- The Phillies are -145 favorites vs the Blue Jays
- Phillies vs Blue Jays Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Phillies / Blue Jays TV Channel: NSPA | RSN | RSN1 | TVA
The Philadelphia Phillies (-145) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (+118) on Tuesday, June 3, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 7:07pm EDT in Toronto, ON.
This season, the Phillies are 36-23 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 36-23 ATS.
Phillies vs Blue Jays Starting Pitchers Today:
- Phillies starting pitcher: Cristopher Sanchez 4-1, 3.30 ERA
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Bowden Francis 2-6, 5.14 ERA
Phillies vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Phillies | -1.5 +110 | O 8.5 +100 | -145 |
| Blue Jays | +1.5 -135 | U 8.5 -120 | +118 |
Phillies vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 59.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today:
- Trea Turner has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 15 away games (+12.10 Units / 56% ROI)
- Trea Turner has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 5 away games (+11.40 Units / 228% ROI)
- Trea Turner has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 15 away games (+10.30 Units / 60% ROI)
- Trea Turner has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 12 of his last 15 away games (+8.60 Units / 45% ROI)
- Kyle Schwarber has hit the Walks Over in 18 of his last 25 away games (+8.00 Units / 23% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Addison Barger has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 4 games (+15.90 Units / 397% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Runs Over in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+13.90 Units / 50% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+10.90 Units / 32% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Walks Over in 15 of his last 25 games (+10.10 Units / 40% ROI)
- Bo Bichette has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 20 games (+9.70 Units / 48% ROI)
Phillies Best Bets Today:
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 15 away games (+9.95 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 36 of their last 59 games (+8.64 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 24 away games (+8.40 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 15 away games (+7.50 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 23 of their last 41 games (+7.35 Units / 10% ROI)
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 21 of their last 31 games at home (+11.70 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Over in 20 of their last 31 games at home (+8.20 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 32 games (+7.70 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 20 of their last 32 games at home (+7.15 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 29 games at home (+7.15 Units / 18% ROI)
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 30-29 against the Run Line (-2 Units / -2.69% ROI).
- 36-23 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.25 Units / 4.32% ROI
- 26-32 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.1 Units / -13.99% ROI
- 32-26 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.65 Units / 5.64% ROI
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 36-23 against the Run Line (+10.25 Units / 12.51% ROI).
- 31-28 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.54 Units / 3.59% ROI
- 29-29 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.55 Units / -3.95% ROI
- 29-29 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.75 Units / -4.21% ROI
Blue Jays vs Phillies Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -325 |
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -400 |
| J.T. Realmuto (PHI) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Nick Castellanos (PHI) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Max Kepler (PHI) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
Blue Jays vs Phillies Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Ernie Clement (TOR) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
| Alejandro Kirk (TOR) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Bryson Stott (PHI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
Blue Jays vs Phillies RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -155 |
| Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Alejandro Kirk (TOR) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Alec Bohm (PHI) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Trea Turner (PHI) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -220 |
Blue Jays vs Phillies Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cristopher Sanchez (PHI) | 4.5 -150 | 4.5 +115 |
| Bowden Francis (TOR) | 4.5 -105 | 4.5 -125 |
Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball rate of 61% (136/221) against Cristopher Sanchez in two-strike counts in the 2024 season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 98th Percentile.
Cristopher Sanchez has a strikeout rate of 55% with two strikes this season — second highest among qualified SPs– 98th Percentile. He had a strikeout rate of just 38% with two strikes last season — sixth lowest among qualified SPs– 11th Percentile.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 58% (324/557) against Cristopher Sanchez in the 2024 season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 96th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 60% (159/265) against Cristopher Sanchez in two-strike counts since last season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 97th Percentile.
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Bowden Francis has allowed a slugging percentage of .654 (53 Total Bases / 81 ABs) on non-fastballs this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 23 total IP; League Avg: .362 — 0 Percentile.
Bowden Francis has allowed a slugging percentage of .630 (34 Total Bases / 54 ABs) on low non-fastballs this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 23 total IP; League Avg: .307 — first Percentile.
Bowden Francis has allowed a slugging percentage of .617 (74 Total Bases / 120 ABs) vs left-handed batters this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 23 total IP; League Avg: .412 — second Percentile.
Bowden Francis has allowed 11 home runs at home this season — most among pitchers in MLB — 100th Percentile.
Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Phillies are 8-14 (.364) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .133.
The Phillies are 14-138 (.092) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .049.
The Phillies are 33-119 (.217) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .140.
The Phillies were 54-27 (.667) at home in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .521.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies
The Blue Jays are just 23-3 (.885) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .959.
The Blue Jays were just 17-75 (.185) when they scored 4 or fewer runs in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .276.
The Blue Jays are just 88-9 (.907) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .951.
The Blue Jays were just 4-74 (.051) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .100.
Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends
Games involving the Phillies have gone OVER in 83% of their games (71.8% ROI) when underdogs in the 2024 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
The Phillies batted .307 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2024 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .263.
The Phillies are batting .403 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .340.
Phillies hitters had an OPS of .783 (1,915 PA’s) against LHP in the 2024 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .711.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
The Blue Jays are batting just .268 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .340.
29% of Blue Jays hitters strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Blue Jays hitters have struck out in just 14% of it’s PA’s over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Blue Jays hitters have put 42% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends
The Phillies pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 32% of their games at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 55%.
Phillies pitchers walked 444 of 6,050 batters (7%) in the 2024 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 46% against Phillies pitchers in the 2024 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Phillies pitchers had a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes in 2023 — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 27% with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Blue Jays pitchers this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Blue Jays pitchers since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Blue Jays pitchers this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
More MLB Reading:
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