- The Phillies are -185 favorites vs the Cardinals
- Phillies vs Cardinals Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Phillies / Cardinals TV Channel: FDMW | WCAU
The Philadelphia Phillies (-190) visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (+160) on Sunday, April 13, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 2:15pm EDT in St. Louis, MO.
This season, the Phillies are 9-5 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 7-7 ATS.
Phillies vs Cardinals Starting Pitchers Today:
- Phillies starting pitcher: Zack Wheeler 1-0, 3.44 ERA
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Matthew Liberatore 0-1, 5.84 ERA
Phillies vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Phillies | -1.5 -115 | O 8 -110 | -190 |
| Cardinals | +1.5 -105 | U 8 -110 | +160 |
Phillies vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 61.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today:
- Kyle Schwarber has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 8 away games (+10.75 Units / 134% ROI)
- Alec Bohm has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 15 away games (+10.60 Units / 45% ROI)
- Kyle Schwarber has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 25 away games (+10.60 Units / 42% ROI)
- J.T. Realmuto has hit the Runs Under in his last 10 away games (+10.00 Units / 55% ROI)
- Alec Bohm has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+9.40 Units / 66% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Brendan Donovan has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 100% ROI)
- Brendan Donovan has hit the Hits Over in his last 7 games (+7.95 Units / 55% ROI)
- Nolan Arenado has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 6 games (+7.55 Units / 106% ROI)
- Brendan Donovan has hit the Singles Over in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 80% ROI)
- Nolan Arenado has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 6 games (+6.20 Units / 79% ROI)
Phillies Best Bets Today:
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Over in 46 of their last 85 away games (+6.20 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 98 of their last 166 games (+1.75 Units / 1% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 44 of their last 84 away games (+1.00 Units / 1% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 84 of their last 166 games (+0.98 Units / 0% ROI)
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 42 of their last 83 games at home (+3.40 Units / 3% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.05 Units / 51% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 8 games at home (+1.85 Units / 19% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 8 games at home (+1.50 Units / 15% ROI)
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 9-5 against the Run Line (+1.6 Units / 8.25% ROI).
- 9-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.8 Units / 17.31% ROI
- 4-10 when betting on the total runs Over for -7 Units / -45.16% ROI
- 10-4 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.7 Units / 37.25% ROI
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 7-7 against the Run Line (-1.4 Units / -6.76% ROI).
- 6-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.1 Units / -19.25% ROI
- 9-4 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.55 Units / 29.74% ROI
- 4-9 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.05 Units / -39.03% ROI
Cardinals vs Phillies Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -525 |
| Trea Turner (PHI) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -625 |
| Nick Castellanos (PHI) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -625 |
| Alec Bohm (PHI) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
Cardinals vs Phillies Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| J.T. Realmuto (PHI) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Alec Burleson (STL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Brendan Donovan (STL) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Edmundo Sosa (PHI) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Cardinals vs Phillies RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nick Castellanos (PHI) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
| Alec Bohm (PHI) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Trea Turner (PHI) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Cardinals vs Phillies Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Matthew Liberatore (STL) | 4.5 -105 | 4.5 -120 |
| Zack Wheeler (PHI) | 6.5 +100 | 6.5 -135 |
Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed batters batted just .161 (56-for-348) against Zack Wheeler in the 2024 season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .234 — 100th Percentile.
Opposing hitters have a chase rate of 60% (12/20) against Zack Wheeler when he’s behind in the count this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.
Zack Wheeler allowed an OBP of just .201 (368 PA’s) against right-handed batters in the 2024 season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .289 — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 17% (43/257) against Zack Wheeler since last season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
11 of Matthew Liberatore’s breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor since last season — tied for 3rd most among NL Relievers; League Avg: nan — 97th Percentile.
Matthew Liberatore has walked 4 of 146 left-handed batters (3%) since last season — 6th best among NL Relievers; League Avg: 10% — 94th Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting .277 (64-for-231) against Matthew Liberatore since last season — 10th highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .230 — 10th Percentile.
Matthew Liberatore has allowed a slugging percentage of .481 (111 Total Bases / 231 ABs) against right-handed batters since last season — 5th highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .361 — fifth Percentile.
Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Phillies are 3-3 (.500) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .133.
The Phillies are 12-124 (.088) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Phillies were 83-15 (.847) when they allowed 4 or fewer runs in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .723.
The Phillies are 55-9 (.859) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .752.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies
The Cardinals are 69-4 (.945) when leading entering the 8th inning since last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .900.
The Cardinals are just 10-146 (.064) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .099.
The Cardinals are 75-2 (.974) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .950.
The Cardinals are 18-11 (.621) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .498.
Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Phillies batted .307 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2024 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .263.
The Phillies are batting .256 with two outs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .234.
Phillies hitters have chased 23% of pitches out of the zone against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Phillies hitters have an OBP of .296 (284 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .244.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Cardinals are batting .230 on pitches out of the zone this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .146.
Cardinals hitters are slugging .295 on pitches out of the zone this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .198.
Cardinals hitters have just 388 strikeouts in 1,921 PA’s (20%) against LHP since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Cardinals hitters have an OBP of .376 (166 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .306.
Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends
The Phillies have won 56% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
The Phillies won 55% of home games in which their opponents scored first last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Phillies pitchers since the 2023 season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents had a groundball batting average of just .238 against Phillies pitchers with runners on base in the 2024 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .262.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
The Cardinals have allowed 8.17 runs per game (49/6) on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.63.
Opponents had a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers in 2023 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Cardinals pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 19% in 2023 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Cardinals pitchers have an ERA of 7.08 (54.2 IP) on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.42.
More MLB Reading:
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