- The Phillies are -105 favorites vs the Cardinals
- Phillies vs Cardinals Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Phillies / Cardinals TV Channel: NSPA | BSMW
The Philadelphia Phillies (-105) visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (-115) on Monday, April 8, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:45pm EDT in St. Louis, MO.
This season, the Phillies are 4-5 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 7-3 ATS.
Phillies vs Cardinals Starting Pitchers Today:
- Phillies starting pitcher: Spencer Turnbull 1-0, 0.00 ERA
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Miles Mikolas 1-1, 6.31 ERA
Phillies vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Phillies | -1.5 +155 | O 9 -120 | -105 |
| Cardinals | +1.5 -190 | U 9 +100 | -115 |
Phillies vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Monday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today:
- Nick Castellanos has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 25 away games (+10.35 Units / 34% ROI)
- Bryce Harper has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 23 away games (+9.80 Units / 29% ROI)
- Nick Castellanos has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 23 away games (+9.05 Units / 27% ROI)
- Ranger Suarez has hit the Strikeouts Over in 16 of his last 23 games (+8.80 Units / 32% ROI)
- Bryce Harper has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 22 away games (+8.70 Units / 33% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 9 games (+9.85 Units / 67% ROI)
- Kyle Gibson has hit the Earned Runs Over in 10 of his last 12 games at home (+8.40 Units / 63% ROI)
- Victor Scott II has hit the Singles Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.40 Units / 47% ROI)
- Victor Scott II has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+7.25 Units / 70% ROI)
- Victor Scott II has hit the Total Bases Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+7.05 Units / 68% ROI)
Phillies Best Bets Today:
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 73 of their last 118 games (+13.30 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the Run Line in 39 of their last 70 games (+11.85 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Over in 17 of their last 24 away games (+9.10 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 13 games (+7.18 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 14 games (+6.21 Units / 41% ROI)
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 32 of their last 58 games (+5.80 Units / 9% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 26 games (+5.50 Units / 21% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.82 Units / 37% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 49 of their last 92 games (+1.55 Units / 1% ROI)
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 4-5 against the Run Line (-1.55 Units / -14.22% ROI).
- 4-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.6 Units / -19.77% ROI
- 5-4 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.55 Units / 5.5% ROI
- 4-5 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.45 Units / -14.8% ROI
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 7-3 against the Run Line (+4.9 Units / 39.36% ROI).
- 5-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.05 Units / 9.33% ROI
- 4-4 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.1 Units / -0.93% ROI
- 4-4 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.2 Units / -1.79% ROI
Cardinals vs Phillies Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Harper | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -350 |
| T. Realmuto | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Castellanos | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Marsh | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
| Rojas | 0.5 +1350 | 0.5 -5000 |
Cardinals vs Phillies Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Mikolas | 4.5 -120 | 4.5 -110 |
| Turnbull | 4.5 +110 | 4.5 -140 |
Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Spencer Turnbull has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 100% (14/14) of opposing batters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 2 total IP; League Avg: 64% — 100th Percentile.
Spencer Turnbull has a strikeout rate of 37% (7 SO in 19 PAs) this season — tied for 5th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 2 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 97th Percentile.
Spencer Turnbull has not walked any of the 19 batters that he has faced this season — tied for best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 2 total IP; League Avg: 8% — 100th Percentile.
Spencer Turnbull has allowed an OBP of just .158 (19 PA’s) this season — 5th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 2 total IP; League Avg: .310 — 97th Percentile.
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents had a miss rate of just 17% (265/1,590) against Miles Mikolas in the 2023 season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% — second Percentile.
Opponents batted .225 (89-for-396) against Miles Mikolas with two-strikes in the 2023 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .162 — second Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 12% (9/74) against Miles Mikolas this season — lowest among in NL; League Avg: 25% — first Percentile.
Miles Mikolas had a strikeout rate of just 16% (137/860) in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — fourth Percentile.
Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Phillies are 7-69 (.092) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Phillies were 7-64 (.099) when trailing entering the 9th inning in 2023 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .051.
The Phillies are 106-74 (.589) after a win since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .514.
The Phillies are 10-129 (.072) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .048.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies
The Cardinals are 27-10 (.730) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .498.
The Cardinals were 11-6 (.647) when tied entering the 8th inning in 2023 — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals were just 19-28 (.404) after a home loss in 2023 — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .508.
The Cardinals are just 6-74 (.075) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .142.
Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends
Phillies hitters have 505 strikeouts in 2,016 PA’s (25%) against LHP since last season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Phillies are batting .287 against LHP this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .243.
Phillies hitters have an OPS of .775 (3,765 PA’s) against LHP since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .727.
The Phillies are batting .262 against LHP since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Cardinals are batting just .178 against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .243.
Cardinals hitters have a Hard-Hit Rate of just 25% on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Cardinals hitters have a swing rate of just 42% in lefty-lefty matchups since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Cardinals hitters have just 2,012 strikeouts in 9,730 PA’s (21%) against RHP since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 51% against Phillies pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Phillies pitchers since last season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% with runners in scoring position since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Cardinals vs. Phillies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Dylan Carlson (St. Louis Cardinals): Shoulder, 10-Day IL
- Keynan Middleton (St. Louis Cardinals): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Lars Nootbaar (St. Louis Cardinals): Ribs, 10-Day IL
- Drew Rom (St. Louis Cardinals): Biceps, 15-Day IL
- Sonny Gray (St. Louis Cardinals): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Riley O’Brien (St. Louis Cardinals): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Tommy Edman (St. Louis Cardinals): Wrist, 10-Day IL
- Packy Naughton (St. Louis Cardinals): Elbow, Out
- Taijuan Walker (Philadelphia Phillies): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Orion Kerkering (Philadelphia Phillies): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Michael Rucker (Philadelphia Phillies): Hand, 15-Day IL
- Michael Lorenzen (Philadelphia Phillies): Neck, 15-Day IL
- Erich Uelmen (Philadelphia Phillies): Forearm, Out
- Weston Wilson (Philadelphia Phillies): Hand, Day-To-Day
- Dylan Covey (Philadelphia Phillies): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Rafael Marchan (Philadelphia Phillies): Back, 10-Day IL
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