Padres vs. Dodgers NLDS Prediction: Game 5 Best Bet for Oct. 11

min read
Los Angeles Dodgers' Shohei Ohtani, left, heads to first after hitting a solo home run as San Diego Padres pitcher Michael King watches during the first inning of a baseball game Friday, April 12, 2024, in Los Angeles.
AP Photo/Mark J. Terrill
Shane Jackson @Sjacksonmgm Oct 11, 2024, 5:51 PM
  • Get expert MLB playoff betting predictions for the Padres vs. Dodgers NLDS matchup.
  • The Dodgers are -140 favorites to win Fridayโ€™s Game 5 against the Padres.

The Los Angeles Dodgers avoided elimination with their 8-0 thumping of the San Diego Padres during Game 4 of the NLDS on Wednesday.

Mookie Betts, Will Smith, and Gavin Lux all hit a home run for Los Angeles. The Dodgers used eight different relievers in a bullpen game.

And now baseball fans get a do-or-die Game 5 on Friday in Los Angeles. Sign me up.

The Dodgers are -140 favorites to advance to the NLCS.

Here is a look at the latest MLB postseason odds for Padres vs. Dodgers and my best bet ahead of Game 5:

MLB Playoff Odds – Padres vs. Dodgers

  • Padres Moneyline: +120
  • Dodgers Moneyline: -140
  • Over/Under: 8 (-105/-115)

Padres vs. Dodgers Schedule, Pitchers, TV Info

GameDate/TimePadres SPDodgers SPTV
Game 5Friday at 8:08 p.m. ETYu DarvishYoshinobu YamamotoFOX

Padres vs. Dodgers NLDS Prediction, Game 5 Best Bet

Best bet: Padres Moneyline (+125)

I havenโ€™t come this far to stop believing in the Padres now.

My favorite preseason World Series bet is one win away from knocking off the championship favorites and having a favorable path to their first World Series.

Fortunately for the Padres, they have Yu Darvish on the bump for Fridayโ€™s showdown.

Darvish held the Dodgers to one run on three hits across seven innings in Game 2. Heโ€™s done a great job of limiting Shohei Ohtani in his career, holding the superstar to one hit and three strikeouts in eight career at-bats.

There are reasons to be concerned about Los Angelesโ€™ chances in the finale, especially compared to its current moneyline value. Freddie Freeman was scratched from the Game 4 lineup with an ankle injury. The Dodgersโ€™ bullpen has also been heavily utilized in this series.

This game feels like a true toss-up, so Iโ€™ll take the +120 price on the Padres to pull off the upset.

Padres vs. Dodgers: Betting Stats

  • San Diego Padres 2024 Moneyline Record: 97-71
  • San Diego Padres 2024 Over/Under Record: 87-76
  • Los Angeles Dodgers 2024 Moneyline Record: 100-66
  • Los Angeles Dodgers 2024 Over/Under Record: 93-68

Padres vs. Dodgers 2024 Season Series

DateLocationResult
Oct. 9Petco ParkDodgers 8, Padres 0
Oct. 8Petco ParkPadres 6, Dodgers 5
Oct. 6Dodger StadiumPadres 10, Dodgers 2
Oct. 5Dodger StadiumDodgers 7, Padres 5
Sept. 26Dodger StadiumDodgers 7, Padres 2
Sept. 25Dodger StadiumDodgers 4, Padres 3
Sept. 24Dodger StadiumPadres 4, Dodgers 2
July 31Petco ParkPadres 8, Dodgers 1
July 30Petco ParkPadres 6, Dodgers 5
May 12Petco ParkPadres 4, Dodgers 0
May 11Petco ParkDodgers 5, Padres 0
May 10Petco ParkPadres 2, Dodgers 1
April 14Dodger StadiumPadres 6, Dodgers 3
April 13Dodger StadiumDodgers 5, Padres 2
April 12Dodger StadiumPadres 8, Dodgers 7
March 21Gocheok Sky DomePadres 15, Dodgers 11
March 20Gocheok Sky DomeDodgers 5, Padres 2

Visit the online sportsbook for game odds and futures odds throughout the playoffs, including Dodgers World Series odds and Padres World Series odds.

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About the Author

Shane Jackson

Read More @Sjacksonmgm

Shane Jackson is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM, covering MLB and NBA. After graduating from the University of Kansas, his previous stops include MLB.com, Lawrence Journal-World, Manhattan Mercury, Bet Chicago Sports, WynnBET, and Sportsbook Review.

Shane Jackson is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM, covering MLB and NBA. After graduating from the University of Kansas, his previous stops include MLB.com, Lawrence Journal-World, Manhattan Mercury, Bet Chicago Sports, WynnBET, and Sportsbook Review.