- The Phillies are -175 favorites vs the Mets
- Phillies vs Mets Over / Under today: 9.5 Runs
- Phillies / Mets TV Channel: FOX
The Philadelphia Phillies (-155) visit London Stadium to take on the New York Mets (+130) on Saturday, June 8, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 1:10pm EDT in .
This season, the Phillies are 44-19 against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are 28-34 ATS.
Phillies vs Mets Starting Pitchers Today:
- Phillies starting pitcher: Ranger Suarez 9-1, 1.74 ERA
- Mets starting pitcher: Sean Manaea 3-2, 3.68 ERA
Phillies vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Phillies | -1.5 +100 | O 10 -110 | -155 |
| Mets | +1.5 -120 | U 10 -110 | +130 |
Phillies vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 63.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today:
- Nick Castellanos has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 17 away games (+17.30 Units / 102% ROI)
- Bryson Stott has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 19 games (+13.40 Units / 49% ROI)
- Bryson Stott has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 14 games (+12.00 Units / 64% ROI)
- Whit Merrifield has hit the RBIs Under in his last 12 games (+12.00 Units / 42% ROI)
- Bryson Stott has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 12 of his last 14 games (+10.40 Units / 68% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Pete Alonso has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 26 games (+12.25 Units / 40% ROI)
- Pete Alonso has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 25 games at home (+11.30 Units / 45% ROI)
- Tomas Nido has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 9 games (+11.00 Units / 122% ROI)
- Pete Alonso has hit the Singles Under in 26 of his last 36 games (+10.85 Units / 20% ROI)
- Mark Vientos has hit the RBIs Over in 9 of his last 15 games (+8.70 Units / 58% ROI)
Phillies Best Bets Today:
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Over in 34 of their last 46 games (+19.90 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 36 of their last 47 games (+18.85 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 34 of their last 48 games (+18.70 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 33 of their last 46 games (+17.65 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the Run Line in 29 of their last 44 games (+15.60 Units / 29% ROI)
Mets Best Bets Today:
- The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Over in 33 of their last 53 games (+9.85 Units / 15% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 21 games (+8.55 Units / 36% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 14 games (+5.05 Units / 28% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.15 Units / 56% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.25 Units / 48% ROI)
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 36-27 against the Run Line (+10.15 Units / 13.38% ROI).
- 44-19 when betting on the Moneyline for +15.4 Units / 14.6% ROI
- 27-32 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.25 Units / -11.9% ROI
- 32-27 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.05 Units / 2.96% ROI
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mets are 28-34 against the Run Line (-9.3 Units / -11.46% ROI).
- 27-35 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.95 Units / -14.4% ROI
- 32-26 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.35 Units / 5.02% ROI
- 26-32 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.55 Units / -13.11% ROI
Mets vs Phillies Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -400 |
| J.T. Realmuto (PHI) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Nick Castellanos (PHI) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Alec Bohm (PHI) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
Mets vs Phillies Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Brandon Nimmo (NYM) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Nick Castellanos (PHI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Bryson Stott (PHI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
Mets vs Phillies RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alec Bohm (PHI) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -150 |
| Nick Castellanos (PHI) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| J.D Martinez (NYM) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Edmundo Sosa (PHI) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
Mets vs Phillies Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ranger Suarez (PHI) | 4.5 -155 | 4.5 +115 |
| Sean Manaea (NYM) | 5.5 +120 | 5.5 -155 |
Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .167 (43-for-257) against Ranger Suarez this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .233 — 98th Percentile.
Ranger Suarez has allowed an OPS of just .288 (155 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .481 — 100th Percentile.
Ranger Suarez has allowed an OPS of just .485 (277 PA’s) this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .671 — 98th Percentile.
Ranger Suarez has allowed an OBP of just .225 (276 PA’s) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .293 — 100th Percentile.
Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Sean Manaea has walked 14 of 99 batters (14%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 24 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 0 Percentile.
Sean Manaea has a first-pitch strike rate of just 56% (136/242) this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 24 total IP; League Avg: 63% — fourth Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of just 20% (37/181) against Sean Manaea in late innings since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 154 total IP; League Avg: 31% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of just 18% (22/122) against Sean Manaea in late innings since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 89 total IP; League Avg: 30% — first Percentile.
Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Mets
The Phillies are 3-14 (.176) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .060.
The Phillies are 7-11 (.389) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .157.
The Phillies are 4-12 (.250) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .111.
The Phillies are 8-4 (.667) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .302.
Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies
The Mets are just 17-10 (.630) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .889.
The Mets are just 22-6 (.786) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .940.
The Mets are just 13-9 (.591) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .843.
The Mets are just 5-94 (.051) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .104.
Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends
Phillies hitters have a groundball batting average of .326 against the shift this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .238.
The Phillies have scored first in 81% of their road games this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 56%.
Phillies hitters have an OBP of .381 (270 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .331.
The Phillies are batting .311 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .266.
Mets Hitting Stats & Trends
The Mets have won just 25% of games in which they have scored first at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 72%.
The Mets are batting .273 on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .241.
The Mets are just 17-10 (.630) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .889.
Mets hitters are slugging just .347 at home this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .392.
Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .133 against Phillies pitchers with the shift this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .238.
Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Phillies have won 67% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
The Phillies pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 18% of their games on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Mets Pitching Stats & Trends
Mets pitchers have walked 62 of 560 batters (11%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mets pitchers have walked 251 of 2,404 batters (10%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Mets pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 77% of their games at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 56%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Mets pitchers since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Mets vs. Phillies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Ronny Mauricio (New York Mets): Knee, 60-Day IL
- Sean Reid-Foley (New York Mets): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Tylor Megill (New York Mets): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- David Peterson (New York Mets): Hip, 60-Day IL
- Kodai Senga (New York Mets): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Taijuan Walker (Philadelphia Phillies): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Orion Kerkering (Philadelphia Phillies): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Michael Rucker (Philadelphia Phillies): Hand, 15-Day IL
- Michael Lorenzen (Philadelphia Phillies): Neck, 15-Day IL
- Erich Uelmen (Philadelphia Phillies): Forearm, Out
- Weston Wilson (Philadelphia Phillies): Hand, Day-To-Day
- Dylan Covey (Philadelphia Phillies): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Rafael Marchan (Philadelphia Phillies): Back, 10-Day IL
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