERA of 1.30 (118.0 IP) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 3.54.
Padres pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 38% of their games since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Tigers pitchers have walked 7% of batters since last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Tigers pitchers have walked 7% of batters since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Tigers pitchers had an ERA of 2.93 (464.0 IP) against division opponents in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.32.
Tigers pitchers walked 416 of 5,969 batters (7%) in the 2024 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
More MLB Reading:
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