- The Braves are -135 favorites vs the Phillies
- Phillies vs Braves Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Phillies / Braves TV Channel: FDSO | FDSE | NSP+ | MLBN
The Philadelphia Phillies (+118) visit Truist Park to take on the Atlanta Braves (-140) on Wednesday, April 9, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15pm EDT in Atlanta, GA.
This season, the Phillies are 7-3 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 4-6 ATS.
Phillies vs Braves Starting Pitchers Today:
- Phillies starting pitcher: Taijuan Walker 1-0, 0.00 ERA
- Braves starting pitcher: Grant Holmes 0-1, 7.21 ERA
Phillies vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Phillies | +1.5 -190 | O 8.5 +100 | +118 |
| Braves | -1.5 +155 | U 8.5 -120 | -140 |
Phillies vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 53.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today:
- Kyle Schwarber has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 10 games (+11.10 Units / 111% ROI)
- Kyle Schwarber has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 25 away games (+10.70 Units / 43% ROI)
- Kyle Schwarber has hit the RBIs Over in 13 of his last 25 away games (+9.20 Units / 37% ROI)
- Bryson Stott has hit the Total Bases Under in 8 of his last 9 away games (+8.85 Units / 85% ROI)
- Kyle Schwarber has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 25 away games (+8.70 Units / 20% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Matt Olson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+6.15 Units / 45% ROI)
- Austin Riley has hit the Hits Under in 5 of his last 8 games (+5.55 Units / 69% ROI)
- Austin Riley has hit the Singles Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+4.95 Units / 35% ROI)
- Austin Riley has hit the Runs Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+4.75 Units / 36% ROI)
- Bryan De La Cruz has hit the Home Runs Over in 1 of his last 4 games at home (+3.90 Units / 98% ROI)
Phillies Best Bets Today:
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Under in 63 of their last 107 games (+13.15 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Over in 41 of their last 71 away games (+9.90 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 78 of their last 151 games (+2.43 Units / 1% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 3 of their last 5 games (+0.90 Units / 15% ROI)
Braves Best Bets Today:
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 95 of their last 150 games (+39.90 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 24 of their last 42 games (+5.10 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 47 games (+1.15 Units / 1% ROI)
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 7-3 against the Run Line (+2.35 Units / 16.85% ROI).
- 7-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.7 Units / 21.83% ROI
- 4-6 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.55 Units / -23.08% ROI
- 6-4 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.7 Units / 15.53% ROI
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Braves are 4-6 against the Run Line (-3.2 Units / -24.52% ROI).
- 2-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.2 Units / -59.64% ROI
- 4-5 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.4 Units / -12.73% ROI
- 5-4 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.5 Units / 4.52% ROI
Braves vs Phillies Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -450 |
| Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -525 |
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -525 |
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -625 |
Braves vs Phillies Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ozzie Albies (ATL) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Trea Turner (PHI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Alec Bohm (PHI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +160 |
Braves vs Phillies RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -220 |
| Alec Bohm (PHI) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
Braves vs Phillies Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Grant Holmes (ATL) | 4.5 -155 | 4.5 +115 |
Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Taijuan Walker has allowed an OPS of 1.104 (152 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 68 total IP; League Avg: .709 — 0 Percentile.
Right-handed hitters had a miss rate of just 17% (107/611) against Taijuan Walker in 2023 — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% — second Percentile.
Taijuan Walker had a strike rate of just 61% (1,722/2,837) in 2023 — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — fourth Percentile.
Taijuan Walker has allowed an OPS of .947 (403 PA’s) since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 68 total IP; League Avg: .710 — first Percentile.
Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball batting average of .706 (12 GB hits out of 17 GBs) against Grant Holmes with runners in scoring position in the 2024 season — highest among NL Relievers; League Avg: .258 — first Percentile.
Right-handed hitters had a miss rate of 35% (112/316) against Grant Holmes in the 2024 season — tied for 8th best among NL Relievers; League Avg: 27% — 92nd Percentile.
Opponents had a chase percentage of 32% (117/363) against Grant Holmes in non-two strike counts in the 2024 season — 2nd highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 24% — 98th Percentile.
Grant Holmes has thrown breaking pitches 54% of the time (602/1,122) since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 68 total IP; League Avg: 29% — 99th Percentile.
Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Braves
The Phillies are 30-23 (.566) vs top 10 scoring offenses since last season They play the Braves (15th best runs scored) today.
The Phillies are 44-25 (.638) after a loss since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .501.
The Phillies are 12-123 (.089) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Phillies are 55-9 (.859) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .751.
Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies
The Braves are just 2-8 (.200) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .532.
The Braves are just 0-7 (.000) on the road this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .385.
The Braves were 24-16 (.600) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams in the 2024 season They play the Phillies (12th best runs allowed) today.
The Braves are 95-74 (.562) on the road since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .475.
Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends
Phillies hitters have an OPS of 1.025 (124 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .671.
Phillies hitters have an OBP of .342 (2,066 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .313.
Phillies hitters have chased 20% of pitches out of the zone against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Phillies hitters had an OBP of .342 (1,915 PA’s) against LHP in the 2024 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Braves Hitting Stats & Trends
Braves hitters had an OPS of .845 (6,249 PA’s) in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .734.
Braves hitters slugged .521 against LHP in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .419.
The Braves batted .326 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .267.
Braves hitters slugged .509 at home in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .422.
Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball rate of 46% against Phillies pitchers in the 2024 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .400 against Phillies pitchers with the shift this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .237.
Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 51% with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 33% with runners in scoring position this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Braves Pitching Stats & Trends
Braves pitchers had a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Braves pitchers since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Braves pitchers won 46% of games in which they allowed their opponent to score in three different innings in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Opponents had a miss rate of 28% against Braves pitchers in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
More MLB Reading:
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