Phillies vs Angels Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr 29

Los Angeles Angels third baseman Anthony Rendon throws the ball into the crowd in the first inning of a baseball game against the Texas Rangers, Tuesday, June 13, 2023, in Arlington, Texas.
AP Photo/Gareth Patterson
  • The Phillies are -145 favorites vs the Angels
  • Phillies vs Angels Over / Under today: 9 Runs
  • Phillies / Angels TV Channel: NSPA | BSW

The Philadelphia Phillies (-145) visit Angel Stadium of Anaheim to take on the Los Angeles Angels (+120) on Monday, April 29, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 9:38pm EDT in Anaheim, CA.

This season, the Phillies are 19-10 against the spread (ATS), while the Angels are 13-15 ATS.

Phillies vs Angels Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Phillies starting pitcher: Cristopher Sanchez 1-3, 2.59 ERA
  • Angels starting pitcher: Griffin Canning 1-3, 7.51 ERA

Phillies vs. Angels Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Phillies-1.5 +110O 9 -115-145
Angels +1.5 -135U 9 -105+120

Phillies vs Angels Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Monday‘s MLB game with 58.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Alec Bohm has hit the RBIs Over in 15 of his last 25 games (+13.85 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Trea Turner has hit the Singles Over in 21 of his last 28 games (+13.45 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Alec Bohm has hit the Hits Over in 10 of his last 11 games (+12.75 Units / 65% ROI)
  • Nick Castellanos has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 28 games (+12.20 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Bryce Harper has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 17 of his last 25 games (+8.90 Units / 31% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Angels Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Taylor Ward has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 27 games (+16.60 Units / 61% ROI)
  • Nolan Schanuel has hit the Singles Over in his last 10 games (+11.00 Units / 102% ROI)
  • Nolan Schanuel has hit the Hits Over in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 65% ROI)
  • Nolan Schanuel has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 64% ROI)
  • Jo Adell has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 10 of his last 12 games (+8.40 Units / 53% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 73 of their last 118 games (+13.30 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the Run Line in 39 of their last 70 games (+11.85 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Over in 17 of their last 24 away games (+9.10 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 13 games (+7.18 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 14 games (+6.21 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Team Total Under in 37 of their last 59 games (+13.19 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Over in 44 of their last 76 games (+11.05 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 11 games (+8.66 Units / 77% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games (+7.95 Units / 69% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 22 of their last 37 games (+4.97 Units / 11% ROI)

Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 15-14 against the Run Line (+1.1 Units / 3.03% ROI).

  • 19-10 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.4 Units / 11.37% ROI
  • 12-16 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.6 Units / -17.67% ROI
  • 16-12 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.6 Units / 8.1% ROI

Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Angels are 13-15 against the Run Line (-8.6 Units / -20% ROI).

  • 10-18 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.4 Units / -25.3% ROI
  • 15-12 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.45 Units / 4.63% ROI
  • 12-15 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.45 Units / -14.69% ROI

Angels vs Phillies Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Kyle Schwarber (PHI) 0.5 +195 0.5 -250
Bryce Harper (PHI) 0.5 +240 0.5 -300
Trea Turner (PHI) 0.5 +320 0.5 -400
J.T. Realmuto (PHI) 0.5 +340 0.5 -450
Nick Castellanos (PHI) 0.5 +400 0.5 -550

Angels vs Phillies Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Mike Trout (LAA) 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
J.T. Realmuto (PHI) 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Brandon Drury (LAA) 0.5 -250 0.5 +175
Taylor Ward (LAA) 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Zach Neto (LAA) 0.5 -225 0.5 +165

Angels vs Phillies RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Bryce Harper (PHI) 0.5 +110 0.5 -145
Kyle Schwarber (PHI) 0.5 +115 0.5 -150
J.T. Realmuto (PHI) 0.5 +130 0.5 -175
Brandon Drury (LAA) 0.5 +140 0.5 -190
Trea Turner (PHI) 0.5 +140 0.5 -185

Angels vs Phillies Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under

Opponents have a groundball rate of 69% (50/72) against Cristopher Sanchez with runners in scoring position since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 75 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 65% (106/162) against Cristopher Sanchez on non-fastballs since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 75 total IP; League Avg: 46% — 99th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 58% (276/473) against Cristopher Sanchez since the 2022 season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 140 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 98th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 66% (47/71) against Cristopher Sanchez this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.

Angels Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Griffin Canning has allowed a slugging percentage of .825 (33 Total Bases / 40 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: .392 — first Percentile.

Griffin Canning has allowed an OPS of 1.203 (45 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: .701 — first Percentile.

Griffin Canning has a strike rate of 73% (85/117) in two strike counts this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: 64% — 97th Percentile.

Griffin Canning has allowed a slugging percentage of .532 (126 Total Bases / 237 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 75 total IP; League Avg: .419 — third Percentile.

Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Angels

The Phillies are 116-78 (.598) after a win since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .512.

The Phillies are 162-11 (.936) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .906.

The Phillies are 23-12 (.657) after a home loss since the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .510.

The Phillies are 7-73 (.088) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .051.

Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies

The Angels are just 56-28 (.667) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .786.

The Angels are just 96-41 (.701) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .794.

The Angels are just 20-97 (.171) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .269.

The Angels are just 83-107 (.437) since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Phillies hitters have an OBP of .355 (383 PA’s) against LHP this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .317.

Phillies hitters are slugging .446 against LHP since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .414.

The Phillies are batting .253 with two outs since last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .236.

The Phillies are batting .262 against LHP since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .249.

The Angels have won just 33% of games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 78%.

Angels hitters have an OBP of just .275 (1,018 PA’s) against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.

Angels hitters have chased 8% of pitches out of the zone in lefty-lefty matchups this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.

The Angels have scored 1.17 runs per game (413/352) in late innings since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 1.32.

Phillies pitchers have walked 217 of 3,136 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 48% with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Phillies pitchers since the 2022 season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Angels pitchers have walked 304 of 3,122 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Angels pitchers have walked 182 of 1,682 batters (11%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Angels pitchers have walked 1,284 of 13,414 batters (10%) since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Angels pitchers since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Angels vs. Phillies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Michael Stefanic (Los Angeles Angels): Quadriceps, 10-Day IL
  • Sam Bachman (Los Angeles Angels): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
  • Mickey Moniak (Los Angeles Angels): Illness, Day-To-Day
  • Austin Warren (Los Angeles Angels): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Robert Stephenson (Los Angeles Angels): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
  • Aaron Loup (Los Angeles Angels): Shoulder, Out
  • Randal Grichuk (Los Angeles Angels): Ankle, 10-Day IL
  • Kelvin Caceres (Los Angeles Angels): Lat, 60-Day IL
  • Jose Quijada (Los Angeles Angels): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Taijuan Walker (Philadelphia Phillies): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
  • Orion Kerkering (Philadelphia Phillies): Forearm, 15-Day IL
  • Michael Rucker (Philadelphia Phillies): Hand, 15-Day IL
  • Michael Lorenzen (Philadelphia Phillies): Neck, 15-Day IL
  • Erich Uelmen (Philadelphia Phillies): Forearm, Out
  • Weston Wilson (Philadelphia Phillies): Hand, Day-To-Day
  • Dylan Covey (Philadelphia Phillies): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
  • Rafael Marchan (Philadelphia Phillies): Back, 10-Day IL

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Our BetMGM editors and authors are sports experts with a wealth of knowledge of the sports industry at all levels. Their coverage includes sports news, previews and predictions, fun facts, and betting.