Padres vs. Dodgers NLDS Prediction: Game 1 Best Bet for Oct. 5

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Los Angeles Dodgers' Shohei Ohtani, left, heads to first after hitting a solo home run as San Diego Padres pitcher Michael King watches during the first inning of a baseball game Friday, April 12, 2024, in Los Angeles.
AP Photo/Mark J. Terrill
Shane Jackson @Sjacksonmgm Oct 03, 2024, 1:33 PM
  • Get expert MLB playoff betting predictions for the Padres vs. Dodgers NLDS matchup.
  • The Dodgers are -140 favorites to win Saturdayโ€™s Game 1.
  • Los Angeles is -145 to advance to the NLCS.

Baseball fans are in for a treat for this yearโ€™s NLDS matchup between the San Diego Padres and Los Angeles Dodgers.

This NL West rivalry is arguably the best MLB playoff matchup of the round and might be the best one all October. Dodger Stadium and Petco Park crowds will be electric for this five-game series.

The Los Angeles Dodgers, the No. 1 seed in the National League and fresh off a bye, enter as -145 favorites to win the series. The Padres, coming off a 2-0 sweep of the Atlanta Braves, earned a 3-1 win over the Dodgers when these two teams met in the 2022 NLDS.

Here is a look at the latest MLB postseason odds for Padres vs. Dodgers and my best bet ahead of Saturdayโ€™s Game 1:

MLB Playoff Odds – Padres vs. Dodgers

  • Padres Moneyline: +120
  • Dodgers Moneyline: -140
  • Over/Under: 8 (+100/-140)
  • Series Price: Padres (+120), Dodgers (-145)

Padres vs. Dodgers Schedule, Pitchers, TV Info

GameDate/TimePadres SPDodgers SPTV
Game 1Saturday at 8:38 p.m. ETDylan CeaseJack FlahertyFS1
Game 2Sunday at 8:03 p.m. ETTBDYoshinobu YamamotoFS1
Game 3Tuesday at TBDTBDTBDFS1
Game 4Oct. 9 at TBDTBDTBDFS1
Game 5Oct. 11 at TBDTBDTBDFS1

Padres vs. Dodgers NLDS Prediction, Game 1 Best Bet

Best bet: Padres Moneyline (+120)

Things couldnโ€™t have broken much better for the Padres.

They faced a tired and depleted Atlanta Braves team in the Wild Card series, making quick work of them in a 2-0 sweep. It meant San Diego got to save Dylan Cease for the start in Saturdayโ€™s Game 1 against the Dodgers.

The Padres traded for Cease right before the start of the season for this very moment. Cease went 14-11 with a 3.47 ERA in 33 starts this year. He held the Dodgers to four runs on eight hits in his two starts against them.

Iโ€™ve been high on the Padres since before the season, so itโ€™s no surprise that I see value in backing Cease in Game 1.

If the Padres pull off the upset, that could create an opportunity to bet the Dodgersโ€™ series price after the opener, particularly if San Diego starter Joe Musgroveโ€™s elbow tightness prevents him from pitching in this round.

Padres vs. Dodgers: Betting Stats

  • San Diego Padres 2024 Moneyline Record: 95-69
  • San Diego Padres 2024 Over/Under Record: 83-76
  • Los Angeles Dodgers 2024 Moneyline Record: 98-64
  • Los Angeles Dodgers 2024 Over/Under Record: 89-68

Padres vs. Dodgers 2024 Season Series

DateLocationResult
Sept. 26Dodger StadiumDodgers 7, Padres 2
Sept. 25Dodger StadiumDodgers 4, Padres 3
Sept. 24Dodger StadiumPadres 4, Dodgers 2
July 31Petco ParkPadres 8, Dodgers 1
July 30Petco ParkPadres 6, Dodgers 5
May 12Petco ParkPadres 4, Dodgers 0
May 11Petco ParkDodgers 5, Padres 0
May 10Petco ParkPadres 2, Dodgers 1
April 14Dodger StadiumPadres 6, Dodgers 3
April 13Dodger StadiumDodgers 5, Padres 2
April 12Dodger StadiumPadres 8, Dodgers 7
March 21Gocheok Sky DomePadres 15, Dodgers 11
March 20Gocheok Sky DomeDodgers 5, Padres 2

Visit the online sportsbook for game odds and futures odds throughout the playoffs, including Dodgers World Series odds and Padres World Series odds.

New and existing BetMGM users can check updated sports betting promos for a potential welcome offer, sportsbook Odds Boost, and more.

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About the Author

Shane Jackson

Read More @Sjacksonmgm

Shane Jackson is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM, covering MLB and NBA. After graduating from the University of Kansas, his previous stops include MLB.com, Lawrence Journal-World, Manhattan Mercury, Bet Chicago Sports, WynnBET, and Sportsbook Review.

Shane Jackson is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM, covering MLB and NBA. After graduating from the University of Kansas, his previous stops include MLB.com, Lawrence Journal-World, Manhattan Mercury, Bet Chicago Sports, WynnBET, and Sportsbook Review.