- The Phillies are -125 favorites vs the Mets
- Phillies vs Mets Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Phillies / Mets TV Channel: SNY | NSPA | WCAU | MLBN
The Philadelphia Phillies (-120) visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets (+100) on Wednesday, April 23, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 1:10pm EDT in Flushing, Queens, NY.
This season, the Phillies are 13-11 against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are 13-11 ATS.
Phillies vs Mets Starting Pitchers Today:
- Phillies starting pitcher: Zack Wheeler 2-1, 3.74 ERA
- Mets starting pitcher: David Peterson 1-1, 3.28 ERA
Phillies vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Phillies | -1.5 +150 | O 7.5 -125 | -120 |
| Mets | +1.5 -185 | U 7.5 +105 | +100 |
Phillies vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 53.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today:
- Kyle Schwarber has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 25 away games (+11.50 Units / 46% ROI)
- Alec Bohm has hit the Hits Over in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 48% ROI)
- Alec Bohm has hit the Total Bases Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+8.35 Units / 60% ROI)
- Bryce Harper has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 games (+7.80 Units / 98% ROI)
- Bryce Harper has hit the RBIs Under in 16 of his last 20 away games (+6.95 Units / 16% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+14.70 Units / 29% ROI)
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+14.15 Units / 56% ROI)
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 8 games at home (+14.10 Units / 176% ROI)
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+12.60 Units / 40% ROI)
- Juan Soto has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 25 games at home (+12.25 Units / 49% ROI)
Phillies Best Bets Today:
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 9 games (+6.90 Units / 70% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 9 of their last 11 away games (+6.80 Units / 50% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Over in 6 of their last 8 games (+4.05 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 20 games (+2.85 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.40 Units / 12% ROI)
Mets Best Bets Today:
- The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 19 games (+9.65 Units / 32% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 24 games (+7.20 Units / 28% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 8 of their last 10 games at home (+6.35 Units / 35% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 12 games at home (+5.70 Units / 40% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 7 of their last 10 games (+5.40 Units / 43% ROI)
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 13-11 against the Run Line (-0.8 Units / -2.58% ROI).
- 13-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.8 Units / -4.54% ROI
- 12-12 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.2 Units / -4.53% ROI
- 12-12 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.1 Units / -4.18% ROI
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mets are 13-11 against the Run Line (+2.6 Units / 8.46% ROI).
- 17-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.1 Units / 22.04% ROI
- 8-16 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.95 Units / -37.2% ROI
- 16-8 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.2 Units / 27.64% ROI
Mets vs Phillies Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Juan Soto (NYM) | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -450 |
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Pete Alonso (NYM) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Brandon Nimmo (NYM) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
Mets vs Phillies Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nick Castellanos (PHI) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Alec Bohm (PHI) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Trea Turner (PHI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| J.T. Realmuto (PHI) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Mets vs Phillies RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nick Castellanos (PHI) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -220 |
| Alec Bohm (PHI) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -220 |
| Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -235 |
| Trea Turner (PHI) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -235 |
| J.T. Realmuto (PHI) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
Mets vs Phillies Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Zack Wheeler (PHI) | 6.5 -120 | 6.5 -110 |
| David Peterson (NYM) | 5.5 -110 | 5.5 -115 |
Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .073 (3-for-41) against Zack Wheeler’s non-fastballs this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .208 — 100th Percentile.
Zack Wheeler has allowed a .538 SLG vs right-handed batters this season — sixth worst among qualified SPs– eighth Percentile. He allowed a SLG of just .233 vs right-handed batters last season — best among qualified SPs– 100th Percentile.
Right-handed batters batted just .161 (56-for-348) against Zack Wheeler in the 2024 season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .234 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .109 (52-for-479) against Zack Wheeler with two-strikes since last season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .162 — 98th Percentile.
Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
David Peterson has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 93.0 MPH on the 192 breaking pitches put in play against him since the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 138 total IP; League Avg: 87.6.
Opposing hitters had a groundball rate of 62% (45/72) against David Peterson when he was behind in the count in 2023 — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 40% — 99th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .405 (15-for-37) against David Peterson in close and late situations since the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 138 total IP; League Avg: .229 — second Percentile.
David Peterson has not walked any of the 47 batters that they have faced over the last 14 days — tied for best among NL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: 8% — 100th Percentile.
Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Mets
The Phillies are 3-8 (.273) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .114.
The Phillies are 63-31 (.670) at home since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .533.
The Phillies are just 0-9 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .035.
The Phillies were 83-15 (.847) when they allowed 4 or fewer runs in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .723.
Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies
The Mets are 6-0 (1.000) vs top 10 scoring offenses this season They play the Phillies (fifth best runs scored) today.
The Mets are 8-66 (.108) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .048.
The Mets were 8-60 (.118) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Mets are 6-1 (.857) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .616.
Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Phillies batted .307 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2024 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .263.
Phillies hitters have an OBP of .303 (498 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Phillies hitters had an OBP of .342 (1,915 PA’s) against LHP in the 2024 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Phillies hitters have chased 24% of pitches out of the zone against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Mets Hitting Stats & Trends
Mets hitters have a groundball batting average of just .174 this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
The Mets have a winning percentage of 71% this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Mets hitters had an OBP of .329 (1,651 PA’s) against LHP in the 2024 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Mets hitters have an OPS of .762 (1,809 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .707.
Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends
The Phillies won 55% of home games in which their opponents scored first last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 46% against Phillies pitchers in the 2024 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Phillies have won 56% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Phillies pitchers walked 444 of 6,050 batters (7%) in the 2024 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mets Pitching Stats & Trends
Mets pitchers have won 71% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Mets pitchers walked 586 of 6,098 batters (10%) in the 2024 season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mets pitchers have an ERA of 2.66 (105.0 IP) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.49.
Mets pitchers have an ERA of 2.37 (213.0 IP) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.00.
More MLB Reading:
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