- The Phillies are -190 favorites vs the Angels
- Phillies vs Angels Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Phillies / Angels TV Channel: NSPA | BSW
The Philadelphia Phillies (-190) visit Angel Stadium of Anaheim to take on the Los Angeles Angels (+155) on Wednesday, May 1, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 4:07pm EDT in Anaheim, CA.
This season, the Phillies are 20-11 against the spread (ATS), while the Angels are 14-16 ATS.
Phillies vs Angels Starting Pitchers Today:
- Phillies starting pitcher: Zack Wheeler 2-3, 1.93 ERA
- Angels starting pitcher: Patrick Sandoval 1-4, 6.34 ERA
Phillies vs. Angels Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Phillies | -1.5 -110 | O 8 -120 | -190 |
| Angels | +1.5 -110 | U 8 +100 | +155 |
Phillies vs Angels Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 65.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today:
- Alec Bohm has hit the RBIs Over in 17 of his last 27 games (+16.70 Units / 62% ROI)
- Trea Turner has hit the Singles Over in 23 of his last 30 games (+15.45 Units / 44% ROI)
- Alec Bohm has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 13 games (+13.75 Units / 64% ROI)
- Nick Castellanos has hit the Total Bases Under in 20 of his last 30 games (+11.65 Units / 30% ROI)
- Bryce Harper has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 27 games (+10.90 Units / 35% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Angels Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jo Adell has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 9 games at home (+19.90 Units / 221% ROI)
- Nolan Schanuel has hit the Singles Over in 10 of his last 11 games (+9.65 Units / 80% ROI)
- Jo Adell has hit the Total Bases Over in 10 of his last 11 games (+8.90 Units / 66% ROI)
- Jo Adell has hit the Hits Over in 10 of his last 11 games (+8.90 Units / 66% ROI)
- Taylor Ward has hit the RBIs Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+8.90 Units / 32% ROI)
Phillies Best Bets Today:
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 73 of their last 118 games (+13.30 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the Run Line in 39 of their last 70 games (+11.85 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Over in 17 of their last 24 away games (+9.10 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 13 games (+7.18 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 14 games (+6.21 Units / 41% ROI)
Angels Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Team Total Under in 37 of their last 59 games (+13.19 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Over in 44 of their last 76 games (+11.05 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 11 games (+8.66 Units / 77% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games (+7.95 Units / 69% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 22 of their last 37 games (+4.97 Units / 11% ROI)
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 16-15 against the Run Line (+1.1 Units / 2.86% ROI).
- 20-11 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.9 Units / 9.66% ROI
- 14-16 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.6 Units / -10.64% ROI
- 16-14 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.35 Units / 1.02% ROI
Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Angels are 14-16 against the Run Line (-8.7 Units / -19.16% ROI).
- 11-19 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.15 Units / -22.88% ROI
- 17-12 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.45 Units / 10.31% ROI
- 12-17 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.7 Units / -20.58% ROI
Angels vs Phillies Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -350 |
| Miguel Sano (LAA) | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -450 |
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Trea Turner (PHI) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Nick Castellanos (PHI) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -650 |
Angels vs Phillies Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nick Castellanos (PHI) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Whit Merrifield (PHI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| J.T. Realmuto (PHI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Bryson Stott (PHI) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
Angels vs Phillies RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alec Bohm (PHI) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Nick Castellanos (PHI) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| J.T. Realmuto (PHI) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
Angels vs Phillies Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .049 (2-for-41) against Zack Wheeler over the last 14 days — best among NL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: .219 — 100th Percentile.
Zack Wheeler has struck out 37% (28/75) of right-handed batters he faced this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .048 (4-for-84) against Zack Wheeler with two-strikes this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .162 — 100th Percentile.
Zack Wheeler has thrown inside pitches 42% of the time (397/937) on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 30% — 100th Percentile.
Angels Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Patrick Sandoval has allowed an OBP of .395 (299 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 76 total IP; League Avg: .312 — second Percentile.
Patrick Sandoval has walked 130 of 1,164 right-handed batters (11%) since the 2022 season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 140 total IP; League Avg: 7% — second Percentile.
Patrick Sandoval has walked 6 of 29 batters (21%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 11 total IP; League Avg: 7% — first Percentile.
Patrick Sandoval has allowed a slugging percentage of .677 (21 Total Bases / 31 ABs) versus the bottom of the order this season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 11 total IP; League Avg: .345 — fourth Percentile.
Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Angels
The Phillies are 52-37 (.584) after a road win since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .491.
The Phillies are 21-21 (.500) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .413.
The Phillies are 30-123 (.196) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .133.
The Phillies are 12-9 (.571) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .424.
Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies
The Angels are just 57-29 (.663) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .785.
The Angels are just 137-13 (.913) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .950.
The Angels are just 97-42 (.698) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .794.
The Angels are just 72-9 (.889) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .947.
Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends
Phillies hitters are slugging .501 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .448.
Phillies hitters have an OPS of .742 (9,416 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .716.
Phillies hitters are slugging .240 on pitches out of the zone since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .213.
Phillies hitters are slugging .425 against RHP since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .402.
Angels Hitting Stats & Trends
Angels hitters have an OBP of just .275 (1,022 PA’s) against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.
The Angels have won just 30% of games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 78%.
Angels hitters have 2,506 strikeouts in 9,695 PA’s (26%) against RHP since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Angels hitters have an OPS of just .639 (1,022 PA’s) against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .741.
Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends
Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .128 against Phillies pitchers with the shift this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .238.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Phillies pitchers this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Angels Pitching Stats & Trends
Angels pitchers have walked 183 of 1,700 batters (11%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Angels pitchers have walked 305 of 3,140 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Angels pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 40% with two-strikes this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Angels pitchers have an ERA of 6.14 (126.0 IP) at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.02.
Angels vs. Phillies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Michael Stefanic (Los Angeles Angels): Quadriceps, 10-Day IL
- Sam Bachman (Los Angeles Angels): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Mickey Moniak (Los Angeles Angels): Illness, Day-To-Day
- Austin Warren (Los Angeles Angels): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Robert Stephenson (Los Angeles Angels): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Aaron Loup (Los Angeles Angels): Shoulder, Out
- Randal Grichuk (Los Angeles Angels): Ankle, 10-Day IL
- Kelvin Caceres (Los Angeles Angels): Lat, 60-Day IL
- Jose Quijada (Los Angeles Angels): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Taijuan Walker (Philadelphia Phillies): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Orion Kerkering (Philadelphia Phillies): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Michael Rucker (Philadelphia Phillies): Hand, 15-Day IL
- Michael Lorenzen (Philadelphia Phillies): Neck, 15-Day IL
- Erich Uelmen (Philadelphia Phillies): Forearm, Out
- Weston Wilson (Philadelphia Phillies): Hand, Day-To-Day
- Dylan Covey (Philadelphia Phillies): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Rafael Marchan (Philadelphia Phillies): Back, 10-Day IL
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