- The Phillies are -150 favorites vs the Cardinals
- Phillies vs Cardinals Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Phillies / Cardinals TV Channel: NSPA | BSMW | MLBN
The Philadelphia Phillies (-150) visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (+125) on Wednesday, April 10, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 1:15pm EDT in St. Louis, MO.
This season, the Phillies are 5-6 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 8-4 ATS.
Phillies vs Cardinals Starting Pitchers Today:
- Phillies starting pitcher: Aaron Nola 1-1, 5.79 ERA
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Lance Lynn 0-0, 4.16 ERA
Phillies vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Phillies | -1.5 +110 | O 7.5 -105 | -150 |
| Cardinals | +1.5 -130 | U 7.5 -115 | +125 |
Phillies vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 58.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today:
- Bryce Harper has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 25 away games (+12.55 Units / 33% ROI)
- Bryce Harper has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 24 away games (+10.70 Units / 38% ROI)
- Nick Castellanos has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 25 away games (+10.00 Units / 33% ROI)
- Zack Wheeler has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 10 of his last 11 away games (+9.80 Units / 70% ROI)
- Bryce Harper has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+9.00 Units / 51% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 11 games (+12.05 Units / 68% ROI)
- Victor Scott II has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 12 games (+9.60 Units / 77% ROI)
- Victor Scott II has hit the Total Bases Under in 10 of his last 12 games (+9.45 Units / 76% ROI)
- Victor Scott II has hit the Singles Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+9.40 Units / 50% ROI)
- Kyle Gibson has hit the Earned Runs Over in 10 of his last 12 games at home (+8.40 Units / 63% ROI)
Phillies Best Bets Today:
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 73 of their last 118 games (+13.30 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the Run Line in 39 of their last 70 games (+11.85 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Over in 17 of their last 24 away games (+9.10 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 13 games (+7.18 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 14 games (+6.21 Units / 41% ROI)
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 32 of their last 58 games (+5.80 Units / 9% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 26 games (+5.50 Units / 21% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.82 Units / 37% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 49 of their last 92 games (+1.55 Units / 1% ROI)
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 5-6 against the Run Line (-1.55 Units / -11.07% ROI).
- 5-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -3 Units / -19.17% ROI
- 5-6 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.6 Units / -13.17% ROI
- 6-5 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.55 Units / 4.56% ROI
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 8-4 against the Run Line (+4.9 Units / 32.78% ROI).
- 6-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.15 Units / 8.61% ROI
- 4-6 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.25 Units / -17.37% ROI
- 6-4 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.8 Units / 13.38% ROI
Cardinals vs Phillies Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Schwarber | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -400 |
| Turner | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -450 |
| T. Realmuto | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Castellanos | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Harper | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
Cardinals vs Phillies Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Turner | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Bohm | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Donovan | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Harper | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
| Stott | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Cardinals vs Phillies RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| T. Realmuto | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Turner | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Schwarber | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -225 |
| Arenado | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Harper | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
Cardinals vs Phillies Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nola | 5.5 -120 | 5.5 -110 |
| Lynn | 6.5 +115 | 6.5 -150 |
Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of just 11% (3/28) against Aaron Nola this season — lowest among in MLB; League Avg: 24% — first Percentile.
Aaron Nola has thrown his curveball 33% of the time (15/46) when he’s behind in the count this season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: 11% — 100th Percentile.
Aaron Nola has allowed an OPS of 1.330 (25 PA’s) vs left-handed batters this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .672 — third Percentile.
Aaron Nola has allowed a slugging percentage of .810 (17 Total Bases / 21 ABs) vs left-handed batters this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .365 — second Percentile.
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Lance Lynn had an ERA of 5.64 (183.2 IP)in the 2023 season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 3.84 — fourth Percentile.
Lance Lynn has allowed an OPS of 1.676 (15 PA’s) versus the 2-3-4 hitters this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 3 total IP; League Avg: .750 — second Percentile.
Lance Lynn allowed an OBP of .328 (807 PA’s) in the 2023 season — 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .299 — 11th Percentile.
Lance Lynn has allowed 16 home runs with two-strikes since last season — most among pitchers in MLB — 100th Percentile.
Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Phillies are just 13-20 (.394) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .498.
The Phillies are 74-7 (.914) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .857.
The Phillies are 20-21 (.488) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .415.
The Phillies are 19-123 (.134) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .093.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies
The Cardinals are 27-10 (.730) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .498.
The Cardinals were just 15-22 (.405) after a road win in 2023 — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .494.
The Cardinals are just 21-29 (.420) after a home loss since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .509.
The Cardinals are 11-6 (.647) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .496.
Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends
Phillies hitters have an OBP of .333 (3,780 PA’s) against LHP since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .319.
Phillies hitters have 510 strikeouts in 2,031 PA’s (25%) against LHP since last season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Phillies hitters have 1 extra-base hit out of 9 total hits (just 11%) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 34%.
Phillies hitters are slugging .441 against LHP since the 2022 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .408.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Cardinals are batting just .175 against LHP this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .245.
The Cardinals are batting just .241 against LHP since last season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .254.
Cardinals hitters are slugging just .367 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .539.
The Cardinals batted .166 on pitches out of the zone in the 2023 season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .151.
Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 51% against Phillies pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .091 against Phillies pitchers with the shift this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .241.
Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 44% with two-strikes since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Phillies pitchers had a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes in the 2023 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Cardinals pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes in the 2023 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Cardinals vs. Phillies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Dylan Carlson (St. Louis Cardinals): Shoulder, 10-Day IL
- Keynan Middleton (St. Louis Cardinals): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Lars Nootbaar (St. Louis Cardinals): Ribs, 10-Day IL
- Drew Rom (St. Louis Cardinals): Biceps, 15-Day IL
- Sonny Gray (St. Louis Cardinals): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Riley O’Brien (St. Louis Cardinals): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Tommy Edman (St. Louis Cardinals): Wrist, 10-Day IL
- Packy Naughton (St. Louis Cardinals): Elbow, Out
- Taijuan Walker (Philadelphia Phillies): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Orion Kerkering (Philadelphia Phillies): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Michael Rucker (Philadelphia Phillies): Hand, 15-Day IL
- Michael Lorenzen (Philadelphia Phillies): Neck, 15-Day IL
- Erich Uelmen (Philadelphia Phillies): Forearm, Out
- Weston Wilson (Philadelphia Phillies): Hand, Day-To-Day
- Dylan Covey (Philadelphia Phillies): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Rafael Marchan (Philadelphia Phillies): Back, 10-Day IL
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