- The Phillies are -102 favorites vs the Braves
- Phillies vs Braves Over / Under today: 7 Runs
- Phillies / Braves TV Channel: TBS | Max | FDSO | FDSE
The Philadelphia Phillies (-102) visit Truist Park to take on the Atlanta Braves (-118) on Tuesday, April 8, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15pm EDT in Atlanta, GA.
This season, the Phillies are 7-2 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 3-6 ATS.
Phillies vs Braves Starting Pitchers Today:
- Phillies starting pitcher: Zack Wheeler 1-0, 1.39 ERA
- Braves starting pitcher: Chris Sale 0-1, 5.41 ERA
Phillies vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Phillies | -1.5 +170 | O 7 -115 | -102 |
| Braves | +1.5 -210 | U 7 -105 | -118 |
Phillies vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 52.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today:
- Nick Castellanos has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 6 games (+8.20 Units / 137% ROI)
- Kyle Schwarber has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 20 away games (+8.05 Units / 40% ROI)
- Zack Wheeler has hit the Hits Allowed Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+7.55 Units / 73% ROI)
- Alec Bohm has hit the Runs Under in 9 of his last 10 away games (+7.50 Units / 48% ROI)
- Alec Bohm has hit the Hits Under in his last 6 games (+7.30 Units / 65% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Austin Riley has hit the Runs Under in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 64% ROI)
- Chris Sale has hit the Pitching Outs Under in 11 of his last 15 games (+6.95 Units / 35% ROI)
- Austin Riley has hit the Hits Under in 5 of his last 7 games (+6.55 Units / 94% ROI)
- Austin Riley has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+5.15 Units / 62% ROI)
- Chris Sale has hit the Walks Allowed Under in 6 of his last 8 games (+4.70 Units / 52% ROI)
Phillies Best Bets Today:
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Under in 63 of their last 107 games (+13.15 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Over in 41 of their last 71 away games (+9.90 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 78 of their last 151 games (+2.43 Units / 1% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 3 of their last 5 games (+0.90 Units / 15% ROI)
Braves Best Bets Today:
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 95 of their last 150 games (+39.90 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 24 of their last 42 games (+5.10 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 47 games (+1.15 Units / 1% ROI)
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 7-2 against the Run Line (+4.55 Units / 38.72% ROI).
- 7-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.75 Units / 29.87% ROI
- 3-6 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.55 Units / -35.32% ROI
- 6-3 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.9 Units / 29.74% ROI
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Braves are 3-6 against the Run Line (-5.05 Units / -41.91% ROI).
- 1-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.2 Units / -73.02% ROI
- 3-5 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.4 Units / -24% ROI
- 5-3 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.7 Units / 17.26% ROI
Braves vs Phillies Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -750 |
| Trea Turner (PHI) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Nick Castellanos (PHI) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
Braves vs Phillies Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alec Bohm (PHI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Trea Turner (PHI) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Michael Harris (ATL) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Nick Castellanos (PHI) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Ozzie Albies (ATL) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
Braves vs Phillies RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alec Bohm (PHI) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -235 |
| Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Nick Castellanos (PHI) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Trea Turner (PHI) | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
Braves vs Phillies Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Chris Sale (ATL) | 6.5 -155 | 6.5 +120 |
| Zack Wheeler (PHI) | 7.5 +115 | 7.5 -155 |
Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed batters batted just .161 (56-for-348) against Zack Wheeler in the 2024 season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .234 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .111 (49-for-441) against Zack Wheeler with two-strikes since last season — tied for best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .160 — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting just .158 (58-for-366) against Zack Wheeler since last season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .232 — 100th Percentile.
Zack Wheeler allowed an OBP of just .201 (368 PA’s) against right-handed batters in the 2024 season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .289 — 100th Percentile.
Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
36 of Chris Sale’s breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor since last season — most among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: nan — 100th Percentile.
32 of Chris Sale’s breaking pitch strikeouts were backdoor in the 2024 season — most among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: nan — 100th Percentile.
Chris Sale had a strikeout rate of 33% (87/261) when going through the lineup the second time in a game in the 2024 season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Chris Sale has a strikeout rate of 32% (237 SO in 745 PAs) since last season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.
Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Braves
The Phillies were 54-27 (.667) at home in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .521.
The Phillies are 165-40 (.805) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .727.
The Phillies were 83-15 (.847) when they allowed 4 or fewer runs in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .723.
The Phillies are 12-122 (.090) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .050.
Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies
The Braves are 65-55 (.542) vs top 10 scoring offenses since last season They play the Phillies (fifth best runs scored) today.
The Braves are 156-11 (.934) when leading entering the 8th inning since last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .901.
The Braves are 19-115 (.142) when trailing entering the 8th inning since last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .099.
The Braves are 19-13 (.594) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends
Phillies hitters have an OPS of 1.109 (113 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .670.
Phillies hitters have an OBP of .384 (216 PA’s) against RHP this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .316.
Phillies hitters have drawn 32 walks in 216 PA’s (15%) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Phillies hitters have just 33 strikeouts in 216 PA’s (15%) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Braves Hitting Stats & Trends
Braves hitters had an OPS of .870 (1,425 PA’s) against LHP in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .742.
The Braves are batting just .031 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .144.
Braves hitters had an OBP of .400 (732 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .330.
The Braves batted .288 against LHP in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .254.
Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends
Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 31% this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 54% with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 36% with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 46% against Phillies pitchers in the 2024 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Braves Pitching Stats & Trends
Braves pitchers had a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents had a miss rate of 28% against Braves pitchers in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Braves pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Braves pitchers since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
More MLB Reading:
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